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Thread: Senior Competitors and Predictions

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  1. #1
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    Senior Competitors and Predictions

    Senior Ladies

    1 Cynthia Phaneuf QC
    2 Myriane Samson QC
    3 Amelie Lacoste QC
    4 Adriana DeSanctis CO
    5 Kaetlyn Osmond AB/NT/NU
    6 Alexandra Gagnon QC
    7 Alaine Chartrand EO
    8 Kate Charbonneau MB
    9 Alexandra Najarro CO
    10 Vanessa Grenier QC
    11 Jessica Dube QC
    12 Sarah Jourdain QC
    13 Roxanne Rheault QC
    14 Izabel Valiquette QC
    15 Devon Neuls AB/NT/NU
    16 Kaleigh Hole MB
    17 Rachel Gendron QC
    18 Cambria Little BC/YT
    SUB Alexie Gélinas QC


    Senior Men

    1 Patrick Chan CO
    2 Kevin Reynolds BC/YT
    3 Elladj Balde QC
    4 Andre Rogozine CO
    5 Jeremy Ten BC/YT
    6 Liam Firus BC/YT
    7 Nam Nguyen BC/YT
    8 Maxime-Billy Fortin QC
    9 Raphael Yacobi-Harris CO
    10 Dave Ferland QC
    11 Samuel Morais QC
    12 Shaquille Davis CO
    13 Charles Dion QC
    14 Sasha Alcoloumbre QC
    15 David Struthers QC
    16 Benjamin Guthrie NO
    17 Benjamin Tidy QC
    18 Dominic Rondeau QC
    SUB Jesse Smith AB/NT/NU

    Senior Pairs

    1 Kirsten Moore-Towers / Dylan Moscovich WO
    2 Megan Duhamel / Eric Radford QC
    3 Paige Lawrence / Rudy Swiegers SK
    4 Natasha Purich / Raymond Shultz AB/NT/NU
    5 Brittany Jones / Kurtis Gaskell WO
    6 Taylor Steele / Robert Shultz CO
    7 Jessica Dube / Sebastian Wolfe QC
    8 Margaret Purdy / Michael Marinaro CO
    9 Julianne Séguin / Andrew Evans QC
    10 Noemie Arseneault / Simon-Pierre Côté QC
    11 Alexie Gélinas / David Struthers QC
    12 Andrea Tou / Matthew Penasse CO

    Senior Dance

    1 Tessa Virtue /Scott Moir WO
    2 Kaitlyn Weaver / Andrew Poje NO
    3 Alexandra Paul / Mitchell Islam CO
    4 Kharis Ralph / Asher Hill CO
    5 Tarrah Harvey / Keith Gagnon BC/YT
    6 Piper Gilles / Paul Poirier CO
    7 Nicole Orford / Thomas Williams BC/YT
    8 Larissa Van As / Troy Shindle BC/YT
    9 Anoushka Ritchie-Hervieux / Philippe Massé QC
    10 Shanna René De Cotret-Laporte / Alexandre Lal QC
    11 Olga Lioudvinevitch / Benjamin Mulder WO
    12 Mélissande Dumas / David Mackay Perry QC
    13 Jazz Smyl Joly / Nicholas Jesionek AB/NT/NU
    14 Anne Chloe Bissonnette / Dylan Lockey Chatha QC
    15 Helene Letourneau / Kevin Boczar EO
    Last edited by hohoho; 12-14-2011 at 10:56 AM.

  2. #2
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    Thanks hohoho. For ladies , mens and dance you managed to list the competitors in reverse order of the SP start order.

    Pairs is a little bit trickier. Jones/Gaskell did compete at senior nationals last year so to be consistent they should be listed after Lawrence/Swiegers.

    There will be a draw for skate order between Purich/Schultz , Steele/Schultz and Dube/Wolfe ( byed skaters who did not do senior nationals last year ) to skate immediately before Jones/Gaskell ( the lowest placed at last senior nationals of the byed skaters).

    If Bobak/Beharry are skating senior then Tou/Penasse become subs as there will not be more than 12 pairs at nationals and Bobak/Beharry would have a bye due to JGPF. As well they would be involved in the draw mentioned above.

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    Hi Nadster, wasn't intended to be a start order just competitor list.

    In Ladies, question mark is either Myriane Samson or Alexie Gelinas will be there.

