But will you give her $1000?
yes he will win atleast 1 World medal
yes he will win multiple World medals
no he will never win a World medal
But will you give her $1000?
Yes, Johnny Weir will win Worlds,and no doubt the Olympics as well. He has a Presence on the ice. His jumps are absolutely beautiful, spins amazing, and no doubt more grace than the whole field of male skaters put together. Now is the perfect time for him. You can tell that he is hungrey for it. He wants it now. No one thought he would win nationals before either, but I think he proved the doubters wrong. He is braking all the rules in figure skating and having a blast doing it. Horray for Johnny!
I don't know that he'll WIN worlds or Olys, but I do believe he will win more than one worlds medal. He is still "young" in skating, in that he hasn't been doing it as long as many others his chronological age, and he's already had a great deal of success. I think it's just inevitable that he gets his focus to the point where he can hold it together at the big international events, and it will be a really nice thing to see.
It seems most think he will medal at some point on here, since only just over 20% voted never. So if we are good forecasters that is good news for him I guess. I wish I had made the first option, "only 1 world medal" instead of "atleast 1 world medal" since now I am wondering if those are people who think he will only win 1, or who are thinking maybe 1 or maybe more then 1.
The mens event will be very interesting over the next 4 years, probably the most interesting of all four events. You have 21 year old Weir, Lambiel who recently turned 21 after Worlds, Lysacek who turned 21 after Worlds as well, Takahashi who is 19, Oda who is 18, and Buttle who is 23 but a late bloomer. If all of those stay healthy and motivated, it could get even more crowded at the top with all the up and comers from Canada, Japan, China, and the U.S coming up now.
In your list Hamill did not win her pre Olympic worlds (she won the post Olympic worlds) it was de Leuw who won '75 worlds.
I only delved as far back as the Mens and Ladies singles winners back to '76 Olympics and found that only one man managed the feat - Hamilton, no other man has.
As far as the women are concerned its just short of 50/50 and the ones that did win their pre-Olympic words all cam e in a streak:
Witt in '88
Yamaguchi in '92
Baiul in '94
Lipinski in '98
It does show that Pre Oly Worlds, is not necessarily an auger of Oly gold.
For the men it looks like you dont want to win the pre-Olympic Worlds if you want to win the Olympics. For women it looked for awhile like you did, but that has changed around a bit with the last two Olympic bronzes going to the reigning World Champs.
In all honesty i think if Plushy had competed he would have been there with Hamilton as pre Oly world winner.
About these statistical trends, as we are constantly reminded in ads for investment schemes, "Past performance is no guarantee of future results."
Not important, but it is very odd how MM's old post (and several others) keeps showing up as made "today." Is it just this forum?
Just to keep on topic, I'll reiterate that Johnny is sure to medal at Worlds - hopefully this year!
Last edited by Spun Silver; 09-19-2006 at 05:30 PM.
i dont think (yet) that he has strong skills....
artistically of course yes
but footwork and difficulty....eh
This year the mens is wide open. Lambiel probably goes into a quadrennial with an edge no the others, but that is all but negated by his injuries this summer probably, so 7 or 8 guys go in with an equal shot of establishing themselves. The pecking order heading into the next Olympics will start being established now. I am not saying thing cant change 1 or 2 years out from the Olympics, but guys who start establishing themselves higher in the pecking order now will have a big advantage, and probably have to lose their spots through poor performances like Joubert did after his 2004 year.
I voted that Johnny will win at least one world medal. I think Johnny is a very beautiful skater and is capable of standing on the podium at every competition.
However, I agree with the poster who thinks Johnny should concentrate on his skating instead of saying outlandish things and trying his best to be in the spot light. These distractions are taking away from his concentration. It seems to me that being dedicated to skating and keeping your mind on your job is the best way to become a champion. Johnny just seems so full of himself and so impressed with the attention he seems to generate that he forgets the real focus. Perhaps when he sheds the chip on his shoulder and gets down to business, he can become a succesful skater.
Johnny is the most talented male skater right now. But I doubt if he could win. I am afraid of him being like "Sasha Cohen The Second". He doesn't have enough confidence and consistency on ice. I hope I will be proved wrong. I really, really wish he could win.
Last edited by jennylovskt; 11-19-2006 at 06:44 PM.