- Joined
- Jun 21, 2003
Chuckm posted these numbers on the Kimmie thread. Since that thread has meandered into a Campbell's preview, let's start a new thread on that topic.chuckm said:Here are the numbers for all the Campbell's participants based on last season's Senior events:
Mao Asada
CoC: SP 62.92, FS 113.68
TEB: SP 63.96, FS 118.46
GPF: SP 64.38, FS 125.24
Miki Ando
COR: SP 60.76, FS 111.54
NHK: SP 54.56, FS 99.78
GPF: SP 56.7, FS 100.60
Torino: SP 56.00, FS 84.20
Mai Asada
4CC: SP 52.13, FS 89.52 (her only Senior international)
Sasha Cohen
TEB: SP 60.96, FS 114.16
Torino: SP 66.73, FS 116.63
Worlds: SP 66.62, FS 114.67
Kimmie Meissner
TEB: SP 44.92, FS 110.80
NHK: SP 56.10, FS 96.08
Torino: SP 59.40, FS 103.90
Worlds: SP 60.17, FS 129.70
Emily Hughes
SA: SP 38.74, FS 88.04
CoR: SP 46.56, FS 79.20
Torino: SP 57.08, FS 103.79
Worlds: SP 54.23, FS 104.84
It's pretty plain that Mai Asada is the weak link on the Japanese side. Emily Hughes is the weakest of the US ladies, but she is stronger than Mai.
Both Sasha and Miki are question marks. As long as Sasha does a SP, she has to be considered a strength (maybe, depending on whether she is doing any training). Miki had an up-and-down season last year. She gave one solid performance, at Cup of Russia, but she bombed at Japanese Nationals and in Torino. It all depends which Miki shows up this season.
Kimmie showed a steady pattern of improvement last season and from reports has been working very hard on her new programs this summer. She and Mao will most likely skate long programs. The question is whether there will be two sets of LPs and just one SP, or two SPs and one LP.
So, by the numbers, which ladies team will win? Giving each skater her average from last year, here are the two scenarios.
2 LPs and 1 SP
Sasha SP 64.77
Meissner LP 110.12
Hughes LP 93.96
USA total 268.85
Mai Asada SP 52.13
Mao Asada LP 119.13
Ando LP 99.03
Japan total 270.29
Japan wins!
2 SPs and 1 LP
Sasha SP 64.77
Meissner LP 110.12
Hughes LP 49.15
USA total 224.04
Mai SP 52.13
Mao LP 119.13
Ando SP 57.00
Japan total 228.26
Japan wins again!