
Originally Posted by
pangtongfan
The Zhangs could beat the Germans but the Germans have to fall multiple times and the Zhangs go clean for that to happen probably. Kind of like what has to happen for Tomas Verner to beat Patrick Chan right now. The scoring potential of the two teams is far apart at this point, it was significant even in early 2008 and early 2009 when the Zhangs had the political backing as the #1 Chinese team which they dont have anymore so is alot more now. That is unless the Zhangs even while off the ice with injury have somehow improved a huge amount.
The last 3 year the two teams have met 7 times, and the Germans have come out on top 6 of 7. Here are the results:
07-08 Grand Prix final: Savchenko & Szolkowy defeat Zhang & Zhang for gold by 8 points. Comparable mistakes by both teams in long. In short hand down by Robin and clean skate by Zhangs (Germans still win short by about a point)
08 Worlds: Savchenko & Szolkowy defeat Zhang & Zhang for gold by about 5 points. The Germans with a huge fall on side by side triple salchows (which were downgraded I believe), a stumble out of side by side triple toes, out of sync spins, in the long program, and a stumble out of side by side triple toes in short. The Zhangs with a clean short, a hand down on side by side triple salchows and a singled side by side double axel. Some thought this was a controversial decision but it only shows how the judges feel about the two teams comparatively that the Germans won out comfortably with so many more glaring mistakes.
08-09 Grand Prix final: Zhangs defeat Savchenko & Szolkowy for silver by about 3 points.
Zhangs with one fall in long program as only mistake. The Germans with atleast 4 significant mistakes including 2 falls in long.
2009 Worlds: Savchenko & Szolkowy win gold by about 15 points. Clean in both programs except for a fall on footwork in long by Germans. Zhangs clean in short but a fall and another stumble in long. Short program gap about 4 points, long program about 11.
09-2010 Grand Prix final: Savchenko & Szolkowy finish 3rd, about 20 points above the Zhangs who finish 6th and last. In short program Zhangs go clean and finish 7 points back of Germans who have a hand down on the triple toes. In long program both teams make a couple major mistakes.
2010 Olympics: Savchenko & Szolkowy finish 3rd, 16 points above the Zhangs who finish 5th. Both do clean shorts and have one bad fall in long. The Germans also double a major triple in long.
2010 Worlds: Savchenko & Szolkowy double a triple jump in both programs and win silver, 9 points ahead of Zhangs who finish 5th despite being only top pair to skate clean in both programs.
The way the Germans are skating this season which is more consistently than ever probably it would be a miracle for any team to beat them, let alone the Zhangs who has been no threat to them for over 2 years atleast.
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