Opps, sorry. I fixed it. Too much math!!!
After the Cup of Russia we got:
Miki - 30
Carolina - 26 (+ higher point total)
Kankano - 26 (+1st place at SA)
Akiko - 26 (+higher point total than Rach)
Ashley - 18 ( +higher point total than Amelia LaCoste)
We got in TEB
Alissa - 15
Cynthia Phaneuf - 9
Kiira Korpi - 9
Mirai - 9
I think Alissa can get in easily with a top four finish. (15+9 =24)
Mirai/Cynthia/Kiira can get in with a win (24) and if Alissa finishes fifth (15+7 =22) or lower, but that seems unlikely.
It will be interesting to see what happens next week!
Even though Wagner seems to be in the top 6 now, she'll certainly be knocked out by one of the four above. I don't think it's even possible for her to make it.
Out of all the scenarios to knock Czisny out, Nagasu winning + Czisny 5th or lower seems the most likely. I don't see Phaneuf or Korpi pulling it off.
Three japanese ladies willprobably end up on the podium.
Last edited by ordinary person; 11-21-2010 at 03:10 AM.
If any of Mirai/Cynthia/Kiira wins with score like 175.40 total, and Alissa ends in 4th place with points less than 149.25 in this case, then Mirai/Cynthia/Kiira will go to the Final.
But I agree that this too is unlikely.
Still, Silverlake has four of six right ... Well, I hope Alissa does better than fourth. But maybe Silverlake doomed her
Ah well, good luck to all of the girls next week. I really like many of the ladies in this event and i wish I could see all of them in the final.
So it looks like there will be most likely 2 U.S. ladies in the Final.
Czisny just needs to stay on her feet and let the chips fall. More likely than not it should be enough to medal.