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Thread: Canadian Nationals Predictions

  1. #136
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    Quote Originally Posted by gopatrick View Post
    A new pair was borned, contending for podium at the Nationals

    http://i56.tinypic.com/2mfkqdj.jpg
    Hi, gopatrick! You were kind enough to give me a ride home from Kitchener SC!

    Rudi and Dylan are a hoot together. They were hilarious in the gala at SC this year!

  2. #137
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    Just as a side note, skatebuzz.com has a bunch of short video profiles for some of the tops skaters an nationals available in the video section.

  3. #138
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    Did anybody see this?

    http://www.theprovince.com/sports/Re...378/story.html

    That would be funny, Chan to be upset by Reynolds, hm
    Last edited by herios; 01-20-2011 at 05:57 PM.

  4. #139
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    I really don't see that happening. I think Chan would have to be a complete disaster in both the short and the long programs.

  5. #140
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    Lol in order for Kevin to beat Patrick, Patrick will have to have like 6 falls and Kevin will have to do 6 quads

  6. #141
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    As I mentioned in the V/M thread, I'm sure Skate Canada had known that Tessa and Scott would not be competing in the Nationals, thus the effort to generate buzz with Chan's 2 quads in the LP and the Chan/Reynolds rivalry. Patrick really should just bring his quads as a surprise instead of announcing it in an arranged tele press conference a week ahead, adding pressure and attracting advanced criticism to himself. He has obligations as the sole headliner and sole defending champion in a rather depleted event.

    Kevin could possibly win the SP and but in the LP, Chan does have a 3 fall advantage over Kevin, as much as I hate the use of such statement, due to his superiority in all other elements and program components. Kevin has made great strides in artistry but has also had a lot of difficulties with his jumps in the LP even with successful quads. It just shows how fast Patrick is progressing in competing with quads in his programs. He's compressing a few years of experiences in a few competitions in one season.

    However, I do expect and am looking forward to Kevin bringing his skate to a much higher level. It may be his break through year.

  7. #142
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    Quote Originally Posted by blue_idealist View Post
    Lol in order for Kevin to beat Patrick, Patrick will have to have like 6 falls and Kevin will have to do 6 quads
    For sure, about the equivalent of 12 extra quads or falls either way (pick your combination) would be required for Kevin to ever beat Patrick, especialy at Canadians.

    Also worth noting too the CSA does not like Kevin in the past. Or maybe they are just fed up with McLeod who also coached Sandhu and Leung to eternal dissapointment. I hope they dont try and push someone to 2nd or even 3rd over him like the past 2 seasons where IMO he was majorly screwed. I would say that is more likely than him ever challenging for 1st though.
    Last edited by pangtongfan; 01-19-2011 at 05:48 PM.

  8. #143
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    Quote Originally Posted by pangtongfan View Post
    Also worth noting too the CSA does not like Kevin in the past. Or maybe they are just fed up with McLeod who also coached Sandhu and Leung to eternal dissapointment. I hope they dont try and push someone to 2nd or even 3rd over him like the past 2 seasons where IMO he was majorly screwed. I would say that is more likely than him ever challenging for 1st though.
    How does one "note" all your declarations here, i.e. CSA does not like Kevin or are fed up, etc? These are opinions stated as facts. Chippeur brought his game at the last Nationals while Reynolds and Ten didn't. I didn't like the fact that Chippeur was sent to the Olympics and possibly Worlds because Reynolds obviously had much greater potential than Chippeur or possibly was, I believed, a better skater by then but he didn't compete well in the Nationals. Chippeur earned his honor to represent Canada and SC wanted to be fair by abiding by the selection criteria. If any SC intervention was involved, it would likely have to do with Chippeur's timely retirement, making way for Reynolds to go to Worlds. I don't see how Reynolds was "screwed". He had an opportunity to make history and he seized it. Good for him. But he has not been able to perform to his ability in major competitions. That's his problem to overcome. No opportunities are taken away from him. He is young and talented and making progress. I look forward to him making his mark as a skater.

  9. #144
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    P J Kwong's blog and her predictions:

    Big skates to fill at Canadian championships

  10. #145
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    Quote Originally Posted by SkateFiguring View Post
    How does one "note" all your declarations here, i.e. CSA does not like Kevin or are fed up, etc? These are opinions stated as facts. Chippeur brought his game at the last Nationals while Reynolds and Ten didn't. I didn't like the fact that Chippeur was sent to the Olympics and possibly Worlds because Reynolds obviously had much greater potential than Chippeur or possibly was, I believed, a better skater by then but he didn't compete well in the Nationals. Chippeur earned his honor to represent Canada and SC wanted to be fair by abiding by the selection criteria. If any SC intervention was involved, it would likely have to do with Chippeur's timely retirement, making way for Reynolds to go to Worlds. I don't see how Reynolds was "screwed". He had an opportunity to make history and he seized it. Good for him. But he has not been able to perform to his ability in major competitions. That's his problem to overcome. No opportunities are taken away from him. He is young and talented and making progress. I look forward to him making his mark as a skater.
    Reynolds skated worse in the long program at Four Continents (an INTERNATIONAL event) and got much higher PCS than he got at his own Nationals. Reynolds for 2 years in a row was the ONLY skater whose PCS was lower at Canadians than international events throughout the year, in fact everyone elses was much higher. Reynolds had 2 falls in the SP but his LP should have blown away Chipeur by about 20 points. Chipeur did not really deliver in the LP either, he doubled the 2nd triple axel, leaned forward and might have put his hand down on the 1st, left out a combination, and had other small mistakes. Think what you want but most agree with me, the talk after last years Canadians was what a ridiculous decision to give 2nd place to Chipeur was.. And in 2009 Reynolds was even more majorly screwed.
    Last edited by pangtongfan; 01-20-2011 at 04:37 PM.

