Predictions | Page 3 | Golden Skate

Predictions

dorispulaski

Wicked Yankee Girl
Joined
Jul 26, 2003
Country
United-States
To help those who don't follow dance to decide on their predictions, here are links to videos. They include the performance receiving the best score internationally and my guess at what performance, either nationally or internationally, might actually be better than that performance. Teams are listed alphabetically.

In the case of teams who have made multiple adjustments to their programs, I have included more videos.

Bobrova & Soloviev SD Europeans
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I74zmt9oucA
Bobrova & Soloviev SD Cup of China (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M_B85N140I8
Bobrova & Soloviev FD Europeans
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=veiyWu9onzE
Bobrova & Soloviev FD Cup of China (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7OnNRdPDcSM

Capellini & Lanotte SD TEB (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lXlI6O8fo48
Capellini & Lanotte FD Europeans (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8LBZZzHnwQQ

Davis & White SD US Nationals (changes since GPF) (probably their best performance of this dance so far)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ojV-pletHI
Davis & White SD GPF (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lrMIDeFrbDs
Davis & White FD US Nationals (their best performance of this dance so far)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wfr4GAOjRdU
Davis & White FD GPF (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PR9djYVHmVM

Ilinykh & Katsalapov SD NHK (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrfhZbeBtz4
Ilinykh & Katsalapov FD Europeans (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qVu53QzM7nQ

Pechalat & Bourzat SD GPF (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l5U_KT17YYA&feature=results_video&playnext=1&list=PLE280EBBA1FFDB485
Pechalat & Bourzat side by side SD GPF & Euros
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5RQz_DhRfrM
Pechalat & Bourzat FD GPF (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uMxoud-pH2k
Pechalat & Bourzat FD Europeans
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QCW8Naj2zkM


Riazanova & Tkachenko SD Russian Nationals (I really liked this version at Russian Nationals)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZBDw_WKqSbk&feature=results_video&playnext=1&list=PL1EFBA25C8CC87234
Riazanova & Tkachenko SD Europeans (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6YZsPorELJo
Riazanova & Tkachenko FD Europeans (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EF_Je8ez0uA
Riazanova & Tkachenko FD Russian Nationals


Shibutani & Shibutani SD 4CC's
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rGwmcSLaevk
Shibutani & Shibutani SD US Nationals (probably their best of this dance so far; hugely different than GPF program)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tfv_ACXZ3JA
Shibutani & Shibutani SD GPF (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tSjeup2A6Ns
Shibutani & Shibutani FD US Nationals
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sqmhO1MszkY
Shibutani & Shibutani FD 4CC's
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PEbslHn0-js
Shibutani & Shibutani FD GPF (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zov69Gw_NLU

Virtue & Moir SD Skate Canada (their highest scoring SD this season)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YfAIzFJB14s
Virtue & Moir SD 4CC's
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hxBoyQgZ8ZY
Virtue & Moir SD Canadian Nationals
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2NC3gqKoenA
Virtue & Moir FD 4CC's
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zpPtd7EkPs
Virtue & Moir FD GPF (their highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sJXhEkhO1NU

Weaver & Poje SD Canadian Nationals
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-HvumYJyZY
Weaver & Poje SD GPF (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_iUeA22cxw
Weaver & Poje FD GPF (highest scoring)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=moZKIEiGPdM
Weaver & Poje FD 4CC's
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8okkdybjyKQ
 
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Totentanz

Ursula Gumennik
Medalist
Joined
Feb 28, 2012
Men
1. Patrick Chan (he wins everything these days)
2. Artur Gachinski (if he skates as he did in Euros)
3. Javier Fernandez (if he overcomes the pressure of being a top contender)

I think Takahashi will make the podium easier than my second and third but that's just how I feel:)

Ladies
1. Carolina Kostner (she is really good this season, and deserves the gold)
2. Ashley Wagner (it seems like she is getting better and better, would be very nice to see her taking silver)
3. Mao Asada (maybe Akiko will replace her and take the bronze)

Polina Korobeynikova and Alena Leonova really have the potential to make podium. If Polina skates a clean short program with her Euro's fs, I can see her even getting a silver medal. Alena is a really good skater even people on this forum don't like her that much. She sells her programs so when she is on I think she can pass everybody except Carolina. This year is definetely Kostner's year, and she was even better than earlier in the Challenge Cup. Also, it will be really good to see Viktoria Helgesson skate her fs like she did in the Euros but without under-rotations.
 