    Pairs is tricky. I am thinking Bobak/Beharry should skate Senior with their performances on the JGP. Couldn't list Tou/Penasse as SUB until the formal list is released by Skate Canada.

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    Quote Originally Posted by hohoho View Post
    Hi Nadster, wasn't intended to be a start order just competitor list.

    In Ladies, question mark is either Myriane Samson or Alexie Gelinas will be there.

    Pairs is tricky. I am thinking Bobak/Beharry should skate Senior with their performances on the JGP. Couldn't list Tou/Penasse as SUB until the formal list is released by Skate Canada.

    They are both age eligible, and neither has won Junior Pairs in Canada. They are a brand new team. I'm pretty sure they will compete Junior and will bring home the gold medal. There is no benefit to them competing Senior domestically this year. Based on age, I think they can compete again as Juniors internationally next year as well, but if they win Junior at home this year, they will have to skate Senior domestically next year.

    Another note, a really minor one, I believe Taylor Steele and Rob Shultz represent WO.

    In dance, I'm really interested to see if Bissonnette and Lockey Chatham will actually show up at Nationals. From my scouring the web, I don't think they have competed anywhere since last year's Canadians. Are they still a team?

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    I'm going to be interested to see how Paul & Islam, Gilles & Poirier, and Ralph & Hill finish at Nationals. I'm hoping for R&H to knock it outta the park.

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    Quote Originally Posted by hohoho View Post
    Hi Nadster, wasn't intended to be a start order just competitor list.
    I didn't think so but since your lists line up so perfectly I just wanted to point that out so that one does not have to wait to get the official SP/SD start order. You pretty much put it out there perfectly for ladies, mens and dance.

    Only in pairs ( because there are at least 2 byed pairs that did not do senior nationals last year ) will there be any sort of draw at all among the byed teams who did not do senior nationals last year. They'll skate after the non-byed skaters but before the byed skaters who did senior nationals last year.

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    So some predictions:

    Senior Ladies:
    (assuming Samson is NOT competing)

    1-2 Cynthia Phaneuf
    1-2 Amelie Lacoste
    3-5 Alexandra Najarro
    3-5 Kate Charbonneau
    3-5 Kaetlyn Osmond

    Very hard to predict. Depends on how Phaneuf responds to Orser. Lacoste has been skating well. Expecting Najarro to skate better here than Challenge. Same as Charbonneau. If Osmond corrects the few mistakes she made at challenge she could be higher than 3-5 group.


    Senior Men:

    1 Patrick Chan
    2-5 Kevin Reynolds
    2-5 Jeremy Ten
    2-5 Liam Firus
    2-5 Elladj Balde

    Chan is a lock on 1st. 2-5 will be a toss up from the BC boys and Elladj. Outside shot from Nam.

    Senior Pairs:

    1-2 Moore-Towers / Moscovich
    1-2 Duhamel / Radford
    3-4 Lawrence / Swiegers
    3-4 Dube / Wolfe
    5 Seguin / Evans

    MT/M and D/R I think are a lock for the 1-2 positions. I think D/R have the momentum. L/S and D/W will battle for third here, but can move up if one of the top two falter. Leaving 5th for the QC Section champs and Challenge Silver medallists

    Senior Dance

    1 Virtue / Moir
    2 Weaver / Poje
    3-5 Gilles / Poirier
    3-5 Paul / Islam
    3-5 Ralph / Hill

    V/M are a lock at 1st and W/P as well in 2nd. 3-5 grouping will totally depends on who really wants it. I am leaning towards G/P.

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    Quote Originally Posted by hohoho View Post
    So some predictions:

    Senior Men:

    1 Patrick Chan
    2-5 Kevin Reynolds
    2-5 Jeremy Ten
    2-5 Liam Firus
    2-5 Elladj Balde

    Chan is a lock on 1st. 2-5 will be a toss up from the BC boys and Elladj. Outside shot from Nam.
    Surprised you left out Rogozine. Personally I see Rogozine , Reynolds and Ten fighting for 2nd to 4th spots. I see Balde, Nam and Firus fighting for the last spot on the national team.

    There are question marks as to how far Ten is to getting his jumps back. He should be jumping better than at the challenge though.

    The other thing is that Rogozine and Reynolds do not tend to skate their best at nationals. I have a feeling that Rogozine pips ahead due to the fact that he is the most consistent internationally.

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