Wasn't Kostner's FS clean last year? And she just barely missed the 130 mark...?
Then clean Kostner will be in the high 130's, and clean Kim may even break 140. Clean Asada (unlikely, if she's sticking with her triple axels) will be around Kostner. Clean Wagner in the mid-130's, clean Murakami (if she doesn't get dinged for UR's) in the low 130's, clean Suzuki in the low to mid-130's, clean Osmond and Gold should just barely eke past 130, clean Sotnikova in the low to mid 130's.
Here is how i see the top 5 faring:
Barring a major catastrophe, I think this is pretty much a lock for Yuna. Caro will probably skate well - she seems happy with this FS. I hope she does skate well - it really is a lovely program (even though it is my least favorite piece of Ravel's). Murakami is unpredictable, so Mao may make a charge and replace her in the standings. Love Mao's FS. Practice reports say that Osmond is consistently landing her 3Lz-3T. Is this a change to her program? If so, then a clean skate could put her in medal contention - that'd be really cool to see! And as for Wagner, as much as I am rooting for her, I can't help but feel that her FS lacks that X factor that could push her from 5th to the podium.
Clean Mao, sadly, will probably never happen. But given her 4CC scores she would easily break 140 if she gets her 3A, 3F-3L, and 2A-3T ratified along with landing the 3S.
A clean Mao, Kim, or Kostner will all break 140. The PCS scores for veterans, are practically as generous as they were at the Olympics. If Carolina and Mao top 130 after flawed skates at Euros and NHK, you better believe they'll top 140 if they go clean. Their PCS is already going to be set at a mark higher than the field and with a clean performance that will be boosted even higher.
It's going to be a tall order for Osmond to medal because she's already at a disadvantage before even stepping out on the ice. I can picture the same thing that happened in pairs today (and, really, the ladies' SP) happen in the ladies FS tomorrow. I'm hoping the crowd reaction from pairs will goad the judges into a fairly marked competition for men's and ladies.
But why do you say that Kaetlyn's already at a disadvantage? The crowd cheers louder for her than for anyone else.
Ashley always skates her best long program when she is down. After US Nationals we know Gracie can do the same.
It's not terrible. Geez. Haven't you ever heard of "root, root, root for the home team, if they lose it's a shame"? There is nothing wrong with some national bias. And to say they're not clapping for other teams is just silly. Even over the TV you can hear loads of clapping and cheers. Of course it's not as loud as for the home team. It doesn't work that way. I'm sure there are plenty of people in the audience who know the Canadians personally. They'd cheer for their loved ones the loudest no matter what.
but you should also provide support/cheers for other skaters even if its not from your country
some of the skaters when they skated the audience was deathly silent that all was missing was getting a cricket to make a noise
Nobody with a brain should really care about where someone is born in this day and age. It's all one World and we are all sitting here connected to each other.
Let's try to have biases that actually mean something.
Then again, you might as well clap clap clap the hardest for those who also live up in that frozen wasteland called Canada. Lord knows you people need to generate heat somehow.