I think Jeremy is hugely underscored in PCS. His PCS should be in the league of Chan and Dai not hovering in the 70s.
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I think Jeremy is hugely underscored in PCS. His PCS should be in the league of Chan and Dai not hovering in the 70s.
It's also worth noting that Amodio also singled his double Axel, so he wasn't completely clean either. That said, yes Florent has great jumps and footwork, but he clearly does not have the choreo and transition that Jeremy does. I saw a video that counts that Amodio spends 40 seconds of his program dancing in place...in a 4 minute program...that makes a huge different in your stammia! I think Jeremy is hugely underscored in PCS. His PCS should be in the league of Chan and Dai not hovering in the 70s.
I'm definitely not counting Verner, Amodio and Joubert out, but I don't think we've seen the best of Jeremy either. You have to cosider that in 2009 Jeremy totally bombed to 11th, not that politics kept him down. Again it's one of those headcase things-- Jeremy definitely needs to prove he is among the best --but he has the tools to do it.
I would also say you shouldn't count whoever is USA 2 or 3. I think any combination of Bradley, Rippon, Armin, Mroz and even Dornbush could totally show up and shine. The men didn't need Lysacek last year to win three spots and I hope they will prove they don't need him to get 3 spots for 2012.
Still I think Jeremy, when he's on (or even just slightly off) can easily beat Verner and Amodio. I think it would be more challenging to beat the 3 Japanese men and Chan. But I think if he shows his magic, he could definitely give all four of them a run for his money. So I think the worse he could do honestly is 7th, which would make it tough to keep 3 spots. But the odds are more in his favor to finish 6th or even on the podium.
Forget about Abbott beating Chan. Chan has atleast a 6 fall cushion on Abbott.
Abbott is not consistent; Rippon had a wonky GP; Mroz was consistent but one mistake and he is a goner. Bradley will entertain the audience (and the judges). The Newbies:; Mahmahboozadeh, Miner, Messing, Faris, Aaron, Dornbush. (Will any of them push someone off the podium)
How can anyone predict with this slippery sport? Better to just list your "hopes". Same for the Ladies
The Ladies: Alissa (has she found consistency?); Nagasu (not since the original Carmen has she done well); Flatt (fully recovered?); Wagner (good but eratic); Zhang (can she speed it up); Gilles (can she do 2 w/o errors?); Zawadski (Will she shake up the podium?).
Remember Personal Tastes are hopes - not predictions.
Gilles has been nothing short of a disaster this season so far.
Nagasu seems to have cleared up her health issues and was improving throughout the fall and beat Czisny on the last head to head
Czisny is currently the one to beat
No one's really sure what state Flatt's in from a preparedness standpoint
Wagner tends to make stupid mistakes that leave her lower than her talent dictates (12th in SP two years ago, 4th in SP last year...)
Zhang has a long way to go in her journey to fix her elements
Gao has improved since last year, but how much and how will she handle the pressure?
Zawadski has been inconsistent so far this year in the LP
That's a typical Chinese exaggeration. Patrick Chan with 6 falls won't be higher than 220 outside of Chanada. Abbott with 2 or 3 falls will be on that range.
A question: Are US Nationals scores considered inflated compared to international scores in general?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EmwJAyesvJE
Alissa SP send off. 3 mistakes on 3 jumping passes. TES 27.49 PCS 39.78
It was actually scored? Those PCS are massive....I don't think Yuna has even gotten PCS that high, because you double it for the long, so that would mean her PCS for the LP would be around 80 points? I don't think that's gonna happen for Alissa, not even at US nationals, at the highest I'd say probably 33 for the SP, 65 ish for the LP.
Alissa's jumps were too close to the Boards and I think the size of the rink affected her. She has to learn how to adapt to various rink and arena sizes.http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EmwJAyesvJE
Alissa SP send off. 3 mistakes on 3 jumping passes. TES 27.49 PCS 39.78