If he can regain his peak form (which I doubt due to health reasons) I think he can 100% win. I think he is fully capable of delivering programs like Dennis put out there, and with his reputation and being on home ice he would outscore Dennis by a sizable margin. If Patrick is totally clean he should absolutely win, but Patrick is not a skater who is usually clean. The other top guys from Japan and Europe also struggle to deliver clean programs. Plushy is the only skater who has shown the ability to deal with Olympic pressure.
Plushy did not really "perform", he did some steps and one spin. Quite simple movements. Even his skating speed is not fast, so I think he is quite careful with the recovery pace (finger crossed).
http://www.jsfresults.com/InterNatio...o/data0105.pdf). And he wasn't as sharp as usual at 2013 Russian Nationals where he won (Plushenko's SP had a 4T-2T, Plushenko's FS had errors on his quad and 2nd lutz, along with no level 4s in his SP or FS; Voronov actually outscored him on TES in both segments). At the 2012 Russian Nationals that he won his SP had a shaky quad and 3Z-2T, and in his FS he botched both lutzes. Still great Nationals performances, but not the level of consistency he's capable of pre-2012.
I'm hoping he takes sufficient time to recover. It's always great to see him in a competition as it incites all the other guys to bring their best programs, and Sochi wouldn't be the same without him.
If we see another splatfest... why not? He'll have the reputation score, so his PCS won't be hurt, add to this home advantage and his stellar nerves. Olympics is a mental game, I've heard. If Plushenko will be healthy and will be able just to land what he plans, that's possible, not likely though.
Of course Plushenko can take can take the Sochi mens' title! No doubt there's a platinum medal waiting in a vault somewhere that he can award himself in the event those evil judges don't recognize his genius!
But he clearly stated he felt he had won, done enough to win. he was shocked, and it was bad treatment he gave Evan. Jumping up on the gold podium was wrong. As much as I like him and forgive the diva part of him, that was just plain disrespectful to the gold winner of 2010. I am sure he regrets his behavior. In retrospect, I hope he was embarassed, but I doubt it. This is why people feel the Russians are not good sports. Irina behaved similarly. Maybe there was no platinum medal but didn't Putin say it was or some other high profile Russian? Who said that it was platinum? His fan club? I recall it was said. Again, this detracted from the win by American Evan Lysacek, though not by much to me. It may not have been a large point spread, but i thought it was absolutely the right podium.