TelmoFe

Rinkside
Joined
Oct 20, 2011
Pairs

1- Aliona SAVCHENKO / Robin SZOLKOWY
2- Tatiana VOLOSOZHAR / Maxim TRANKOV
3- Yuko KAVAGUTI / Alexander SMIRNOV
4- Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN
5- Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD
6- Qing PANG / Jian TONG
7- Vera BAZAROVA / Yuri LARIONOV
8- Caydee DENNEY / John COUGHLIN
9- Narumi TAKAHASHI / Mervin TRAN
10- Stefania BERTON / Ondrej HOTAREK
11- Mary Beth MARLEY / Rockne BRUBAKER
12- Vanessa JAMES / Morgan CIPRES
13- Jessica DUBE / Sebastien WOLFE
14- Mari VARTMANN / Aaron VAN CLEAVE
15- Maylin HAUSCH / Daniel WENDE
16 - Stacey KEMP / David KING
 

gioccia

On the Ice
Joined
Feb 28, 2012
Men:
Gold Patrick Chan

Silver Arthur Gachinski

Bronze Daisuke Takahashi

Ladies:
Gold Carolina Costner

Silver Mao Asada

Bronze Ashley Wagner

Pairs
Gold Savchenko and Szokolwi

Silver Tatiana Voloshoshar and Maxim Trankov

Bronze Kawaguchi and Smirnov

Ice dance
Gold Tessa Virtue and Scott Moir

Silver Davis and White

Bronze Weaver and Poje or Pechalat and Bourzat(status uncertain)

that's my choice as well. I'm not that sure about Artur's 2nd place though...he might not medal this year.
 

deedee1

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 14, 2007
<Pairs>

What I hope for:

1 Yuko/Sasha
2 Aolina/Robin
3 Tatiana/Maxim

My predictions:

1 Aolina SAVCHENKO/Robin SZOLKOWY
2 Tatiana VOLOSOZHAR/Maxim TRANKOV
3 Yuko KAVAGUTI/Sasha SMIRNOV

My guess is if Aolina & Robin can skate almost clean, judges will give them the Gold once again, in thanking to their unique styles, superior skating skills and contribution to the pair descipline all these years. Come 2012-13 season, my bet is judges will start holding up Tatiana & Maxim no matter what, and the Russian pair remains simply 'unbeatable' at every single competition till Sochi.

As I wote in another thread, Yuko & Sasha are my sentimental favorite for the Gold.
When Russia seemingly had no other top pair teams after Totmianina/ Marinin, and desperately needed spots at Worlds and Vancouver, it was Yuko & Sasha who did everything for the federation. All the efforts, hard works and sacrifices they made should deserve at least, one World title. And this year's might be their best and last chance for the title.
I really really wish they will skate 'lights out' and get the Gold with two clean skates. Fingers crossed!
 

yellownote

Match Penalty
Joined
Mar 23, 2012
Why does it make Chan fans mad when people point out how far ahead of the pack he is?

It's more like why does every Chan conversation always associate with "falls"? EVERY skater has falls, not just Chan. And if Chan wins, it's because of his programs, his superior skating skills, not because of his "falls". Chan = falls are getting SOOOO tiresome.
 

icellist

On the Ice
Joined
Oct 16, 2011
Just reposting from my post in the "the Edge" board

Ladies:
G. Kostner
S. Suzuki
B. Asada
4. Wagner or Czisny
5. Leonova
6. Wagner or Czisny
7. Gedvanishvili
8. Murakami
9. Korebeynikova
10. Zhang
11. Helgesson
12. Marchei
13. Glebova
14. Lacoste
15. Kwak
16. Silete
Japan, US and Italy(barely) earns 3 spots and Russia (barely) looses theirs. Georgia and China earn two spots. Sweden barely missing the target.
Suzuki really deserves to shine though

Men:
G. Chan
S. Takahashi
B. Abbott/Kozuka/Hanyu/Fernandez/Brezina/Verner/Joubert...
Not even going to bother. Too open
Hoping that Takahashi wins though...

Dance:
G. V/M
S. D/W
B. P/B
4. W/P
5. Shibs
6. B/S or I/L
really similar to GPF

Pairs:
G. S/S
S. V/T
B. K/S
4. P/T
5. S/H
6. D/R
7. B/L
8. D/C or M/B
9. T/T
10. B/H
11. D/C or M/B

next time can we just have one predictions thread?
 

clyte

Rinkside
Joined
Mar 20, 2012
I read the opinion of all of you with fascination. And I thought as follows.

【WOMEN】
1 Carolina Costner
2 Mao Asada
almost the third place
Akiko Suzuki, Alena Leonova, Ashley Wagner

【MEN】
1 Patrick Chan
2 Daisuke Takahashi
almost the third place
Takahiko Kozuka, Javier Fernandez, Artur Gashinski, Jeremy Abbott, Michal Brezina, Yuzuru Hanyu

About women, I think that Carolina's techniques and confidence are the most stable than other women's, in this season.
And I feel that Mao hasn't conviction about techniques of her own yet.
If they feel uneasiness during competition even for an instant, it influences performance. Of course it is not problem only for women.

