Ando 30 .. in #1
Let's assume placements for SA:
1. Yuna so she would have 30 and wound be in, #2
2. Flatt, so that would be 9 + 13 = 22.
3. Sugruri. so 4 + 11 = 15, out
Assume placement for SC:
1. Rochette, so that would be 11 + 15 = 26... in so #3.
2. Suzuki, so that would be 15 + 13 = 28... in so #4
3. if Nagasu, 7 + 11 = 18 no, she can't make it.
if Zhang, 9 +11 = 20... no not enough.
if Ciszny, 9 + 11 = 20... not enough
if Lepisto 7 + 11 = 18... nope
So if this hold true, #5 and #6 would be Wagner & Leonova.
At this point, probably no one with less then 9 point an event left can qualify. So for skaters with 9 points, they would need to probably win to guarantee a spot.
If some 7 point skaters win SC, Nagasu, Lepisto, and mostly likely not Gilles since she's in SA... that would tie them with Flatt unless Flatt is less then silver in SA. So if Flatt is third or less, that would give her 20 points or less so she would be out. So if that's true and Nagasu or Lepisto wins and Rochette gets second, that would leave N or L with 22 points... and Rochette with 24 and Flatt with 22 is she silvers and that would have 5 skaters ahead so best points totals for skaters with 22 points would get to go to the final.
Of course if Yuna bombs SA and someone else wins, that could throw the entire order around a bit. Plus if Rochette really bombs and finishes lower than 2nd at Skate Canada... erggggg...
However, it's most likely that current top 3, Ando, Leonova and Wagner will make it to the final. Asada and Nakano are out of luck, I think. They'll probably joined by Kim, Rochette and Suzuki. But if there are some real surprises, who knows!!
Edit: Of course if Hecken or Helgesson wins both of SA and SC or 1 & 2 in each that could throw things out of whack but how likely is that???
Also, from the ISU GP standing, it appears that the first tie break is the highest placement and second the total points. So 1-4 would definitely beat 2-3.