Glad I'm not the only one who noticed how Evan miraculously went from being Nobunari PCS level to Plushenko and Lambiel PCS level in the blink of an eye!Again. There's always exception. But the odds for those exception is oddly SMALL. It's like saying you don't need a college education to become a billionaire. Well, but you have a MUCH better chance of becoming a billionaire with an education.
Shizuka was lucky because the top 2 faltered. If all were clean, no one would put Shizuka above the other two.
Lysacek is lucky because the political climate is in his favor. His PCS improved by more than 2 quads over the course of 1 month.