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Thread: Predictions (and Other Thoughts)

  1. #16
    "Hold an edge and look sexy!" museksk8r's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NMURA View Post
    Men
    Takahashi
    Oda
    Rippon

    It's kind of a tragedy if Rippon misses GPF with 230+ scores twice.
    Yes, Rippon could very well experience the same fate that Rochette did during the 2007-2008 season when her points were definitely well enough to go to the GPF (ranked 4th in point totals behind Kim, Asada, and Nakano), but having to face tougher competitive fields, her placements (two bronze medals) denied her a GPF berth. Due to this, skaters with lesser point totals but easier competitors to compete with like Kostner, Meissner, and Zhang got to go instead.
    Last edited by museksk8r; 11-10-2010 at 03:36 PM.

  2. #17
    Custom Title Joesitz's Avatar
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    If predictions are based on a skater's nationality or favorite, I would prefer "Other Things" to be a separate thread.

  3. #18
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    Oda beat Rippon by what, 3 points at SC? I think hometown bonus will be enough to make up for that meaning if Adam goes clean, regardless of what Oda does, he will come in 2nd and that should qualify him for the GPF. There's also the chance Takahashi will tank, in which case Adam could win, or if Oda brings the 4-3-3, Adam could still come in 2nd. Oda's programs are not great this season and he won't try the quad in the SP, meaning his only advantage over Rippon will come in his tougher jump layout in the FS, but Rippon is better at milking the spins, gaining extra points for his Rippon lutz and Tano 3 jump combo, and will likely have higher PCS, all of which should allow him to beat Oda.

  4. #19
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    Oda's PCS is higher than Rippon's.
    Oda beat Rippon by 3 points at SC with a fall. He would beat Rippon by 10 points without the -3 GOE and -1 deduction for the fall and +GOE on that gorgeous triple Axel.

  5. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlattFan View Post
    Oda's PCS is higher than Rippon's.
    Oda beat Rippon by 3 points at SC with a fall. He would beat Rippon by 10 points without the -3 GOE and -1 deduction for the fall and +GOE on that gorgeous triple Axel.
    Adam's PCS will likely get a big boost here. Plus he also stepped out on his 2nd 3a in Canada.

  6. #21
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    I think Oda's SP score in Canada was a bit inflated because of "him". The gap with Rippon will be smaller this time. Oda usually skates better at the first GP competition than the second. Rippon has the better chance at home.

  7. #22
    Rinkside
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    ~Predictions~
    *men*
    G. Daisuke Takahashi
    S. Nobunari Oda
    B. Adam Rippon

    *Ladies*
    G. Carolina Kostner
    S. Rachal Flatt
    B. Kanako Murakami

  8. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by NMURA View Post
    I think Oda's SP score in Canada was a bit inflated because of "him". The gap with Rippon will be smaller this time. Oda usually skates better at the first GP competition than the second. Rippon has the better chance at home.
    I'm in agreement. I don't think Oda would have gotten 81+ for his SP had Reynolds and Chan not been overscored. Seems like the judges panicked a little.

  9. #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by silverlake22 View Post
    I'm in agreement. I don't think Oda would have gotten 81+ for his SP had Reynolds and Chan not been overscored. Seems like the judges panicked a little.
    And what made you think Rippon score wasn't inflated as well? rising tide raises all boats.

    Oda consistently got 80+ on his SP last season. Even up to 85. It wasn't out of the blue that he got 81+.

  10. #25
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    Practice reports are starting to come in over at FSUniverse. Several of the men are trying quads, with more failure than success. Some fans sang "Happy Birthday" to Adam.

  11. #26
    The Future Mrs. Evan Lysacek #1Kerryfan's Avatar
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    Men:
    1. Takahashi
    2. Rippon
    3. Oda
    (I'm hoping for a Rippon win, but I doubt it's going to happen......)

    Ladies:
    1. Flatt
    2. Kostner
    3. Murakami

    Pairs:
    1. Savchenko/Szolkowy
    2. Sui/ Han
    3. Denney/ Barrett

    Dance:
    1. Davis/ White
    2. Crone/ Poirier
    3. Shibutanis

  12. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlattFan View Post
    And what made you think Rippon score wasn't inflated as well? rising tide raises all boats.

    Oda consistently got 80+ on his SP last season. Even up to 85. It wasn't out of the blue that he got 81+.
    I agree with you on the Oda thing. If you add the missing footwork sequence, Oda's score would be around the 85 mark so it seems about right.

    I hope that Takahashi wins but I feel like Rippon is going to get a boost and win over Takahashi. It's just a gut feeling :( Hopefully my gut is wrong

  13. #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlattFan View Post
    And what made you think Rippon score wasn't inflated as well? rising tide raises all boats.

    Oda consistently got 80+ on his SP last season. Even up to 85. It wasn't out of the blue that he got 81+.
    That was with another step sequence and higher GOE factoring for the jumps. Most SP scores this season are at least 5, if not closer to 10 points lower than last season.

  14. #29
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    Technical Specialist Mr. Shin AMANO

    After seeing this name.... I must predict Murakami will win ladies.
    In almost all competitions where he was the TS, Japanese skaters have won.

    2007 JGP Estonia Ladies
    2007 NHK Men
    2008 NHK Men
    2009 WTT Ladies
    2009 JGP Poland Men
    2010 Worlds Ladies

  15. #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by NMURA View Post
    Technical Specialist Mr. Shin AMANO

    After seeing this name.... I must predict Murakami will win ladies.
    In almost all competitions where he was the TS, Japanese skaters have won.

    2007 JGP Estonia Ladies
    2007 NHK Men
    2008 NHK Men
    2009 WTT Ladies
    2009 JGP Poland Men
    2010 Worlds Ladies
    Um... speculation like that is a bit classless

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