I am betting my non-existent money on Oda :P
Locks for the world team: Takahashi, and Hanyu. There's absolutely no way, unless today is the end of the world, in which these two will be left off the world team. lol.
From the vid I saw, Takahashi's UR in the 4T wasn't plainly obvious but detectable under slow motion replay. So it appears the Tech Panel made the right call here, though from the judges perspective, a UR that can't be detected without replay would be a rather minor consideration. The edge call on the 3Lz was also correct, though in this case, it was more a case of unclear edge as opposed an obvious Flutz. In the past, it would have been noted as a ! instead of e. Otherwise, the 3Lz+3T combo was solid. Again, any edge penalty here would have been minor. On the 3A, Takahashi got a little lucky as it appears to be slightly UR as well but perhaps not enough for the panel to call it as such. That could go either way so I see no evidence that the Tech Panel has been especially harsh with Takahashi on purpose here, they did their job fairly, not lenient nor harsh. Rather, Takakashi needs to watch out for his chronic tendency to UR jumps.
Other impressions : Although Mura landed a 4T+3T combo and a mostly clean program, I was a little surprised how much emphasis the Japanese judges gave to jumps with components more like an afterthought. In other words, I find Mura's program to be very basic for this level and his overall skating skills and use of the music is so far behind Kozuka and Oda. But it appears as though if you can land big jumps, you are going to be ahead at the Japanese Nationals - so much emphasis on the jumps, maybe too much. I would have switched the ranking between Oda and Mura but that's just me.
Like I said, I don't like how the Japanese skating philosophy overly focuses on jumps and relegates other aspects of the skating as secondary. As a result, the skaters they produce tend to have highs and lows at international competitions - that is when they bomb their jumps, you see their big names suddenly dropping to 9th-10th at Worlds like Kozuka, or Oda falling to even qualify for the main event or Takahashi falling all the way to 6th at Worlds in 2011. This boom or bust approach is not wisest thing in this sport where ice is always slippery. Given that you better believe the likes of Chan will not zayak again this year, it would seem the JSF approach is not the most conducive to their skaters' international success, just my honest take.
What time is the LP?
As a side note, in the vid I saw, Takeshi Honda commented on how Daisuke Takahashi indeed UR his 4T during the slow motion replay. I hope that will lay to rest any conspiracy theory that JSF has already fixed the results because if even the TV commentators can see the UR, not just the Tech Panel, then chances are the call was correct. The edge call was even clearer and Honda commented on that as well but I am not sure if he has access to preliminary protocol at that point or not. In any event, the unclear edge was quite irrefutable from what I can see.
Last edited by wallylutz; 12-21-2012 at 04:48 PM.
Good for Hnayu!
But Takahasi is the guy I can watch all day long.
In addition to the < on the 4T and the e on the 3Lz, Takahashi got three Level 3s and one 4 while Hanyu got three 4s, one 3. Small difference (0.9 total difference in Hanyu's favor in BV for their non-jump elements), but every little bit counts.
Oh, and Hanyu had two jumping passes after the bonus mark while Takahashi only had one.
From BV to meeting the bullets for GOE, everything has been extremely well crafted with the goal of getting all those little points. The other guys are really going to have to step it up if they want to get close to Hanyu's TES.
How did 2 judges go as low as 7.75 in transitions for Yuzuru. They're crazy. Also only +1 on 4T and StSq ??
He should have been closer to 100 i think
I never consider PCS can be accurately read as 1 absolute number in its 'mean' format, but prefer to look at them as a whole between upper tier and lower tier. More as as flashpoints/impressions while taking factors and variables such as where they are competing, who are their competitors, who's marking them, what the skaters did on the day, what was skater did at their last competition, what the skater's future the federation are pushing for, and how important is that competition. Momentum building is a funny thing, and having home events always helps.
This was his scoring at Finlandia, his first competition in the season.
Dai did make mistakes, but judges are usually more generous at home, but seems Dai didn't get as much home competition benefit relative Hanyu and his impressive GOEs especially just came off as the new GPF champion.
Last edited by OS; 12-21-2012 at 08:10 PM.