Sochi: Men's Prediction
I know it's way early, but I think it is interesting to see where are the Men now and how they may fair in 2014. This is my list in no particular order:
In the mix:
Florent Amodio (too many front-runners are better)
Michal Breznia (too many front-runners are better)
Daisuke Takahashi (his artistry won't save him if his jumps fail him, and he will be 27)
Jeremy Abbott (always choke in big occasion, and he will be 28)
Nobunari Oda (overshadowed by other Japanese men)
Past their prime:
Of course, there could be some new guys coming out of nowhere and become a threat, but only 2 years away, we should be seeing that somebody by now if he'll be a factor.
For the 7 front-runners, these 3 are the favourite to win Gold, not sure the other 4 will be ready.
Last edited by jettasian; 01-26-2012 at 10:37 PM.
Way too early! But I think you have to include Johnny Weir's name since he has announced he's returning to competitive skating aiming for Sochi.
You are joking? He's coming back? Well, he and Lysacek are just talk. Even if he comes back, he's not a factor.
Originally Posted by fscric
And yes, it's early...but not way too early. I mean there are only 2 worlds before Sochi. This world...we pretty much know the group of front-runners.
I didn't know an announcement is the qualifying protocol to compete in the Olympics.
Originally Posted by fscric
I'm probably biased, but I like to think of Daisuke as a contender.
hmmmm. that is waay too Too Early
a lot can happen in 2 years
and not all of those in the list will be at at their peak by 2014.
And he is a contender Olympia
Chan (a lock unless pronounced dead-just kidding!)
bronze, Artur Gachinski
pewter if they had one and they should at olympics- Plushenko
5th Daisuke or Evan
6th Nan Song or Javier Fernandez maybe I should switch 5th and 6th possibles...lets hear some early predictions people....
Last edited by skateluvr; 01-27-2012 at 01:03 AM.
What if Evan couldn't come up with an agreement with USFSA for the next two years?
It doesn't matter if Weir or Lysacke show up or not, they won't be a factor. I think we pretty much see these group in Sochi.
Chan is a mortal lock for gold. If he skates clean he wins by 50-70 points, if he falls 6 to 8 times he wins by 10-20 points. So now lets move on to the rest, the silver and bronze, etc...
Silver and bronze main contenders- Takahashi, Kozuka, Hanyu, Fernandez
Silver and bronze threats (not favorites but decent chance)- Brezina, Song (will have improved by then), Gaschinski (will be Russian #1 by then even if old grandpa Plushenko continues)
Silver and bronze outside hopes: Abbott (if he makes team), Dornbush (if he improves and makes team), Amodio (if he improves)
Verner and Joubert have no chance of being contenders by then. Lysacek and Plushenko IMO wont be contenders by then if they skate. Weir, no chance of being a contender, almost none to even make U.S team, should he return. Oda has no chance to make the Japanese team unless Takahashi retires early.
Me 2... if Dai keeps fit and consistent till 2014.
He will be 27, unless he can keep those quads, don't think his artistic marks can help him that much. Those young guns such as Nan and Hanyu and Kozuka will probably have many quads.
After seeing Europeans I would have to upgrade Plushenko to atleast an outside shot for a non gold medal in Sochi . It is too bad he didnt skate at that level in Vancouver, he would have won easily there.
LOL Euro judges are not the most trustworthy judges of Plushenkos performances.