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Thread: Jr. ladies prediction

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    Jr. ladies prediction

    http://www.isufs.org/events/cat00005650.htm

    This one is easy, there should be no suspense, Americans are going to sweep the podium.

    My prediciton:
    1. Mirai NAGASU
    2. Caroline ZHANG
    3. Ashley WAGNER

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    I hate to say it, but you're probably right...I really really would love to see Nana Takeda somewhere on there though!

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    Mirai definitely has a good shot, but I'm rooting for Caroline. She can do it if she can pull 2 clean programs off back to back.

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    I'm going on a limb to say that Canada's Miriam Samson will place in the top three. She has a more mature skating style than the American girls. That comes with the extra few years of experience - Miriam is 18 not 13-14ish..
    Plus Miriam has powerful jumps with strong landings and polished programs. She was great at Canadians this year.

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    Myriam has been landing nice 3Lz, 3F/3Lo combos... if she can skate clean and pull this off... BIG POINTS!

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    Quote Originally Posted by ae9177 View Post
    Mirai definitely has a good shot, but I'm rooting for Caroline. She can do it if she can pull 2 clean programs off back to back.
    Anyone else think we've seen the end of Caroline's back to back clean programs?

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    Quote Originally Posted by dancindiva03 View Post
    Anyone else think we've seen the end of Caroline's back to back clean programs?
    You just really hate Caroline .

    I think both Mirai and Caroline have a shor for the gold. And no, I don't think we have seen the ending of Caroline's consistensy.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Lumi View Post
    You just really hate Caroline .

    I think both Mirai and Caroline have a shor for the gold. And no, I don't think we have seen the ending of Caroline's consistensy.
    I'm just saying, I think the kid is learning what pressure is, and that its harder to stay at the top than it is to get there. She had an easy ride all year long and then all of a sudden, despite everyone's predictions of a runaway victory for her at Nationals, she finds herself in second.

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    I think Americans can sweep the podium. Not sure what order though. Caroline will win if she doesn't fall.

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    This will be Mirai Nagasu's first-ever international competition -- it will be interesting to see how she fares here (Emily Hughes made her official international debut at 2005 Junior Worlds and won the bronze medal).

    Besides the 3 U.S. girls, Myriane Samson is one of the few who attempts at least 4 different triples in her FS (salchow, loop, flip, lutz in her Senior FS at Canadians), but she has been inconsistent in her short programs internationally. Another contendor could be Finland's Jenni Vähämaa (8th at 2006 Jr. Worlds), 14 going on 15, who scored 140 points (53.95 / 86.05) in winning the Junior Ladies event at the Nordics competition last week and has added triple flip (SP & FS) and loop (FS) to her program(s) this season. Japan's Nana Takeda is the highest returning skater from last year's Jr. Worlds (4th), followed by Korea's Chae-Hwa Kim (7th), Finland's Vähämaa (8th) and Laura Lepistö (9th), and Russia's Arina Martinova (12th).
    Last edited by Sylvia; 02-14-2007 at 12:41 PM.

  11. #11
    Rooting for the divas with Kwanford Spun Silver's Avatar
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    What is Myriam doing in Juniors?

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    Myriane Samson finished 5th at the 2007 Canadian Figure Skating Championships in senior women with a score of 145.73 ----Joannie Rochette won with a score of 170.65 for comparison.

    Skaters for Junior World's must be age eligible - under 19 as of July 1 - rather than strictly a Junior level competitor.

    Canada has one spot for a woman at Junior World's and is taking the best age-eligible skater they have to try and win more spots for next year....by medalling!!
    The woman who won Junior in Canada had the skate of her life with a score of 109.40. She does only a triple salchow and triple toe - and a double axel that is not always strong.....in fact at the Cdns qualifer in December, she had some of her triples downgraded and deductions for the axel... and scored only 95.28 and placed 4th.

    So Skate Canada is placing its future hopes and medals on Myriane, who has at least 5 triples and may pull off a podium position!!

    Last year Skate Canada had two spots for Junior World's and sent the Junior Women champion because she had a triple lutz, toe, salchow and flip The second spot went to a senior women who was age-eligible.

    BTW When Myriane won the Junior Women's title - Skate Canada chose to send Cynthia Phanuef - the Cdn senior women's champion - to Junior World's instead ------so now it is Myriane's turn!

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    Rooting for the divas with Kwanford Spun Silver's Avatar
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    Ok, thanks for the explanation!

    OT, but why is the age limit for Juniors set so very high?

    I kind of liked Myriane. She is the Canadian Kimmie, IMO. I find her rather stiff and not very artistic, but she is talented and looks very tough. Look forward to seeing what she can do! I don't think she'll beat out Ashley Wagner for bronze, though - at least I hope not. I love Ashley's charisma! (She was born with it....)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Spun Silver View Post
    Ok, thanks for the explanation!

    OT, but why is the age limit for Juniors set so very high?
    Because not everyone hits their stride at 15 or 16 years old, maybe? I don't think that 19 for a Junior international competition is all that old. In how many other sports, besides gymnastics, are teenagers expected to be at their peak competitive form?

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    I've heard it said in ballet (which is highly athletic) that at 16 you have all the technique you're ever going to have - after that it's just polishing. My impression is that most think the same in skating... but an age 19 limit for juniors suggests otherwise.

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