Alissa didn't make the Olympic team in 2010 with more than two triple jumps, so she isn't going to make it in 2014 with just two. Anyway, she has to make it to Nationals first, and it's not even sure she can do that.
If you do the math, Alissa actually could have been 2nd place at 2010 Nationals if she skated cleanly with Lutz and Toe as her only Triples. With three Double Axels allowed in the LP back then (and their value being weighed so high), a program of 3Lutz+2Toe, 3Lutz, 3Toe+2Toe+2Loop, 3Toe, 2Axel+2Toe, 2Axel, 2Axel would have brought in enough points.
That same principle still holds true. Alissa only needs 3Lutz+2Toe, 3Toe, and 2Axel in the SP if she skates great. Her spins bring in more points than anyone else and her PCS will be high. In the LP, she could probably do one 3Lutz, a couple 3Toe's, a couple 2Axel's, and a couple 2Lutz's (plus maximize all the double jumps in combination) and make 3rd place. I am completely serious. Mirai will probably get too many < calls that negate her content, Christina Gao and Agnes Zawadski will probably make too many mistakes, and Courtney Hicks/Polina Edmunds/Samantha Cesario will all probably have a couple technical glitches, whether that be < calls or more obvious mistakes, and not get very competitive PCS.
You need to look no further than Laura Lepisto getting a bronze medal at 2010 Worlds with one 3Lutz and two 3Toe's as the only Triples in her Long Program!! And look at Carolina Kostner in the first part of the 2010-2011 season - she dropped her jump content down to the lowest it had ever been (no Lutz or Flip at all) and yet she won NHK and was 2nd at the GPF. Alissa's team NEEDS to understand this strategy and make it work. Design a LP jump layout like I talked about and really focus on the PCS aspects of her programs. Alissa DOES have a good shot at making this Olympic team if she is given the correct vehicles and really attacks the performances.
Given her precarious physical condition, Alissa may be incapable of "really attacking a performance". She is not Laura Lepisto or Carolina Kostner. She is a 26-year-old skater who has had two surgeries in the past year for a very serious hip condition and her recovery hasn't progressed as well as she and her coach had hoped.
If she had any shot at all of making the Olympic team, that shot is getting smaller every day.
I find irony in a thread about whether Gracie is overhyped that there hasn't been any mention of Gracie in a few posts now...
Actually, I think she went from having far too high expectations placed on her (Ashley - watch out! - people even assuming that Ashley'd lost the Nr 1 US ladies' spot to Gracie already) to - DOOOOOOMED!!!! (Well, a lot of the ladies were Doomed - so at last I started to think it was a question of who was the Least Doomed, rather than who was the best... ) Now, hopefully, she'll have some peace & quiet to sort herself out.