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Thread: Medal contenders for Sochi?

  1. #1
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    Medal contenders for Sochi?

    At this point who would you say are the gold medal contenders and medal contenders for Sochi. Not predicting the medalists, but who at this point would you project to have a chance. Here are mine:


    Pairs:

    Gold contenders- Volosozhar & Trankov, Savchenko & Szolkowy
    Medal contenders (bronze only probably)- #2 and #3 Russian pairs, #1 and #2 Chinese pairs, Takahashi & Tran, Duhamel & Radford


    Mens:

    Gold contenders- Chan
    Medal contenders- Takahashi, Hanyu, Kozuka, Fernandez, Brezina, Plushenko (if he competes), Gaschinski (probably only if Plushy isnt there and he has backing as Russian #1), Abbott if he ever gets his act together, Lysacek if by some miracle he returns with quads


    Dance:

    Gold contenders- Davis & White, Virtue & Moir
    Medal contenders- Weaver & Poje, Pechalat & Bourzat, Russian #1


    Ladies:

    Gold contenders- #1 and #2 Russians, Kostner, Kim if she is there
    Medal contenders- #3 Russian, #1 and #2 Japanese, Wagner, Gold

  2. #2
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    I would add Leonova to the gold list. She could go clean and if everyone crumbles under the pressure she could pull a Sarah Hughes. I think it's interesting that we all assume (myself included) Miki and/or Yuna could come back tomorrow and compete for gold medals when we would think the same if Mao was sitting out, and look how her last few years have gone. I just think through the years we haven't seen many successful comebacks in singles aside from Plushenko: Ito, Boitano, Petrenko, Cohen, and Witt came back but never achieved anything close to their previous results.

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    I dont think Ando has any chance if she comes back (which she probably wont) but Kim could. Kim is a supreme enough talent, and at her best she is about 2 levels higher than anything we saw the last 2 seasons, so for the moment she could come back even after time off and have a chance. Frankly I dont think she will come back either though.

    If Leonova is Russian #1 or #2 by Sochi she could have a chance at winning. If she is Russian #3 in Sochi highly unlikely. Notice I did not specify names in some cases.

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    I don't think we'll see Kostner in Sochi.

    In interview, Didn't she say she even doesn't wanna think about Olympics' memory?

  5. #5
    Rooting for the divas with Kwanford Spun Silver's Avatar
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    As of now, I'm predicting Lipnitskaya (not "Russian #1 or 2") for the OGM. Fingers crossed.

    Since we're talking two years into the future, please add a remoralized Mirai to the list!

  6. #6
    Custom Title macy's Avatar
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    hmmm.

    men- chan for gold. der. as for the rest, i don't know.

    pairs- S/S, V/T

    dance- V/M, D/W, condenders maybe W/P, P/B, the shibs

    ladies- depends on a lot...hm. not gonna throw any gold medals out there but contenders would be kostner and suzuki if they continue, asada and nagasu if they come back strong, wagner, gold, leonova, the little russians.

  7. #7
    Huge Scott Moir Fan Macassar88's Avatar
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    My really early Sochi predictions

    Men
    Plushenko (with Camerlengo Choreography), Takahashi, Chan
    Other contenders: Plush without Camerlengo choreo, Hanyu, Fernandez

    Ladies
    Tuktamisheva, Kostner, Lipnitskaya
    Other contenders: Sotnikova, Leonova, Asada, Wagner, Suzuki, Gold

    Pairs:
    Volosozhar and Trankov, Savchenko and Szolkowy, Davankova and Deputat
    Other contenders: Pang and Tong, Sui and Han, Takahashi and Tran, Bazarova and Larionov

    Dance:
    Virtue and Moir, Davis and White, Sinitsina and Zhiganshin (if they leave Kustarova) or else Weaver and Poje
    Other contenders: Ilinykh and Katsalapov, Pechalat and Bourzat, Capellini and Lanotte

  8. #8
    Custom Title DianaSelene's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Macassar88 View Post
    My really early Sochi predictions

    Men
    Plushenko (with Camerlengo Choreography), Takahashi, Chan
    Other contenders: Plush without Camerlengo choreo, Hanyu, Fernandez

