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IMO the best she could hope is a bronze. Her teammates are reliable enough to likely avoid a splatfest, so Miki probably wont catch them. And Kostner or Czisny really would need a splatfest for Miki to catch them, but sadly both are capable of it. She doesnt control her own destiny at this point though. Skating 2nd she will get low PCS even if she skates well (especialy with that boring program), and the rest will have to make alot of mistakes for her to even get a medal. No chance of winning.
Originally Posted by silverlake22
I absolutely adore Miki's new program! And I think she likes it, too! It's a pity some of her elements weren't well-executed, but I'm very happy her PCS went up! I hope she skates very well tomorrow! Go Miki!
I've watched all the programs on YouTube and I'm really satisfied with the results! Alissa and Carolina were amazing! I just don't agree with Kanako's PCS, they should've been lower than Akiko's, in my opinion. Too bad for Rachael. I hope everyone skates well tomorrow!
Murakami getting higher PCS than Suzuki might be a sign poor Akiko despite some promising signs this year is to be dumped from the Japanese Word team if Asada is half decent at Nationals, unless she skates a blinder tommorow and wins the GP final.
The only case Miki can get on the podium is, if she repeat the score from COR, around 120+ and if Cizney and Kostner bombs and get lower than 105+ score. I don't think she can pull with her current tricks to catch her two team mates thou, unless she goes for the 3+3 and 2A+3T combo.
I got a feeling, either Kostner or Cizney will bomb and be off the podium. I hope Suzuki won it, because she truly deserve it. If Kanoko win, it will be another Mao moment and the media will go crazy over her. Question is can she handle the pressure?
Miki can't go for the 3-3 in the FS because she already has 2 3lz and 2 3t planned and already has a solo loop in the program, so doing another 3lo would be repeating 3 triples and that's not allowed. Where she skates 2nd I bet she will go for the 2a-3t though. The thing is, Carolina's SB in the FS is only 107 and Alissa scored 104 at TEB, so if they do their usual they probably will be around 100-110 and they are 12 and 13 points ahead of Miki, so feasibly Miki could still beat both. I don't think she will catch Kanako though unless Kanako skates like she did in the FS at NHK. I sort of think Miki will be on the podium but not win. I wouldn't be surprised if all 3 Japanese ladies medaled, just where it's so hard to tell what Czisny and Kostner will do. Unfortunately for Rachael though it's looking like the highest she can expect to finish in 5th, and that's if Miki bombs. I mean maybe if Akiko or Carolina REALLY tanks, Rachael could overcome them, but where she's skating 1st her PCS are bound to be low.
Originally Posted by wonderlen3000
Oh very true, I forgot about that. She did bomb the SP at Worlds last year and would have won bronze if her 2lo wasn't downgraded in the FS - and that was at Worlds where there were a lot more skaters competing for the podium than there are here. I just wonder about her PCS though, especially where she has to skate 2nd. PCS in the SP were pretty competitive, so if that trend continues, her chances are improved.
Originally Posted by kiz_4Ever
leave no stone unturned
I m not liking much Ado's music and program but it is better than the previous, I like her more power programs in general. Rachel i sat half through, i dont think this program does her justice at all, she looked sick also, not her usual spark. From the rest Akiko was nice, even though I m bored of Tangos and I prefered Alissa to Kostner, she is beautiful like snowhite and she skated elegantly, although program doesnt do me much and I m not fond of this style at all.
Kanako's program I can watch it on reply again and again, she reminds me of young Mao in 2005, with all the joy and energy she has-of course Mao had much more polish -but she is really adorable and I like this sp for her age.I wish she wins this tommorow!
I agree, she seems more comfortable when she has music pushing her.
Originally Posted by seniorita
12-10-2010, 06:00 PM
Akiko was amazing, I think this is her best SP ever! Everything was perfect! Spins have improved so much and the same charisma and passion exudes from her to the people watching. She is incredible! She should have been higher than Kanako in my opinion.
Alissa was brilliant!!!! The ladies are bringing it!
12-10-2010, 06:48 PM
I just wish Mirai hadn't bombed at the COC then maybe she could have made the GPF. Watching Flatt skate almost makes my teeth hurt she was so slow. Mirai at least even when she bombs is beautiful to watch plus she could have skated with these ladies today. Flatt looked out of her league. If she doesn't nail her jumps it's painful to watch.
12-10-2010, 07:29 PM
Great night for the ladies, atleast the juniors didn't outscore them, but why are people always expecting the worse out of Alissa and Caro? Positive vibes people!!!
12-10-2010, 07:34 PM
Czisny was really good. Deserving number one.
12-10-2010, 07:58 PM
Thoughts on Ando's new program
Today was its debut, so I'm not concerned about the technical content.
While I think the powerful music is her strong suit, we definitely have that covered in her FS to Grieg. This combination (i.e. "vulnerable" SP followed by a powerful FS) was exactly what I was hoping for over the summer, and it's a shame that Morozov wasn't thinking the same over the Olympic season.
Unfortunate, however, is that she had to skate it immediately after Alissa (and in the same-colored costume!), whom we all know is pretty much the best in the world at interpreting soft/lyrical programs.
12-10-2010, 09:05 PM
What a joy to watch Czisny skate like that - wow, wow, wow. Sorry for Miki but i like this program and hope she can deliver it at worlds (hope she makes it!). Kudos to Carolina and I agree with the poster who said she looked relaxed - really in control. overall fun to watch sp and I look forward to the lps.