Last edited by icellist; 09-23-2012 at 05:55 PM.
I remember being hyped up about her too. She shared Yuna's coach, and she and that new upstart Adam Rippon were poised to become the next US champs.
God love him, but you can be sure if Scott Hamilton hypes you up, your career is toast.
I was at this so called "fluff competition" last week. The senior ladies had to skate both the short and long programs less than 8 hours apart. Rachael landed a triple flip in the warm up. She looked upset after the long program as she doubled the flip. Also fell and didn't do many spin features. I personally think she doesn't have time to train or the energy. She has a lot on her plate.
Courtney is skating on the JGP this year. She was 2nd at Lake Placid JGP and has a reasonable chance to make the JGPF or Jr Worlds.
Mirai's first full senior season was 2008-2009. In 2007-2008, she chose to skate juniors internationally. So she choose not to be on the GP at all. However, in that season, after skating junior internationally, she won US Seniors. She was never in a position to get the up & comers slot.
Therefore in the 2009-2010 season she went to Skate America.
And in 2009-2010, Flatt won US Nationals, so in 2010, she went to Skate America.
In 2010-2011, Alissa won US Nationals; Alissa went to Skate America. Neither Mirai nor Rachael went.
This year, Alissa is out, Ashley Wagner is US champion, and Rachael has been doing poorly enough to have no other assignments, and to not be viewed as a threat to the US champion at Skate America.
So during Mirai's senior international career, this is the first time Rachael has got an SA slot that Mirai might have wanted. However, if you think Mirai is much better than Rachael, then you also have to realize that Mirai is much more of a threat to Ashley.
Rachael gets these SA slots because
1. she has generally been viewed as innocuous to the reigning champion (less artistic, low PCS)
2. she does not seem to covet the 3 competitions which set you up more easily for the GPF.
Last edited by dorispulaski; 09-23-2012 at 06:46 PM.
In fact Christina was skating very well here......until Scott said " here comes her best jump"
Don't have to tell you what happened ....splat
This is 15 year old Christina at her senior Natls debut......
Polina is staying Junior this year. Some of her triple combos have been getting downgrades or unrotations in competition.
Appreciate your preview R.D. and agree with much of it. Wagner should be considered the frontrunner after a great finish last year. The USFSA may consider Agnes and Gold as frontrunners, but I believe it is wide open. Agnes faltered at 4CC and was beaten convincingly by Zhang. This is Gold's first year as a senior, and I am not yet willing to cede her a podium spot at Nats. Many believe Zhang was underscored at Nats last year, and with her podium at 4CC, she should be in the running for the world's team. Czisny is coming off an injury and is a wildcard at this point. Nagasu had an uncharacteristic bad year, but has a new coach and as much talent than anyone and more than most. I would not count her out. Flatt rises to the occassion at Nats, but I don't expect the rise to be as high this year as in the past.
My apologies if this has been posted somewhere else already. I looked but couldn't find it, but I just found a short clip of the last minute or so of Ashley's free skate as done sometime in late July. I've never seen it before. It's hard to get a real impression of it from so far away, and at this point it is almost two months old... but at this point I'll take what I can get!
She's certainly hitting the accents in the music, and it looks like it will be a very sexy interpretation. Definitely a way to separate herself from the other US ladies. Of the ladies mentioned in this thread I don't think we see anyone really use sex appeal like she does here.
The speed also looks good from my untrained eye.
At this point in the year here's how I feel about the ladies:
Ashley looks to be putting herself in a league of her own if she's has anything to say about it. She knows how to talk the talk so I'm looking forward to seeing her deliver the goods.
I would say Gracie and Agnes definitely look to be getting a head start at challenging for that top spot. Because of Agnes' win I would say they're neck and neck right now, but I won't be surprised if Gracie starts to pull away as the season progresses.
In the next tier I'd put Mirai and Caroline. I'm REALLY interested to see what these two ladies do. I think the key word for both of them is power. They have the artistry, the spins, the lines. Right now I'd say they both look like their stock is rising. Mirai's throwing the double axel/triple toe combo in competition already this season (I think a good sign) and both her programs are stronger for me than what she had last season. I could see a real comeback for her. And Caroline is clearly on the comeback path. You know what, I'll put Rachael Flatt in this mix too. She clearly got her act together second semester of school. She found a formula that seemed to work for her. She seemed to be getting worse and worse since the olympics but maybe nationals fs was a sign of things to come.
Next tier I would put Christina and Alissa. I really have no idea how Christina Gao will fare while being at Harvard but as history has shone, going to ivy never seems to help a skater with competing. I'll be surprised if Alissa is ready to go for the grand prix, but I'm hopeful she can make a decent showing at nationals. I'll make an early prediction that she can make top 8 this year. I think if she really wants to make a statement she'll need a top 5 finish.
To make things interesting I'll also throw Vanessa in there. I wouldn't be surprised if she found herself ahead of Christina and Alissa
So I always seem to be an optimist and I KNOW these predictions will shift and change in the coming months but so far, based on what we've seen I would rank them:
2. Gracie/Agnes (edge to Gracie)
My heart wants:
This season I would say is better for the American Junior Ladies
sure there isn't a Gracie Gold caliber but there are many potential medalists
there might be2 american ladies to go to the JGPF
I prefer Angela Wang and Leah Keiser
over Hicks who has gotten terrible after her injury
This is a learning year for Gracie but i think once she learns how to really perform and not just skate and jump she will quickly challenge Ashley. Rememeber Ashley is a lot older then Gracie and has been on the GP circuit going on six years now while Gracie is a newbie.
I would also not forget about Zawadzki, if she gets her act together in the freeskate portion.