Who Will Be At The GPF?

[reynycpr]

So, yay to an American in GPF 2 years in a row! We had a rough couple years before that.

Actually 3 years in a row. Ashley qualified in 2010 and finished 4th

[alekzu]

Doesn't Song have a chance as well? I always find this very confusing, so I usually let others do the math.

[seniorita]

Leonova has 3 gps?

Pairs is done. No change possible to the top six except order.

Dance is all but finished. As long as Davis/White and Bobrova/Soloviev make the top four, they're in the GPF.

Men.... CoR provides the answers

1. Chan, Takahashi and Brezina are in, regardless.

2. Hanyu needs to win. If he does, he's in. If he doesn't, he's out.

3. IF Hanyu wins

• Abbott needs top four
• Fernandez needs second or third with a score of 200.53 or better.
• Hanyu, Abbott and Fernandez makes the the GPF with the aforementioned three. If one of them fails to meet that criteria, Song is in. If both, Song and Kozuka are in

4. If Gachinski wins, he makes the GPF ONLY if

• Jeremy Abbott is sixth (or lower) OR fifth with a score 27.80 points (or more) lower AND
• Javier Fernandez is fourth (or lower)
• In this scenario, Gachinski joins Brezina, Takahashi, Chan, Song and Kozuka

5. Abbott is in as long as he's fourth or better, regardless of what another skater does

6. If Fernandez is in the top three, he's in as long as Hanyu doesn't win (otherwise the 3rd point applies)


Ladies...already done.

I m amazed how you managed to make the combinations in men

[krenseby]

Actually 3 years in a row. Ashley qualified in 2010 and finished 4th

She's actually doing great this season as well even if she is not going to make it to the GPF.

[ImaginaryPogue]

Okay, pairs isn't fixed - Bertron/Hotarek can beat D/R if they get in second.

[Not Anybodys Mother]

Thanks for all the scenarios, IP.

Ladies is not done, though. All 3 (Leonova, Asada and Sotnikova) have a chance to earn a spot, and only 2 will go.

[Mrs. P]

Let me have a try at the Ladies:

If Alena wins...she will have 26 points. This means:

• Mao is in if she wins silver and Adelina is out (26 vs. 22 points)
• If Adelina gets Silver, she must beat Mao by 24.24 points to break the first tiebreaker get into the GPF

If Alena just gets a medal:

• If she gets Silver (24) she will go with who ever of Mao or Adelina gets gold (28 vs. 26 points)

Imai is still in it with a 4th place finish. The only way she will have a chance is if she wins (24 points):

• Adelina will be in if she wins silver, beat Mao by 24.24 points (if Mao wins bronze) for the tie breaker or if Alena wins bronze instead (24 vs 22 points)
• Alena will be in with a silver if Mao wins bronze if she can beat Mao by 13.51 points or Adelina gets bronze (again 24 vs. 22 points)

But I'm placing my bets that Adelina and Mao will win with a 1+2 finish.

[ImaginaryPogue]

Thanks for all the scenarios, IP.

Ladies is not done, though. All 3 (Leonova, Asada and Sotnikova) have a chance to earn a spot, and only 2 will go.

I meant someone else did the ladies. I also meant my head hurt.

[Not Anybodys Mother]

awww, I'm sorry!! My head spun just reading those so I can only imagine what it was to map it all out.

[pista04]

But doesn't Alena's only first two competitions count? Her 4th at SC and 3rd at CoC? So therefore her placement does not matter at CoR? Unless something changed and I was not aware of it, haha.

[ImaginaryPogue]

No, the top two events count, pista. There was some confusion when the ISU released the information but yes, Alena can alter her point total.

For example, Here's the ladies line-up. Kostner's first event was SA, but that will not contribute to her GP standings, since her score in TEB was higher (and she won CoC).

[koatcue]

Ladies: Mao,Alena,Alissa,Liza,Akiko,Carolina

[yangjie]

men: hanyu,fernandez, abott, brezina, takahashi,chan