I would love to see either Gao or Nagasu on the team, they both have had it rough, the odds are against Nagasu but she has the whole off season to work on her issues and strongly bounce back. Christina is such a beautiful skater on the ice and I see great potential in her, she could surprise.
Ashley isn't going to get good GOE on her 3Flip+3Toe regardless. That's what I'm getting at here. If she goes for 3Lutz+3Loop and gets -1 GOE, that's still more points than a 3Flip+3Toe with +1 GOE (plus doing the 3Lutz+3Loop allows her to then do a 3Flip as her solo jump in the SP, instead of a 3Loop, another small increase in points). Consistently getting +1 GOE on a fully-rotated 3Fip+3Toe isn't even realistic for Ashley to begin with, though, which is why it might be most profitable for her to attempt the 3Lutz+3Loop. That combination gives her something special, something nobody else is doing. It gives her a talking point to aim at judges - "I'm doing THE hardest combination in the entire competition". She only has to do it in the SP to get that talking point.
Ashley's body and jumping abilities are really good for attempting the 3Lz+3Lo. To begin with, both of these jumps are great ones for her (ignoring the edge issue on the Lutz, which is irrelevant to the mechanics I'm talking about). Her Lutz at its best actually has superb and very straight flow-out. Beyond that, if you look at her Lutz landings, she always tends to land right in the ideal sweet spot for generating momentum to do a 3Loop - she lands a bit short of being totally backwards, which leaves just the right amount of circular room to naturally swing around into a Loop. Ashley also naturally has a tendency to swing around into her combination jumps to begin with, which caters to the Loop. I really, really want to see her go for this jump combination in the SP, like she used to.
I'd say Alissa, Mirai & Ashley. Although my 2 & 3 could change depending on next season.
Last edited by dorispulaski; 03-22-2013 at 03:06 AM.
I would say Ashley, Mirai, and Gracie.
Given rest I think Ashley will come back strong.
Mirai's season ended early and I think that can fuel her for 2014. I'm hoping she is given music that suits to her strengths, when she is on she is beautiful to watch and is still well received by the Intl judges.
Gracie could be a threat if she works on her consistency and same as Mirai she needs music that suits her, with that being said she needs to work her artistry. I definitely see her being a favorite for 2018, she's young and has a lot potential.
If they are back in fighting shape, my top two for sure would be Ashley and Alissa. I think they COULD score better because they are more experienced. The last spot would be either Gracie or Gao. But it all depends. We still have a whole year to go before we can judge fully.
Ashley, Gracie, Agnes or Hannah.
No Alissa or Marai please. They have had their chances and I am tired of hearing the excuses for their poor skates.
I'm still not seeing how Ashley's gonna score 140+ on an LP without a 2A+3T or a 3x3, unless she gets real close to Yuna's PCS and GOE's. Can you provide a hypothetical breakdown of the BV, GOE and PCS that would do it?
I would love to see Ashley (who will kick butt and finally land that pesky 3/3); Mirai (who skates as well as she did last time around) and Christina (who deserves it). Gracie can go in 2018.
Wagner and Gold would be obvious choices, baring injury or a major collapse. The third choice would likely be between Mirai, Christina and Agnes. Agnes seem to perform better/ is held up, depending on your point of view, at Nationals, but her internation SB is only 166. Christina and Mirai performed similarly in the Grand Prix, with Christina getting slightly better medals with a slightly easiers draw. Yet she performed poorly in the GP final. Both have almost identical international SB scores of 176. Either would be a good third choice. I don't think Christina has ever been to worlds/ Olympics, while Mirai was only at worlds once (7th), not nearly the number of appearances of Czisny, Flatt, or Wagner.