The Shibs tend to get stronger and stronger technically as the season goes on. W/P (and I/K) seem to have a knack for making mistakes at the worst possible times. So no matter how judges see these teams in November, it's what they do in March that will determine the final outcome.
I doubt the Shibs are counting on anyone skating poorly. And I think they know they need to improve their maturity. That was very apparent to me in both their programs, especially with Maia in the SD and Alex looked less perky and more demure in the FD. And yes, it's going to be hard to boost those PCS scores, but I think the Shibs can take on the challenge.
PCS is determined entirely by the judging panel. The NHK judging panel has judges from 3 former SSRs. The World panel will not be nearly as slanted in one geographical direction, per ISU communication #1700.
My point about W/P and I/K was that they may be improving technically, but they still have the tendency to let nerves get to them, and then the mistakes happen unexpectedly. WHen that happens, high PCS scores won't be enough to compensate for lowered TES.
And I also wouldn't count on W/P making mistakes. They seem very confident this year compared to last. I/K is still a big question mark.
You could point out notorious canadian judge Jean Senft was on the panel!!
As for the World Ice Dance panel, I hope this won't give you nightmare but here is the list of countries represented: AUS, BLR, CAN, CHN, CZE, FRA, GEO, GER, GBR, HUN, ISR, ITA, UKR
Red denotes former USSR members = 3 judges
Blue denotes the Commonwealth with historical ties to Canada = 3 judges
Navy denotes France, having an agenda of its own = 1 judge
The United States and Japan are absent from the panel. If you ask me, this might as well be a death panel for the Shibs, on paper that is.
Chuck, you are still counting on other teams to crumble - don't do that. :sheesh: They have no more tendency to falter than Shibs getting extended lift deductions and level 1 on lifts.My point about W/P and I/K was that they may be improving technically, but they still have the tendency to let nerves get to them, and then the mistakes happen unexpectedly. WHen that happens, high PCS scores won't be enough to compensate for lowered TES.
Weaver and Poje were fantastic. I thought they should have won. On the other hand I/K had the worst free program I have seen all season. I did not think it could get more dreadful than the material the Shibs were given, but my god that was something terrible. I/K was sloppy, the music was grating, choreography was awful. It was a complete mess.