This Gracie hyping trend is ridiculous. Every Russian girl has to be compared to Gracie, not each other. It's like the fact that Gold just lost to Julia a week ago didn't even happen...Consistency matters. I'm not a big fan of Julia's skating, but girl has a ridiculously strong head. Gracie, among other girls like Liza, Adelina et al. are no comparison to Julia on that front.
If we go by record, say average all scores over the entire season before Sochi and rank all the girls, Pogorilaya and Lipnitskaya are mostly likely to get the two spots. But it doesn't work like that. No one knows if Liza and Adelina would get very lucky and skate the best programs of their lives at Russian Nationals. Right now things are not looking good for them. Sending 15-year-olds to the Olympics is actually always the best strategy. They don't crumble all that easily and tend to do their very best, even if they are not in a position to win OGM. I feel that Liza and Adelina have been the oldest in a new generation that they are burning out a bit, which is unfortunate because they are so young still.
Though for my own pleasure, I would love Liza and Nikol to go....
Russia does things differently. It really depends on two things-- top three at nationals (I'm betting Tuk, Julia, and Sotnikova), then the best two finishes at Euros. European judges LOVE Sotnikova...
If those two go to the Olympics the Russian entries will be quite....dull Sotnikova will be going to Europeans no matter what and, if she performs well there she's on the team. Elizaveta will need to show some real fight if she wants a spot and win Nationals, not likely unless Julia starts to feel nerves like mortals do. Right now it's likely the team will be Julia as Russian number one, and Sotnikova on account of the love international judges have for her. If everyone skates clean though Elizaveta and Adelina are going I'd say.
I m not sure it will even work this way, with Euros and Nationals, Rf sent Borodulin to Olympic Games-because Voronov messed up, Borodulin was not even at Euros. Which is kind of irony that they had a spare spot in Vancouver and didnt know who to sent and now only one.
For the ladies, i cant believe I missed somehow Anna until last Russian nationals, while I have been watching all the junior or before junior ladies since Radionova was 9 years old. There has been so many ladies in Russia who were eligible year by year, by the way, what Shelepen, Korobeynikova, Deeva, Byuriokova, Agafanova and Makarova are doing now? I think russian ladies go out of juniors too fast and they burnt out soon enough, while other federations keep their skaters in juniors until 17++..Adelina and Liza are only 17 and you think they skate at Seniors since ever, and now they got out Radionova while they could have waited for age eligible skaters first.
I dont think they would send Anna to Sochi, not much time to get her the reputation needed. My heart hopes Liza gets the second spot who I ve been watching since she went to Mishin, but I think Adelina has the judges love, she has better lines, great edges and speed and more innovative spins. But Liza gives joy when she skates, Adelina makes you anxious.
Last edited by seniorita; 11-04-2013 at 03:39 PM.