Caro and Mao did bad short programs, Ashley skated clean and they were still ahead of her.
It is not going to happen at all for Ashley!
They should send an up and coming US Lady instead of her! Like Angela Wang or Hicks to get experience, a good way to start the next 4 year campaign for them!
I have to say that even though I admire Ashley getting through the FS after that fall and helping secure three spots for the US, I think she was a bit generously marked in terms of PCS. The fall was not only a disruptive kind as it brought her footwork sequence to a complete halt, but she did not recover at all well, skated veryyyy slowly afterwards and and had another slight stumble. So it's exactly the kind of mistake that should be punished in PCS, particularly P/E. However, she got the same P/E mark as Kanako Murakami, who only had one visible mistake (popping the axel) which was very slight, and slight underrotation mistakes which were accounted for in TES. And Ashley beat Kanako in the FS. Totally disagree on that. I would take Ashley's Nationals or GPF performances over her Worlds FS.
Pray for a miracle But in all seriousness, as we've seen from this years men's competition anything can happen. The girls just need to bring it with winning programs that have both the technical content and artistry. After that they've got to sell it like nobody's business the way Ten did it this year
I think Gracie is more likely to win a medal than Ashley, but it will be difficult for either.
Caro, Yuna and/or Mao needs to have a serious meltdown and Gracie and/or Ashley a skate of their lives if they want to win a medal. I think one of them, either Ashley or Gracie, would be able to place over Russian skaters(whether it's Julia, Liza, or Adelina) and maybe even place fourth at Olympics. But to place over big 3(Caro, Yuna, Mao)-that's another story.
Gracie certainly can aim for 2018 Olympics, though-I can see her as an Olympic medalist there. What she needs is:
2).She needs to work on PCS-especially IN and PE. And she needs to be more graceful-she seems rather stiff at this point, but she's young, so she has potential to improve.
I'm not sure about Ashley-I doubt she'll be able to compete at 2018 Olympics.
Gracie needs all the PCS improvements already discussed. Better music and choreo is certainly achievable, but I don't know that anyone can be taught to be less stiff. Changing her basic carriage is a difficult thing to fix. Even if improvement can be made, tension and old habits will come back under the stress of competition.
Ashley needs a higher difficulty in combo jumps. I don't know that she needs more difficult spins as much as she needs to get the rotations/levels done in competition.
Both need consistent performances.
Beyond that, I think predicting results in Sochi now is a bit pointless. The first wild card for every skater is injury. Some of the current front runners are getting older (in skater years, not normal life!) and who knows who will last through the pounding of another whole season.
I thought Ashley's music selections hurt her this year. Last year she skated to a fast, peppy song I had never heard skated to before (from the movie "Pollock," I believe) and then did her classical but sort of quirky "Black Swan" piece. This year she did iirc two Michelle Kwan retreads. She is not a Michelle Kwan type of skater.
When more "athletic" type of skaters try to force themselves into a mold of "serious delicate skater" skating to heavy, serious music, I think it robs them of their mojo. True, she did well on the Grand Prix circuit, so it wasn't a total loss, but her skating seemed happier and more entertaining last year.
Both girls need to find music and choreography that plays to their strengths. Neither would be well served skating to the concerto for a single violin or the soft sounds of an elegant piano, but I bet that's exactly what we'll see for both of them next year.
Actually I liked Ashely's pieces this year. I don't really think her music selections hurt her as judges seems more than willing to give her decent PCS. I think what really hurt her the technical side, not the artistic side.
In other words, yes, I agree with you, Poodlepal, that a single soft piano or harp glissandos are not for these ladies.
Jupiter is over 7 minutes long but could be artfully cut to make one barnstormer of a routine for someone like Gracie who can fly.
She's an attack-type of skater and she relies on making eye contact with the judges and, when she can, the audience. She's good at that. This year's pieces showed off her fire more. She needs pieces that show off her fire but that also mask that she's not the speediest or lightest skater out there.
Gracie, on the other hand, has an outside shot of medaling. I keep thinking of Kwan's 1995 to 1996 transition and if Gold can pull that off she can do well in Sochi. She really needs to do nothing on the technical side; her jump difficulty and quality are among the very best. If she can skate clean and improve her artistry, there's no reason she can't beat a 4 triple LP by Carolina or Mao.