That said, I hope we don't jinx Jason with all this declarations! :P
I'd be happy if he got on the podium at Nationals and build up from there. He hasn't finished higher than 8th in his three nationals appearances, so even a top 6 placement would be an improvement, but I do think top 3 and perhaps 4CC is quite realistic.
If he gets 2nd or even wins Nationals and gets a spot on the World/Olympic team, that is a major bonus. If he makes it to the top 10 at the Olympics that's like super ultra bonus. I do think Olympic bronze in 2014 is a huge stretch unless Jason shows up there with a quad.
We've seen what happens when a young team/skater gets to the top right away and then struggle afterward...it's brutal (Exhibits: Gachinski, Shibs, etc). So I'd rather enjoy Jason where he is now, celebrate milestones along the way and let him develop at his own pace, which seems to work for him so far.
Of course, it's possible that Jason could get to the top quickly and stay there, but that hasn't been the case for most skaters.
But that said, Jason is in a really good spot. What strikes me that he knows he is competitive for one of those spots, but yet he doesn't want it so bad that he's making a ton of silly mistakes. His team is definitely taking the cool-and-calculated approach regarding competition and I think it's paying dividends for him so far.
Of course, we'll have to see how he does in the pressure cooker that is nationals...