Not anymore, after Ksenia's implosion...Originally Posted by Layfan
Holy moly. Silverlake you can be really scary with your predictions sometimes. Do you do stock markets and the lottery??
You did make these before SA right?
If your COR predictions turn out right tomorrow I think you should look up Paul the Octopus's agent.
^
Opps, sorry. I fixed it. Too much math!!!
After the Cup of Russia we got:
Miki - 30
Carolina - 26 (+ higher point total)
Kankano - 26 (+1st place at SA)
Akiko - 26 (+higher point total than Rach)
Rachel -26
Ashley - 18 ( +higher point total than Amelia LaCoste)
We got in TEB
Alissa - 15
Cynthia Phaneuf - 9
Kiira Korpi - 9
Mirai - 9
I think Alissa can get in easily with a top four finish. (15+9 =24)
Mirai/Cynthia/Kiira can get in with a win (24) and if Alissa finishes fifth (15+7 =22) or lower, but that seems unlikely.
It will be interesting to see what happens next week!
Even though Wagner seems to be in the top 6 now, she'll certainly be knocked out by one of the four above. I don't think it's even possible for her to make it.
Out of all the scenarios to knock Czisny out, Nagasu winning + Czisny 5th or lower seems the most likely. I don't see Phaneuf or Korpi pulling it off.
Also another factor to consider: MAO comes back and wins it all, Nagasu finishing second (13+9 = 22) and Cziny finishing sixth or lower. Okay that seems extreme, but you never know.
Ice is slippery...particularly to Alissa Czisny under pressure
Or not, even. All that has to happen is that Bad Alyssa shows up. For the most part, good Alyssa showed up in Canada but did she get left behind when bad Alyssa showed up at the US nats qualifying comp? Stay tuned.
That going to take at least 3-4 falls from her. Has Alissa bombs the FS with 3 or more splat/pop jumps before?
I'm not sure, but Alissa has bombed many, many times before...even her wins involve falls
Three japanese ladies willprobably end up on the podium.
Last edited by ordinary person; 11-21-2010 at 03:10 AM.
Alissa can get 4th place and still lose the ticket:
If any of Mirai/Cynthia/Kiira wins with score like 175.40 total, and Alissa ends in 4th place with points less than 149.25 in this case, then Mirai/Cynthia/Kiira will go to the Final.
But I agree that this too is unlikely.
Yeah, Ksenia's performance was suprising. What a bummer.Not anymore, after Ksenia's implosion...
Still, Silverlake has four of six right ... Well, I hope Alissa does better than fourth. But maybe Silverlake doomed her
Ah well, good luck to all of the girls next week. I really like many of the ladies in this event and i wish I could see all of them in the final.
So it looks like there will be most likely 2 U.S. ladies in the Final.
Bad Alyssa is totally capable of bombing like that. But OTOH, it's unlikely that Nagasu will score 175+ and near impossible that the other two will do it (JMO)
Czisny just needs to stay on her feet and let the chips fall. More likely than not it should be enough to medal.
Seriously. Japan could sweep both mens and womens fields in Beijing. Crazy stuff.
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