1. Something we learned last year is that we are ALL terrible at guessing. Welcome to the party!
2. To not be dead last all you have to do is actually guess for each event. If you do this you'll be in the middle at a minimum, promise
I find the people who win these types of prediction games tend to not over think it.
I had a co-worker win an NCAA tournament pool who knew nothing about basketball. She basically made her picks on which teams had better looking uniforms.
And as in March Madness, you always have to account for the "Cinderellas" and the No. 1 players who choke.