  11. #146
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    PTF, I was very unhappy with SC's decision last year but resigned to the selection criteria as my impression was of the disappointing performances of Reynolds, Swayer, and Ten, my preferred skaters over Chipeur. It was a mess.

    I will check out your accounting of events but that will take a little time, especially since the current Nationals is more absorbing of my attention.

    eta. My disagreement with SC's decision was compouneded by their previous decisions to keep promising young winners Phaneuf and Sandhu from major competitions, depriving them of valuable experiences.
    Last edited by SkateFiguring; 01-20-2011 at 05:05 PM.

  12. #147
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    I totally disagree with sending Kevin over Vaughn Chipeur last year. Skate Canada made the right decision. And I am emphatic about that because Vaughn Chipeur's jumps are the honest to God B-O-M-B!!!!! Nobody but nobody jumps like that. He's more than a naturally gifted jumper, he's a phenomena. Seriously, when landed, heck even when not landed, lol, they deserve +10 GOE off the scale.

    My eyes were literally glued to him at the Olympics. In person they're even more magnificent if that's at all possible.

    Yes, I am a fan of Kevin Reynolds first & foremost, but as a fan of this sport above all, I recognize, admire, and acknowledge somebody like Vaughn Chipeur. Kevin's best jumps don't even come close to Vaughn's. And that's the truth.

    That said, Kevin has come a looooooooooooooooooong way since last year, and nowadays I'm not so sure, especially with Kevin's dramatically improved presentation, which is out of this world imho. He would have the edge on PCS, but Vaughn would have the edge on TES if both skated cleanly with the same amount & type of jumps. Jmho, of course.

  13. #148
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    p.s. it's quality, not quantity that's important.

  14. #149
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    Chipeur was so stiff there was no future in his presentation improvement, at age 25.

    Nadine, you admire jumpers but it takes a lot more than jumps to win and Skate Canada's objective should be more than giving jumpers their chances to jump internationally. They need to consider possible placements of Team Canada members, hopefully winning some medals but at least qualifying for more future spots for Canadian skaters. Chipeur did not fit the bill, as much as you adored him. Obviously, judges did not feel the same way you did, understandably, especially with him bombing in his big opportunity on the big stage.

    Kevin, on the other hand, showed a lot of potential. He's more of a natural jumper than Chipeur, who muscled through everything. Though Kevin's presentation and other components were seriously lacking, he was young and in progress. Importantly he's not stiff like Chipeur. He could improve his presentation and he did, in a big way. And he is still in progress. With more international competitions, he'd likely improve his consistency, increasing both his TES and PCS.

    The results speak for themselves. Chipeur bombed at the Olympics and Kevin proved himself to be the right delegate to Worlds. With Patrick's silver, Team Canada with Kevin in it earned 3 spots in Worlds this year.

  15. #150
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    Quote Originally Posted by herios View Post
    Did anybody see this?

    http://www.theprovince.com/sports/Re...378/story.html

    That would be funny, Chan to be upset by Reynolds, hm
    Won't happen, but how can you not love McLeod's bare-knuckled support?

    I figured it would be interesting to check our own Nationals thread here to see the views posted about Reynolds vs Chipeur

    rain: felt that Reynolds earned the silver with his long, and with that the Olympic spot.

    jan: "Big error in sending Chipeur over Reynolds. There is no way Chipuer is 9 points ahead of Reynolds in the PCS. "

    scs: "Vaughn's speed was very impressiveas well. I don't think that comes out on tv. Kevin's jumps were spectacular and his artistry has definitely improved, but Vaughn was definitely better. "

    london_calling: "To be honest, I really don't like Kevin's skating. I find him to be pretty sloppy overall. He fairly beat Vaughn in the free skate but I'm happy Vaughn came out on top in the end."

    billeh: "I totally agree. Reyolds won me over tonight. While I am usually a fan of Chipeur's jumps, his performance just didn't merit the marks he received. It's a head shaker, folks."

    luv2skate: "I think Vaughn is the better choice. Yes, Kevin has the quad, but I don't feel that his artistry has improved very much at all, and his basic skating skills are very weak. I think it would be wise for his coaches to work on some of the basics with him, if he wants to take his skating to a world and olympic level. I think Vaughn is a bit more well-rounded, but I do agree that his marks were generous. "

    Tigger: Pro-Chipeur

    stickle: "Thank goodness Vaughn managed to hang onto second place"

    Sk8n Mama: "I'm going to be unpopular for this opinion but, had the decision been in my hands, Kevin would have went to the Olympics instead of Vaughan."

    --So relatively split, actually. I'd argue that Kevin lucked out in 2010 that all his quads/triple axels in the free skate were deemed fully rotated. I think most people would've rather that Sawyer got that second spot, actually (or Russell, who seems to have admirers for reasons I don't get).

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