The first place and the second place of men will be either of Chan or Takahashi. I think it's approximately stable, if without big trouble.
Then, who comes in the third place?
I can't help paying attention to Yuzuru Hanyu. I referred to words of his own, and many Japanese news and newspapers.
After Japan National, he improved quality of skating to make up for stamina lack and improved choreography between elements to get a better evaluations in PCS. He is stronger than many other skaters mentally, and he has highest success rate of quad of Japanese now, and is by no means inferior to Takahasi and Kozuka in TES.

However of course it goes without saying that all skaters continue making an effort.
I want all of them to do their best. So if miracle happens, I want to watch performances without miss and fall of all skaters.
 
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Joined
Jun 21, 2003
Thank you for joining us, clyte. Welcome. I am glad the registration problems got straightened out. Happy posting! :)
 

Enidan

On the Ice
Joined
Nov 20, 2010
Men
1. Patrick Chan
2. Javier Fernandez
3. Takahiko Kozuka
4. Daisuke Takahashi


Ladies
1. Ashley Wagner
2. Carolina Kostner
3. Akiko Suzuki
4. Mao Asada
 

blue_idealist

Record Breaker
Joined
Feb 25, 2006
I'm just going to predict the medals, top 10 is too difficult lol.

MEN

1) Patrick Chan
2) Daisuke Takahashi
3) This is a hard one. I wish I could say Brian Joubert, but I think I'll go with Takahiko Kozuka. If not him, then Fernandez, Brezina, or Gachinski. lol.

WOMEN

1) Mao Asada
2) Carolina Kostner
3) Ashley Wagner.. or maybe Akiko Suzuki.

PAIRS

1) Volosozhar/Trankov
2) Savchenko/Szolkowy
3) Kavaguti/Smirnov

Sorry, no Pang/Tong on the podium this year I don't think.

DANCE

1) Davis/White
2) Virtue/Moir
3) Pechalat/Bourzat if there, if not, Weaver/Poje.
 

deedee1

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 14, 2007
<Ice Dance>

What I hope for:

1 Meryl/Charlie
2 Nathalie/Fabian
3 Kaitlyn/Andrei

My predictions:

1 Tessa VIRTUE/Scott MOIR
2 Meryl DAVIS/Charlie WHITE
3 Nathalie PECHALAT/Fabian BOURZAT

If, I hope not, but if Nathalie & Fabian are forced to withdraw, I think the bronze will go to one of Russian teams, whichever the cleaner team.
My bet is, judges do not like the podium sweep by the North Americans two years in a row, and especially at the Worlds in Europe, they simply are not going to allow it.
 

romanoff81

Match Penalty
Joined
Nov 20, 2004
Sorry they just don`t think like that weaver and poje have beaten the russian teams at the last two or three competitions and bobrova and soloviev twice at home, I like I&K i think they can become great but their programs are not that great i want them to beat the shibs though.
 

emma

Record Breaker
Joined
Oct 28, 2004
I stink at predictions.....I think Chan is the undisputed forerunner for Gold and it would be shocking if he messed up enough to loose it. So, I predict Chan. For the rest of the men - Taka, Abbot, Kazuka, Joubert, Fernandez, Hanyu, Amodio, Gachiniski all have shots at medals, but I think the first three to five I listed are most likley medal contenders (but really, anything could happen with this bunch). I would love to seem them all do well and let the points/placements fall where they may (and I would add that there are a few others, including Rippon, who I would love to see skate their best).

After men's, I think dance is a shoe in for either V/M or D/W but have absolutely no idea who will take it - can't wait to find out. Can't predict further...but feel sooooo badly for the French team's injury and wish them the best. Hope W/P skate like they have all season ( or better :))! I suspect they can win bronze. I'm really curious to see where the Shibs end up too....I think P/B will have a lot to do with this (whether they skate, and then if they do, how they skate).

Ladies: Carolina seems to be in the driver's seat; but I would not rule out Mao or Akiko at all...for me this followed by pairs is the most up in the air gold and then rest of the podium; I'm not up enough on the Russians to say much, but it will be interesting to watch this...and for me, it will be really interesting to see how Wagner does and I'm routing for a clean Alissa wherever she places!

Pairs: haven't watched enough to say; I absolutely love, love, love S/S programs, particularly their LP and would love to seem them nail it for that reason. V/T surely on the podium and maybe gold.
 
