Don't you guys find the arguments too old? That has been done back in 2010. As 2014 is 4 years later than 2010, can you bring something new? Or simply just say:
I do not think he will win. Period!
I think he has a shot at podium.
I do not think he can even podium!
I do not think he can compete at all due to his injury!
etc. etc.
But not stuff back from 2010, and all the GUESSING and ASSUMPTIONS from your mind. There is no IF to that competition because it was done almost 3 years ago. Moving on people!!