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Thread: Predictions

  1. #1
    - * - blue_idealist's Avatar
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    Predictions

    MEN

    1) Takahashi (narrowly, even if Chan falls)
    2) Chan (no matter how he skates)
    3) Kozuka
    4) Verner
    5) Oda
    6) Amodio

    LADIES

    1) Murakami - I've got a feeling on this one.. could be wrong..
    2) Flatt
    3) Ando
    4) Suzuki - semi-bombs one of the segments
    5) Kostner - semi-bombs
    6) Czisny - bombs due to nerves

    PAIRS

    1) S/S
    2) B/L
    3) I/M
    4) MT/M
    5) P/T - they're so not themselves from last year
    6) S/H

    DANCE

    1) D/W (narrowly)
    2) P/B
    3) B/S
    4) C/P (behind by a hair)
    5) W/P
    6) H/Z

  2. #2
    Rinkside
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    MEN

    1) Takahashi
    2) Kozuka
    3) Oda
    4) Chan
    5) Verner
    6) Amodio

    LADIES

    1) Ando
    2) Kostner
    3) Suzuki
    4) Murakami
    5) Czisny
    6) Flatt

    PAIRS

    1) S/S
    2) P/T
    3) B/L
    4) MT/M
    5) S/H
    6) I/M

    DANCE

    1) D/W
    2) P/B
    3) B/S
    4) C/P
    5) W/P
    6) H/Z

  3. #3
    she takes the audience on her journey of emotions Layfan's Avatar
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    I think it's too hard to predict without knowing more about Rachael. Has anyone heard/read anything about her injury and whether she is planning on going to the final?

    If Rachael does show up, I think she will be well-prepared. I expect her to finish somewhere in the middle - third or fourth. This is based on her last two competitions, in which she skated well but a technically deficient Carolina and an imperfect, new-on-the-scene Murakami managed to beat her anyway. If Rachael wins, it will be because she does two back to back clean programs and nobody else does.

    It's also hard to know how Miki and Kostner are doing with their own injuries

    I kind of expect Murakami will medal - unless she starts feeling the pressure of being at her first major international competition and coming in as the SA gold medalist.

    The rest are just too unpredictable. Suzuki needs to be spot-on because she doesn't have the difficulty. Alissa and Carolina too. But these three are rarely spot on, especially Alissa and Carolina.

    Miki's the favorite but she seems so insecure about her skating these days. Still, if I had to bet on anyone for gold I suppose it would have to be her.

    It's a pretty good field, no?? I think it will be a tough competition - but a bit upsetting that half the field is struggling with injuries. My favorite by far is Alissa but against this field - she cannot afford many mistakes.

    Good luck to everyone and especially to Miki, Rachael and Carolina on recovering from and or managing their injuries.
    Last edited by Layfan; 11-28-2010 at 11:53 PM.

  4. #4
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    MEN

    1) Kozuka
    2) Chan
    3) Takahashi
    4) Oda
    5) Verner
    6) Amodio

    Kozuka has the highest season's best score in the LP, with Chan's struggle on his consistency and traditionally not doing well at Grand Prix Final historically, Kozuka could carry his momentum into 1st. Oda is having adaptation issues with his SP and LP, which means he will likely need more mileage and this event may still be too early for him to do well. Takahashi's latest showing has not been too impressive and he too tends to do poorly at this event historically.

    LADIES

    1) Suzuki
    2) Murakami
    3) Ando
    4) Flatt
    5) Czisny
    6) Kostner

    Suzuki has the best overall package in this group, Ando has lost her way in my view. Murakami is exciting to watch and should turn some heads. Rachel Flatt, even if she skates clean, will not be able to match the Japanese ladies, sad but true, speaking as someone who has seen her skating live on countless occasions since 2008, both in competitions and outside. Alissa will likely continue to struggle with her consistency issue, which is what will hold her back. Carolina...personally, I have a real issue with someone scoring 60+ in a SP using 3t+2t and a 3Lo, on 7 elements. I do not expect this trend to continue, she will need to upgrade her content and stay on two feet.


    PAIRS

    1) S/S
    2) P/T
    3) MT/M
    4) B/L
    5) S/H
    6) I/M

    DANCE

    1) D/W
    2) P/B
    3) C/P
    4) W/P
    5) B/S
    6) H/Z

    Quite underwhelmed so far by B/S in Ice Dance, they looked better last season.

  5. #5
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    1) Kozuka
    2) Takahashi
    3) Chan
    4) Oda
    5) Verner
    6) Amodio

    Amodio is fun, but currently cannot match any of the top dogs.
    Verner doesn't have the technical content nor PCS to compete with the top 4
    Oda has the weakest PCS of the top 4, but can make up in technical, I suspect Chan will edge out for the bronze.
    Takahashi wins the PCS segment, but has a few bobbles here and there. That leaves Kozuka for the gold.

