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Thread: Sochi: Men's Prediction

  1. #1
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    Sochi: Men's Prediction

    I know it's way early, but I think it is interesting to see where are the Men now and how they may fair in 2014. This is my list in no particular order:

    Front-runner:
    Patrick Chan
    Artur Gachinski
    Javier Fernandez
    Takahiko Kozuka
    Yuzuru Hanyu
    Richard Dornbush
    Song Nan

    In the mix:

    Florent Amodio (too many front-runners are better)
    Michal Breznia (too many front-runners are better)
    Daisuke Takahashi (his artistry won't save him if his jumps fail him, and he will be 27)
    Jeremy Abbott (always choke in big occasion, and he will be 28)
    Ross Miner
    Nobunari Oda (overshadowed by other Japanese men)

    Past their prime:

    Evgeni Plushenko
    Evan Lysacek
    Tomas Verner
    Brian Joubert

    Of course, there could be some new guys coming out of nowhere and become a threat, but only 2 years away, we should be seeing that somebody by now if he'll be a factor.

    For the 7 front-runners, these 3 are the favourite to win Gold, not sure the other 4 will be ready.
    Patrick Chan
    Javier Fernandez
    Takahiko Kozuka
    Last edited by jettasian; 01-26-2012 at 09:37 PM.

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    Way too early! But I think you have to include Johnny Weir's name since he has announced he's returning to competitive skating aiming for Sochi.

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    Quote Originally Posted by fscric View Post
    Way too early! But I think you have to include Johnny Weir's name since he has announced he's returning to competitive skating aiming for Sochi.
    You are joking? He's coming back? Well, he and Lysacek are just talk. Even if he comes back, he's not a factor.

    And yes, it's early...but not way too early. I mean there are only 2 worlds before Sochi. This world...we pretty much know the group of front-runners.

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    Quote Originally Posted by fscric View Post
    Way too early! But I think you have to include Johnny Weir's name since he has announced he's returning to competitive skating aiming for Sochi.
    I didn't know an announcement is the qualifying protocol to compete in the Olympics.

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    I'm probably biased, but I like to think of Daisuke as a contender.

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    hmmmm. that is waay too Too Early
    a lot can happen in 2 years

    and not all of those in the list will be at at their peak by 2014.

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    And he is a contender Olympia

    podium
    Chan (a lock unless pronounced dead-just kidding!)

    silver Hanyu

    bronze, Artur Gachinski

    pewter if they had one and they should at olympics- Plushenko

    5th Daisuke or Evan

    6th Nan Song or Javier Fernandez maybe I should switch 5th and 6th possibles...lets hear some early predictions people....
    Last edited by skateluvr; 01-27-2012 at 12:03 AM.

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    What if Evan couldn't come up with an agreement with USFSA for the next two years?

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    It doesn't matter if Weir or Lysacke show up or not, they won't be a factor. I think we pretty much see these group in Sochi.

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    Chan is a mortal lock for gold. If he skates clean he wins by 50-70 points, if he falls 6 to 8 times he wins by 10-20 points. So now lets move on to the rest, the silver and bronze, etc...

    Silver and bronze main contenders- Takahashi, Kozuka, Hanyu, Fernandez

    Silver and bronze threats (not favorites but decent chance)- Brezina, Song (will have improved by then), Gaschinski (will be Russian #1 by then even if old grandpa Plushenko continues)

    Silver and bronze outside hopes: Abbott (if he makes team), Dornbush (if he improves and makes team), Amodio (if he improves)


    Verner and Joubert have no chance of being contenders by then. Lysacek and Plushenko IMO wont be contenders by then if they skate. Weir, no chance of being a contender, almost none to even make U.S team, should he return. Oda has no chance to make the Japanese team unless Takahashi retires early.

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    Me 2... if Dai keeps fit and consistent till 2014.

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    He will be 27, unless he can keep those quads, don't think his artistic marks can help him that much. Those young guns such as Nan and Hanyu and Kozuka will probably have many quads.

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    Quote Originally Posted by skateluvr View Post


    pewter if they had one and they should at olympics- Plushenko

    Seriously, Plushy does stand a chance if he comes back although he will be old horse among ponies. He still has the skills and great experience. It's just how he maintain his health and injuries. Our bodies can only take so much. There will be a price to pay for pushing injuries too far. Let's see how hungry he will be to win gold in Sochi. He probably felt he was robbed of gold in 2010 Olympics so he wants to claim what was rightfully his.

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    After seeing Europeans I would have to upgrade Plushenko to atleast an outside shot for a non gold medal in Sochi . It is too bad he didnt skate at that level in Vancouver, he would have won easily there.

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    LOL Euro judges are not the most trustworthy judges of Plushenkos performances.

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