Does anyone really think Asada has a chance of winning? I feel like unless Yuna has a meltdown, Yuna will win. I also don't really see Flatt being above Ando but who knows.
Originally Posted by FlattFan
I do think Flatt has a decent chance to surpass her. At Vancouver, Miki looked like fizzled-out version of 2007 world champion.
Originally Posted by silverlake22
True. I just feel like Miki always gets pretty good PCS whether she deserves them or not are Rachael may be sacrificed a little bit in her PCS, though she does have the TES to make up for it.
Originally Posted by jBroxton7001
2. Takahashi (All he has to do is earn it)
I find your predictions intriguing. Do you really think Jeremy will be as far down as 7th? What makes you think that after the season he's had, Joubert will do enough to make the podium? Why is Chan as far down as 5th when Lysacek, Weir, and Lambiel are all not going to be there? How come Contesti isn't on the list?
Originally Posted by ImaginaryPogue
As for the ladies, do you really think Ando after her super boring Olympics performances will beat Nagasu, Flatt, Lepisto, and Suzuki? Do you really think Lepisto the queen of double jumps will have the SOHL again to finish 5th? Why do you put Suzuki ahead of Flatt given her technically weak SP? Did you see Meier's FS at the Olympics, it was awful, how come she's on the list and Carolina isn't?
Easy answers first.
1. I have no idea if Kostner's competing. I read somewhere (here, probably) that she's giving up her spot to Marchei. That, and I geniunely don't see her being a contender anymore.
2. Chan's in fifth because I don't think he has enough mileage on his program. The triple axel buggaboo reared it's head again after his injury and the program is so difficult that I don't anticipate him improving it enough. My hope is that he keeps his long program for next season, actually, and work on improving the jumps (including that mythical quad)
3. Joubert gave his best performance ever after his poor Turin performance. And while he's obviously not the skater he once was (COP gerrymandering/injuries), I wouldn't be surprised to see him dig deep and pull something off. Despite the fact that he's my least favourite medal winner this quad, I'm rather rooting for him now.
4. I wanted to put Contesti on the list, but couldn't figure out who to drop. The most obvious candidate would be Amodio, but I think Amodio has a leg-up in that (a) he's a good performer/competitor (winning Nationals and the French Masters event this year; his Skate America long program, where he so clearly shrugs off a mistake and continues skating. A rare skill) and (b) he won't be as tired - he's the only major European skater who skipped Euros. For some skaters, it's been a very long season (Denis Ten). In general, I don't have a good read on Contesti as a competitor.
5. Jeremy... Well, 7th would be his best placement at worlds. That alone should give you the reason I'm not predicting him much higher. But again, I think he peaked too early with Nationals and the pressure to maintain three spots will get to him.
6. Ando... her, I don't get. Every time I think I start to like her, she goes and bores me. But I think she'll be more savvy regarding COP (aka, no silly 3-3s that are so obviously underrotated) and make up some points.
7. I have a little crush on Meier.
8. Lepisto.... something about her ferocity at the Olympic error (the music one) got to me - I can see that moment and skate unlocking her as a skater - that attack. She also gets good GOES (her 3t+3t got 1.8!) when she does well. That and her huge PCS
9. Suzuki.... I just want her to continue this dream season, and I think she can. Vs Flatt? Well, they both got UR calls at the Olympics, but despite Flatt's technical advantage, she still lost the LP to Suzuki.
^^ I enjoyed reading that . As for Contesti, I thought he was a pretty consistent performer but he majorly bombed at the Olympics and did not attempt even 1 combination in his FS and had axel trouble, and his score in the LP was lower than Verner's even though Tomas popped like 3 jumps and fell on his footwork so idk. Contesti's PCS aren't that great but he was 5th at Euros and 5th at Worlds last year so I think he has a good shot at the top 10. Speaking of Tomas I have no idea what he will do here - he is more than capable of making the top 10 but he's almost as unpredictable as Kostner. He seems to do well at Worlds though, 4th last year and 4th in 2007, so hopefully he delivers and gets the monkey off his back and if he does he should get better PCS than he has been recently. Again though he's a question mark, I really hope he makes the top 10 but I'm not expecting anything. As for Jeremy, it seems like he either has the SOHL or bombs and doesn't really do anything in between, so I tend to think he will either be on the podium or out of/barely in the top 10.
As for Miki, her jumps have gotten way smaller because she is a toothpick now so I actually think now that she's skinny and pretty her PCS are high (how ironic). But yeah her 3-3 was far from rotated at the Olympics but last year at Worlds she did a really good LP so if she delivers here she could be ahead of Mirai and the others, especially if Mirai gets dinged for flutzy and URs. Rachael is boring but she always lands her jumps and Akiko doesn't so we shall see. I really hope Laura delivers but she and Meier really love those double jumps .
Yeah - essentially many of my picks are hopedictions (predictions influenced by hope), and realistically, even if I was able to remove "I hope this happens" from my thoughts, it's not like I'm gonna get a lot of these right. Ice is slippery! So as a result, if I can rationalize my hopes, than I'll predict it. For the most part. I just have a feeling that Chan won't medal. He'll come back strong this upcoming quad, though.
We well see how much energy Laura got from the olympics succee, or did she get pressure. Before LP she had decided "I don't care even if I sit all the triples "on my ***", I'll do them". Can I use that word? Well, that is what she really said. Well, it was not allowed, but I think you know what she said.
Those top tens are very much I think. I would like to see Elene and Kiira in the top ten, but they both need clean programs and maybe some unluck for other, which I do not wish, of course. Finland maybe hoping even 3 ladies next year, but I cannot see it realistic - but who knows. I hope Brian will do well this time, I feel so pity for him.
I agree. I also REALLY hope Tomas doesn't bomb. He doesn't need to do great, like 10th or even 12th would be fine, but please not 19th? I am very worried for him, his confidence seems to have taken a huge hit this season where Brezina keeps beating him and then he was sick and that can't make it easy either. I feel the same way about Brian, a medal is not important, but no 16th place finish please, he didn't even look like he was trying at his Olympics LP...he only did one combination. I like how Tomas and Brian are manly men in this sport full of so many small, androgenous men.
Originally Posted by TT_Fin
Kostner has always been in, she has never been a questionmark. She is in Torino and trains there.
With Plushenko's withdraw, bump everyone up a spot and give 10 to Contesti.
Originally Posted by ImaginaryPogue