05-18-2013, 09:09 AM
I'd love to see Tuktamysheva and Sotnikova go, but Lipnitskaya is a strong contender.
05-18-2013, 09:24 AM
Pogorilaya can. She very rarely gets URs or falls and can do 3lz-3t consistently, as well as 2a-3t-2t. 3f is a lip and her landings are not always clean (her edge jumps 3s and 3lo don't seem to be as strong or high as her other jumps, but she can still do them, fully rotated). With her success last season she could be in the mix, however like Julia a lot depends on the timing of puberty. And while Julia may stay very small, Anna's proportions are much less balanced, her legs are very long and shoulders broader, feet larger, compared to Julia so she most likely will experience a big growth spurt in the future, the question is when. If the worst of it doesn't hit until after Sochi, and at least 2 of the 3 frontrunners are still struggling, then maybe she could sneak onto the team. Even if she were to grow a lot this summer, it might not affect her jumps, or at least not right away. Shelepen was tiny in 10-11 season then over the summer grew a whole lot but was still jumping very well at the start of the season (later in the season her results began to slide, but it took a few months). Julia is in the same boat and Tuk to some extent as she seems to still be adjusting to her body changes and her body is still changing. Adelina has looked about the same for a few years now so the issue is more in her head and with her technique than anything else so it's hard to tell how she'll faire next season.
Originally Posted by ForeverFish
Also big jumps don't mean one can do clean 3-3s or even necessarily indicates +GOE - Adelina is one example but also Courtney Hicks, her jumps are huge, but like Adelina 3-3s are almost always UR. Samantha Cesario also has big UR jumps, Mirai's jumps are not huge but they are pretty decent height wise but so often UR. So in that sense someone like Julia or Tuk who has smaller jumps but is able to rotate them more consistently is maybe better off, especially b/c with her technique Adelina won't be getting huge GOEs anyways (except maybe on her 3t-3t and 3lo, her best jumps, 3s is also okay).
05-18-2013, 12:51 PM