    Ladies
    Tuktamisheva, Kostner, Lipnitskaya
    Other contenders: Sotnikova, Leonova, Asada, Wagner, Suzuki, Gold

    Pairs:
    Volosozhar and Trankov, Savchenko and Szolkowy, Davankova and Deputat
    Other contenders: Pang and Tong, Sui and Han, Takahashi and Tran, Bazarova and Larionov

    Dance:
    Virtue and Moir, Davis and White, Sinitsina and Zhiganshin (if they leave Kustarova) or else Weaver and Poje
    Other contenders: Ilinykh and Katsalapov, Pechalat and Bourzat, Capellini and Lanotte
    I might be wrong but I thought D/D can't go to senior comps until the season after the olympics. Would they be allowed to senior gps and euros and olys the 2013-2014 season?

  9. #9
    Tripping on the Podium Narumi1997's Avatar
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    Yes, Davankova and deputat are eligible for Sochi. She turns 15 before July 1, 2013 (May 2, 1998 is her DOB)

  10. #10
    Custom Title DianaSelene's Avatar
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    D/D is a pretty awesome pair. If they continue looking great next year with clean throws and jumps, I might have some faith in them for Sochi... if of course Russia lets them go to the olympics.

  11. #11
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    Gold Men: Chan, Any of the Japanese 3 (Tak, Koz, Han), Gachinski somehow
    Gold Ladies: Sot and Tukt (gold and silver tossup), bronze is up in the air between Kostner, Leonova.
    I think Asada would rather bomb than get bronze.
    Kim will not return
    Not sure if Wagner will get any Olympic love from the judges- G. Gold, if her artistry improves, is a better bet to medal.

  12. #12
    - * - blue_idealist's Avatar
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    MEN

    Gold contenders - Chan, Takahashi, Plushenko
    Medal contenders - Hanyu, Brezina, Joubert, Kozuka, Amodio, Fernandez, Gachinski if he gets his act together. Some are saying Abbott but I disagree because he crumbles too often. Gachinski crumbled this year at Worlds but he also has a world bronze under his belt already.

    This is assuming Lycacek's not going to return, since I really don't think he is lol.

    LADIES

    Gold contenders - Kostner, Asada, Suzuki, Murakami, Wagner, Leonova, Kim if there, Ando
    Medal contenders - Tuktamysheva, Sotnikova, Gedevanishvili, Gold if she's there, Kexin Zhang, Korpi

    This one's really hard to call, since there hasn't been a dominant lady since Yu-Na Kim.. I wouldn't really call Carolina dominant.. and it's hard to even say which ladies will go from which countries at this point. I know it sounds like a long shot to say that Wagner, Leonova, or Murakami could win Olympic gold, but the ladies event HAS been unpredictable. Predicting Asada or Ando for gold also assumes that they will be in good form, ie. NOT the same Mao that showed up at the 2012 Worlds!

    PAIRS

    Gold contenders - Volosozhar/Trankov and Savchenko Szolkowy, that one's easy.
    Medal contenders - Bazarova/Larionov, Kavaguti/Smirnov, Takahashi/Tran, Duhamel/Radford, Sui/Han, Pang/Tong, maybe Zhangs, Denney/Coughlin or Moore-Towers/Moscovitch.

    DANCE

    Gold contenders - Virtue/Moir and Davis/White, also an easy one
    Medal contenders - Pechalat/Bourzat, Weaver/Poje, Shibutanis, Ilinykh/Katsalapov, Bobrova/Soloviev, Cappellini/Lanotte

  13. #13
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    too early to tell, 2 more years
    a lot can happen at that time !

    Quote Originally Posted by DianaSelene View Post
    I might be wrong but I thought D/D can't go to senior comps until the season after the olympics. Would they be allowed to senior gps and euros and olys the 2013-2014 season?
    as much as I love Davankova/Deputat
    I'd doubt they'll send a very young pair fresh coming out from juniors with less than 2 or 1 season of senior experience left go to the Olympics
    I'd be surprised if they replace B/L with D/D

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