And in regards to needing two different triples - did you see the senior protocols from worlds? Now seriously, how many pairs actually landed two different triples? A lot of pairs are still using one triple (either on its own or in combination with double) and double axel (one or two in sequence), or triple-double-double and double axel. The jumps are important, but so are all other pairs elements. Having only jumps is not enough, whereas having average jumps (one triple and double axel) in combination with great pairs elements can put you in the 5-10 place at senior worlds.
Russia is not interested in pairs who can place 5-10 at senior Worlds. They want pairs who have the technical ability to take over from V/T and fight for World and Olympic gold medals. None of the Russian juniors have shown they have that potential, except perhaps Gainetdinova and Tarasova/Morozov. The other Russian juniors could become another Bazarova/Larionov at best.
In comparison - the other Russian junior teams (the ones who according to you have no potential):
Lina Fedorova / Maxim Miroshkin: 2nd and 1st at JGP, 1st at JGPF, 3rd at junior worlds
Evgania Tarasova / Vladimir Morozov: 5th at JGP, 5th at junior worlds
Vasilisa Davankova / Andrei Deputat: 2nd and 3rd at JGP, 2nd at JGPF
Maria Vygalova / Egor Zakroev: 3rd and 2nd at JGP, 3rd at JGPF
Gainetdinova doesn't compete on her own but in a pair. G/B weren't a strong enough partnership but with another partner, she could have much better results.
Note that despite G/B's weak twist, G/B easily beat V/Z and T/M in the long program at Russian nationals and they came very close to F/M's long program score. If Gainetdinova skates as well as she did at Russian nationals in the long and has a taller partner with whom she can make up the lost ground on the pair elements, do you seriously think the judges will give the title to a pair like F/M?
She could present the "whole package" if she skates to her ability. The other Russian juniors, except T/M, cannot even if they skate to the best of their ability. So in a "everyone skates their best" scenario, the battle will be between her and T/M.
Kavaguti 31, Smirnov 28.
Bazarova 20, Larionov 26.
Only one of top Russian pairs is young enough to think about Olympics-2018.
Fourth pair - Stolbova 21, Klimov 22, young, but not very young.
So Russia is interested in good young pairs. Pairs, which for now are not world's leaders, but can become leaders at 3-5 years. I.e. Junior pairs.
Don't get me wrong, I do think she is talented, but so are all the other young Russian pairs. I just don't think she is more talented than they are. She has jumps, they have wow factor on their pairs elements. You are assuming that getting another partner would automatically mean that she would suddenly get the wow factor on her pairs elements, but in reality she would have to learn those things and it could take her as much time as the other pairs would need for learning the second triple jump. Bottom line is, the other pairs are missing something and Gainetdinova is missing something. She is not any better than they are.
Thanks for posting this video. Absolutly amaizing talent, very musical. So far the best what I have seen from Russia in ladies on a junior level, better then Radionova, Sotnikova and Sahanovich. BUT she needs to be consistent on all jumps and have nerves of the steel to skate clean. imho
I will keep watching her
She looks very promising---but she is a young prepubescent girl. It's easy to get those jumps around when the body is straight up-and-down, without hips.
We heard the same raves about Tuktamysheva several years back, and she hasn't quite lived up to the early hype, partly because she is currently struggling with growth and development issues.
EXACTLY. You don't really know how any of them are going to turn out UNTIL they go through the bodily changes puberty brings.
Tukyamysheva is doing really well with her jumps if you watched her LP from ECH and WCH, she is only lucking senior experience (SP results). Her base value for TES in LP at Euro was higher then Kim at Worlds, and one point lower at Worlds. She needs to be marked properly on her jumps (+2,+3 GOE) and PCS, no one seams to be bothered with this.