K

kilyca

Guest
MEN
1. 2.Patrick Chan or Daisuke Takahashi
3.... Takahiko Kozuka, Brian Joubert, Yuzuru Hanyu, Jeremy Abbott

WOMEN
1.Mao Asada
2.Carolina Kostner
3...Akiko Suzuki, Alissa Czisny , Kanako Murakami

I expect Mao's feeling return.

Patrick and Daisuke are clearly special with other skaters.
I expect Kozuka. He cited the problem of skating shoes as a cause of the disorder that was in the first half of this season, but it was already settled. He until the last season said it in this way. "the success of my quad was accidental". But he said in this way in this season. "I was able to acquire feeling (timing) when quad was certain by experience".
If adjustment of Yuzuru goes well, it's surely run a close race against.
I'm interested in a program of Kevin Reynolds. What rank is he if there is not deduction such as underrotated? Is excited.
 
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sequinsgalore

Record Breaker
Joined
Dec 12, 2008
I'll take a stab at it:

Ladies
1. Carolina Kostner ITA
2. Mao Asada JPN
3. Ashley Wagner USA
4. Akiko Suzuki JPN
5. Alena Leonova RUS
6. Polina Korobeynikova RUS
7. Kanako Murakami JPN
8. Elene Gedevanishvili GEO
9. Alissa Czisny USA
10. Viktoria Helgesson SWE

Men
1. Patrick Chan CAN
2. Daisuke Takahashi JPN
3. Artur Gachinski RUS
4. Yuzuru Hanyu JPN
5. Michal Brezina CZE
6. Javier Fernandez ESP
7. Jeremy Abbott USA
8. Takahiko Kozuka JPN
9. Florent Amodio FRA
10. Brian Joubert FRA

Pairs
1. Tatiana Volosozhar / Maxim Trankov RUS
2. Aliona Savchenko / Robin Szolkowy GER
3. Yuko Kavaguti / Alexander Smirnov RUS
4. Qing Pang / Jian Tong CHN
5. Vera Bazarova / Yuri Larionov RUS
6. Wenjing Sui / Cong Han CHN
7. Caydee Denney / John Coughlin USA
8. Meagan Duhamel / Eric Radford CAN
9. Stefania Berton / Ondrej Hotarek ITA
10. Narumi Takahashi / Mervin Tran JPN

Ice Dance
1. Meryl Davis / Charlie White USA
2. Tessa Virtue / Scott Moir CAN
3. Nathalie Pechalat / Fabian Bourzat FRA
4. Kaitlyn Weaver / Andrew Poje CAN
5. Maia Shibutani / Alex Shibutani USA
6. Ekaterina Bobrova / Dmitri Soloviev RUS
7. Elena Ilinykh / Nikita Katsalapov RUS
8. Anna Cappellini / Luca Lanotte ITA
9. Ekaterina Riazanova / Ilia Tkachenko RUS
10. Pernelle Carron / Lloyd Jones FRA

Any other Danes here? Read my figure skating blog www.sequinsgalore.blogspot.com
 

Redstone

Rinkside
Joined
Dec 12, 2011
<Pairs>


When Russia seemingly had no other top pair teams after Totmianina/ Marinin, and desperately needed spots at Worlds and Vancouver, it was Yuko & Sasha who did everything for the federation. All the efforts, hard works and sacrifices they made should deserve at least, one World title. And this year's might be their best and last chance for the title.

To be honest they were given plenty of opportunity to get the title. Like in at the Worlds-2010, IMO, they got the bronze at the expence of Mukhortova-Trankov. Don't get me wrong, I really-really like them, I like their programs this year, but they shouldn't be given a title just because they earned it through the long career. But if they won honestly I'd be really happy.

My wild guesses:
1. Chan (because, duh, who else?)
2. Kozuka (not my cup of tea but he was really-really good this season)
3. Anybody. From the usual I can only exclude Joubert (sorry to say that but I think he lost "it" and even the home crowd won't help). IMO, Takahashi, Gachinski and Abbott have the best chances, it'll depend on who'll be in the better mental state, who'll be able to stay calm and focused.

Pairs.
1/2. S/S or V/T. They are on the same level and there's nobody else there. But then again it'll depend on who'll be more focused and in better physical shape. It was so close at the GPF so there's no way to predict who'll make that small mistale and get the silver
3. Probably K/S or Pang/Tong.

Ladies:
1. Kostner
2. Mao
3. Wagner or Leonova (there a lot more ladies who can get the third place but for some reason I think it'd be one of these girls)

Dance:
1. V/M
2. D/W
3. P/B (a. they are really good and likeable, b. it's France, they should get at least 1 medal)
 
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