Results 1 to 15 of 17

Thread: Nate Silver and Figure Skating

Hybrid View

  1. #1
    Banned Reginald's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Ithaca, NY
    Posts
    227

    Nate Silver and Figure Skating

    Nate Silver of the New York Times has won national acclaim for his super accurate election predictions.

    Are any of you very accurate at your figure skating predictions?

    Does anybody think they're the best here?

    Is there a Nate Silver of figure skating?

  2. #2
    Wicked Yankee Girl dorispulaski's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2003
    Location
    Staring at the ocean and smiling.
    Posts
    15,316
    Whoever "Larry" is is very accurate

    and definitely wins:

    http://www.goldenskate.com/2007/09/i...nd-scott-moir/

    Check Larry's predictions (in 2007!) for the 2010 Olympics in ice dance:

    Larry (USA): OK, I’m going to go way out on a limb and predict the 2010 Olympic podium (in random order): Virtue and Moir, Davis and White, Domnina and Shabalin. Do you agree that these two teams are your biggest competition, or do you think that some of the old-timers will hang in there for three more years and challenge for medals?

  3. #3
    Custom Title
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Posts
    3,623
    Unfortunately there aren't enough people covering figure skating for there to be a Nate silver and many who Do cover don't really make predictions. Lot of people here are good but unlike elections there are many competitions with the same people in them so there are results to look at!

  4. #4
    Custom Title FSGMT's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    Italy
    Posts
    2,777
    OMG that was REALLY an incredible prediction! Especially considering that in 2007 V/M and especially D/W weren't really THAT high level (Meryl and Charlie's highest placement at Worlds was 7th)!! I won the GP predictions game this fall so I could consider myself quite good at predicitions...

  5. #5
    skating philosopher
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    The land of Agent Dale Cooper
    Posts
    8,135
    To be fair, Nate Silver did incorrectly predict the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots would face off in the Super Bowl. :P

    Would have been great to see my home team there -- but love the whole Harbowl!

  6. #6
    Wicked Yankee Girl dorispulaski's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2003
    Location
    Staring at the ocean and smiling.
    Posts
    15,316
    Yes, you are no slouch at predictions yourself, FSGMT!

    Not only that, but Larry has all 3 in the right order!

    In 2007 you would have had Tanith & Ben and Delobel and Schoenfelder ahead of D&W and DomShabs, although it was known DenStavs and DubLau were retiring.

    Here's the Worlds 2007 top 10.

    1 Albena DENKOVA / Maxim STAVISKI BUL 201.61 2 1 1
    2 Marie-France DUBREUIL / Patrice LAUZON CAN 200.46 1 3 2
    3 Tanith BELBIN / Benjamin AGOSTO USA 195.43 5 2 4
    4 Isabelle DELOBEL / Olivier SCHOENFELDER FRA 195.19 4 5 3
    5 Oksana DOMNINA / Maxim SHABALIN RUS 193.44 3 4 5
    6 Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR CAN 183.94 9 6 6
    7 Meryl DAVIS / Charlie WHITE USA 179.14 10 8 7
    8 Jana KHOKHLOVA / Sergei NOVITSKI RUS 178.29 6 7 8
    9 Federica FAIELLA / Massimo SCALI ITA 170.75 7 9 11
    10 Melissa GREGORY / Denis PETUKHOV USA 170.08 11 10 9

  7. #7
    Custom Title
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Posts
    3,556
    I am the Natalie Silver of figure skating, and here's my bold prediction this year:

    G: Kim
    S: Sotnikova
    B: Asada

    You read it here first!

  8. #8
    Off the ice Buttercup's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Location
    Left field
    Posts
    3,407
    That's an impressive prediction for sure

    Things I've called correctly: in the spring or summer of 2009, when skaters were rushing to return to competition ahead of the Olympics, I kind of suggested that Shen and Zhao will be the only comeback skaters to win an OGM. Unfortunately I cannot remember what thread this was in; possibly the massive Plushenko thread from a few years back, which means that I will never find it.

    Also in 2009, when he was fresh off an 12th place finish at JW, I wrote that Yuzuru Hanyu was going to be a serious contender - but I missed the "when" about that, as he got better faster than I'd anticipated.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •