> Max held his own in levels at NHK (SP and FS), compared to Rippon and Abbott.> Max held his own in levels in the Skate America FS, compared to Rippon and Brown.
> Only in the Skate America SP were Max's levels lower.
- Rippon (4th place): FSSp4; CCSp3; StSq3; CCoSp4http://www.isuresults.com/results/gp..._SP_Scores.pdf
- Abbott (7th place): FUSp4; CSSp4; CCoSp4; StSq3
- Max (8th place): CCoSp4; FCSp3; StSq3; CSSp4
- Abbott (3rd place): CSSp4; StSq4; FUSp4; ChSq1; CCoSp4http://www.isuresults.com/results/gp..._FS_Scores.pdf
- Rippon (4th place): FCCoSp4; CCSp1; StSq3; ChSq1; CCoSp4
- Max (7th place): FCCoSp4; StSq3; FCSSp4; ChSq1; CCoSp4
Skate America SP:
- Brown (2nd place): FCSp4; CSSp4; StSq4; CCoSp4http://www.isuresults.com/results/gp..._SP_Scores.pdf
- Rippon (3rd place): FSSp4; CCSp4; StSq4; CCoSp3
- Max (6th place): CCoSp1; FCSp2; StSq3; CSSp4
Skate America FS:
- Max (2nd place): FCCoSp4; StSq3; FCSSp3; ChSq1; CCoSp4http://www.isuresults.com/results/gp..._FS_Scores.pdf
- Rippon (3rd place): FCCoSp3; CCSp4; StSq4; ChSq1; CCoSp4
- Brown (6th place): CCSp3; CCoSp3; StSq4; ChSq1; FCCoSp4
Adam & Evan, or if Evan ends up not competing then Adam & Jeremy. I like Adam & Jeremy equally but since Jeremy's been to an Olympics I'm picking Adam over him.
My picks are based purely on personal preference and nothing more.
I'd like Jason Brown but I don't think it's going to happen this year. If Evan competes at Nationals and skates Olympic-worthy programs I'd like to see him go back, and I guess I'd like Dornbush to go too. I'm bored with Abbott, Rippon, Farris and Miner. Adam is doing a bit better this season but I still don't find him enthralling and I'm not confident he'll deliver on a given day (to be fair, Dornbush isn't the most consistent either, by a long shot, but he's always been one of my personal favourite US men).
I have zero confidence that Jeremy will not implode at the Olympics. Jason is a joy and is the future of us men's skating. Since no other men are solid medal prospects, sending him is a great future investment. Then max if he gets his jumps back or Adam if he continues to look strong.
Just don't believe Evan will be back at this point. But he may keep talking comeback at the advice of his agent to stay in the spotlight for the net few months.
I have zero confidence that we'll ever see Evan competing in an amateur competition again. There has been nothing to suggest he could even compete. People who are wishing for that are thinking back 4 years to an Olympic performance that probably wouldn't even make the top 10 this year. He had major assists from his competitors. I'm very happy he won the OGM for the US but I think that was the skate of his life. He's been injured, has had surgery, hasn't competed - why on earth would anyone think he's a viable candidate at this point.
I'm going to predict that Jason Brown wins Nationals and Adam Rippon comes in at second. Both will place in the top 10 at the Olys. Jason won't win without a quad but watch out for the next Olympics. His performances at Eric Bompard were magical. I don't think Ricky Dornbush has a chance in h*ll of skating a clean program in a competition. I just don't think he's a competitor and it's sad because he has mad skating skills.
The saddest thing is that Jeremy cannot put 2 programs together. If he could just get some consistency he'd be a major World contender.
Forgot to mention that I have no confidence that Max Aaron will be on any podium. He was an inconsistent skater before Nationals last year, had the skate of his life, and hasn't done a darn thing since then. He has the jumps but that's about it. He'll lose on presentation every time.
Four Continents: 4th (1st US man)
Worlds: 7th (1st US man)
Salt Lake City: 1st (1st US man)
Skate America: 3rd (2nd US man)
NHK Trophy: 7th (3rd US man)
That's hardly "hasn't done a darn thing" since Nationals. It's a lot more than some.
And you are forgetting that next week we will see the second outing for both Dornbush and Farris. I don't know about Dornbush, but there's every chance Joshua has fixed his bobbles and will give us something as memorable as Jason did.
For the record, here is my predicted Nationals podium: Jason, Joshua, Max, Adam. Not yet sure of the order. Lysacek would struggle to make top five.
As someone who watches figure skating more for things like pure entertainment value, the way the skaters can draw me in with their programs and make me forget the world around me, and enjoying the musical pieces, instead of really focusing on the techniques, I would love to see Jason Brown make it to Sochi. That man has an air about him, such a presence on the ice.
It would be great experience, and maybe then in four years' time he will be a title candidate.
None of the US men are likely to medal unless there are multiple meltdowns above them. All would love the experience. It really doesn't matter who goes in terms of results. So let Nationals be the determining factor. I just hope Nationals is judged fairly-no "quad bonus PCS " or "lifetime achievement awards" or anything else of that nature.
Note that Abbott did not compete at Worlds whereas Max did -- so their relative placements cannot be dismissed with the reasoning that most WTT competitors are exhausted after Worlds.
Max was 6th in the SP, and 3rd in the FS. (Abbott was 4th and 6th, respectively. Chan was 5th in the FS.)
Like centerpt1, I hope that the Sochi slots go to the men who have achieved the best results in the here and now -- of Nationals and of this season.
(That said, if USFS chooses to give Brown and Farris extra consideration for Sochi b/c the experience would be valuable to them as potential competitors in PyeongChang, then Max deserves the same consideration. He said over the summer that his eyes are on 2018 as well.)
True that the GOEs left something to be desired, but Max was credited with a total of seven quads at his GPs. None were underrotated.
The only instance of popping was Max's second quad sal of his NHK FS (i.e., the one in the second half, and the third quad of his program). Double sal instead.
Well, whoever earns it at Nationals, whoever that may be.
As for who I hope earns it... at this point I've got to say Jason and Max. It's not as though any of the more mature skaters are likely to rank much (if any) higher than these two, and they'll be able to build on the experience.
I admit I've fallen off the Max bandwagon a little bit... I was approaching uber last season, but I'm disappointed in the programs.
On the other hand, I was so-so on Jason last season, and I'm crazy for him now.
Moral of the story: If you want my lasting "love" then you better deliver, fellas. And... I've got a short attention span.
In terms of Max's SP numbers, NHK was an improvement over Skate America in total score, total PCS, and each of the five components.
In other words, he owes his season's best SP score at NHK to his component scores.
According to Max, increasing his component scores has been an important goal this season, in addition to going big with his technical content. Synthesizing his dual emphases has been a work in progress that will continue through Boston ... and beyond.
Jason Brown- could he medal- probably not, but he's very exciting to watch. And I don't think Evan will go, it reminds me of Sasha trying to come back for the Vancouver Olympics.