    LADIES

    1) Ando
    2) Flatt
    3) Suzuki
    4) Kostner
    5) Murakami
    6) Czisny

    Ando, still injured, plays it safe. Wins by getting huge GOE on her 3 lutzes.
    Flatt, still injured, but goes for it anyway. Lands everything. Improves PCS enough to edge out Suzuki.
    Suzuki, highest PCS, but mistakes here and there, another bronze in the GPF
    Kostner and Murakami will make a few mistakes, but Kostner has higher PCS.
    Czisny, last, I have a hunch. .

  6. #6
    she takes the audience on her journey of emotions Layfan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by FlattFan View Post
    Czisny, last, I have a hunch. .
    Did you really have to add that happy face next to this? I'd be sad for any of these ladies if they came in sixth - that is what is so harsh about the GP Final. You're sixth in the GP series but what everyone remembers is that you finished last in a competition.

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Layfan View Post
    Did you really have to add that happy face next to this? I'd be sad for any of these ladies if they came in sixth - that is what is so harsh about the GP Final. You're sixth in the GP series but what everyone remembers is that you finished last in a competition.
    Yeah! It's true! The GPF is a harsh competition; it's so easy to finish last! Imagine finishing 6th at Worlds; for a lot of skaters that's an amazing accomplishment; but finishing sixth in the GPF is a 'bomb', a 'fail'.

  8. #8
    More or less: more is more sequinsgalore's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Trewyn View Post
    Yeah! It's true! The GPF is a harsh competition; it's so easy to finish last! Imagine finishing 6th at Worlds; for a lot of skaters that's an amazing accomplishment; but finishing sixth in the GPF is a 'bomb', a 'fail'.
    In theory true, but for the past years the 6th place finisher at the GPF usually bombed (ice dance not withstanding though).

  9. #9
    Tripping on the Podium AliasJohnDoe's Avatar
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    MENS:
    1. Takahashi
    2. Chan
    3. Verner
    4. Kozuka
    5. Oda
    6. Amodio

    LADIES:
    1. Czisny
    2. Suzuki
    3. Ando
    4. Kostner
    5. Flatt
    6. Murakami

    PAIRS:
    1. S/S
    2. B/L
    3. P/T
    4. MT/M
    5. I/M
    6. S/H

    DANCE:
    1. D/W
    2. P/B
    3. C/P
    4. B/S
    5. W/P
    6. H/Z

  10. #10
    On the Ice
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    MEN
    1) Takahashi 2) Chan 3) Kozuka

    LADIES
    1) Ando 2) Kostner 3) Suzuki

    PAIRS
    1)S/S 2)B/L 3)MT/M

    DANCE
    1) D/W 2) P/B 3) B/S

  11. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by sequinsgalore View Post
    In theory true, but for the past years the 6th place finisher at the GPF usually bombed (ice dance not withstanding though).
    True... Perhaps it's a form of self-fulfilling prophecy?

  12. #12
    GoldExpress reynycpr's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by AliasJohnDoe View Post
    LADIES:
    1. Czisny

  13. #13
    she takes the audience on her journey of emotions Layfan's Avatar
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    I see all of these predictions for the ladies and they are so different yet with each list I think, huh, yeah that could be! I really think it's so unpredictable and any of these girls can medal or even win.

    I've never been so cowardly to make a prediction!

    The only sure thing is that Miki is the favorite.

  14. #14
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    MEN
    Takahashi
    Kozuka
    Oda
    Verner
    Amodio
    Chan

    Chan falls at least 3 times and that's too much for the podium in this field. Judging from his poor records in Asia, he will end up in the last with 5 falls.

    LADIES
    Ando
    Murakami
    Suzuki
    Flatt
    Kostner
    Czisny

    They will hold up Murakami aggressively but she can't skate clean. Five triples Ando wins without much difficulty. Most people will agree Czisny will be the last.

    PAIRS
    Pang / Tong
    Savchenko / Szolkowy
    Sui / Han

    Sav/Szol are considered as the favorite but you can't underestimate the home advantages. I'm pretty sure Sui/Han take the bronze.

    ICE DANCE
    Davis / White
    Pechalat / Bourzat
    Bobrova / Soloviev

    NA fans may want the Canadian team in the 3rd, but the Russian #1 title always counts in ice dancing. Plus Russians are always favored one way or another in Communist China.

  15. #15
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    Men

    1.) Chan
    2.) Takahashi
    3.) Verner
    4.) Oda
    5.) Kozuka
    6.) Amodio

    Chan finally stops falling so darn much and is able to win, Takahashi makes his usual mistakes but PCS keep his scores close to Chan, Verner tries the quad in the LP and skates two solid programs to end up on the podium, Oda skates fine but not great and is lacking a little bit in the presentation department, Kozuka has an off night ala 2010 Worlds, the judges don't buy Amodio's tacky program and PCS keep him so low.

    Ladies

    1.) Ando
    2.) Murakami
    3.) Flatt
    4.) Suzuki
    5.) Czisny
    6.) Kostner

    Ando jumps her way to the title, Kanako and Rachael skate well but can't edge out Miki, Suzuki makes some mistakes as usual and those keep her off the podium, Czisny lets the nerves get the best of her, Kostner's injury and nerves bug her and her content won't help matters either.

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