3 Places for Ladies After Worlds?
13 points mean nothing at Olys, but will count at 2010 Worlds. Much depends on who will leave after Olys. Who among US Ladies can manage a 4th place and a 9th place, or a 5th and 8th, or a 6th and 7th at 2010 Worlds?
This too, will be a big contest for the US Ladies - maybe bigger if the US Ladies are to get in the medal range for 2011.
Former skater and COMPLETE skating nerd!
Keeping in mind the field at the World Championships could very well be MINUS several top skaters who may take time off, turn pro or retire following the Olympics, earning three spots for the 2011 Worlds for the U.S. ladies probably won't be an impossible feat. I believe Cohen, Flatt, Czisny, Wagner and even Nagasu (Zhang not so much) could all easily finish in the top section of skaters, especially with many of the big names out. Is 5th and 8th place really THAT hard to do?
Originally Posted by Joesitz
Given that only one nation did it for 2010....
I think it will be a difficult task for ANY two US ladies to place high enough to get the magic number and 3 spots for 2011. I'd be pretty confident Rachael could pull off a 5th-8th place (she's done it before, after all!) but as for the rest of the pack....maybe a completely 2-program clean and on-fire Alyssa, but when have we last seen that happen? Ashley might be able to do it but only with skates free of edge calls, downgrades, and other mistakes.
To a large extent, placement of US ladies is going to depend on whether certain more erratic portions of the field (ahem, Kostner, Lepisto for example) bring their A game or their evil twins. Put another way, high placements of US ladies, even if relatively great skates, are going to depend on some others screwing up.
In the wake of the Olympic ladies competition, I'm having to rethink my position. Things are definitely looking brighter now than back in January, for the US to make that magic "13" from Flatt and Nagasu. But still not a shoo-in.
Originally Posted by bigsisjiejie
should be no problem for the us --it will be easier than before, not unexpected-but expected.
going back from start of olympics if the women finished within allotted number 14-13 and the women were young enought during the next 4 years they got 3 girls.
2006 --they total was 15-sasha pulled out, that left kimmie and emily at the olympics theycombined 13 at the olympics- so their so-so skate in 2007 allowed 13--when kimmie skated worse in 2008 and ashley didn't perform correct they dropped.
yes-it isn't a guarantte but 4 and 7 is 11 and now for the 4 years -we can assume the rachel and mirai will be up intop group at naitonals and more likely going to worlds. with 5th last year and now miria-yes they can make it-despite,laura, kostner-is she going or is valentina marchie going instead because she won italian nationals.even if alena, ksenia, miki etc.goes the us should be expected to get 3,
no-rachel and miria can't bomb-but skating decent they still can get 13 for 3
she takes the audience on her journey of emotions
No, not a shoo-in...
Originally Posted by bigsisjiejie
My view is Rachael and Mirai should be able to pull it off but my big concern is that they lose steam. It'll be their third major competition in a row... and they did so well in both. Can they do YET again? Probably being teenagers helps.
Zhang came in 4th at 4CC last year beating both Flatt and Czisny so even she could probably pull it off barring a SC repeat. But I assume all the ladies will be at worlds? I mean, Yukari will be there instead of Akiko, which makes it easier b/c IMO Akiko is a much better skater. I guess Rochette could retire and skip worlds. Beyond that....I don't see Mao, Miki, or Yuna retiring this year and certainly not before worlds, unless maybe if one of them wins the OGM.
Originally Posted by n_halifax
It really does depend on what happens though. I mean, Meissner won in 06 and everyone thought she was a longshot for any color medal, let alone the Gold. If Carolina and Laura skate as usual the US ladies should be able to beat them or finish comparably. If one of the top guns is missing, I could see Rachael being 4th, then someone would just have to be 8th or 9th, which I think Wagner definitely and probably even Czisny, Nagasu, or Zhang could manage so long as they don't splat it up.