Wagner once starts getting unclean will go downhill from there, remember last year
after GPF, overscored at Nationals with mistakes and the withdrew from 4CC
Gracie gold might be a bit lightly inconsistent but she can always bounce back
she has what Wagner lacks a huge 3-3 combos, spins and speed !
as I have said Gracie Gold is the No.1 US lady not Wagner
You think every skater that you don't like is overscored.
LOL @ calling Gracie a "bit lightly inconsistent". In 3 out of 4 GP programs this year, she's made at least 2 mistakes. And unlike Wagner, she's fallen multiple times.
I suppose you'd say Hanyu "lightly" messed up in his quads in his TEB FS and was underscored for those errors.
You're so adamant that Gracie is the #1 US Lady. Wagner has a 1st and 2nd on the GP, whereas Gracie has a bronze. Wagner is going to GPF, Gracie is not. Gracie has never defeated Wagner. Until that happens, Ashley is #1.
If you stop and think about it, my program suggestion actually has the technical elements spread out MORE. 99% of all Long Programs these days have two jumping passes as the first two technical elements of the program. My program has a jump and then a spin. Then another jump, then footwork, and then another spin. The first half of the program would actually display a greater "spread" of elements than any other program out there.
Your assertion that 99% of programs have 2-5 layouts is completely incorrect.
It's also completely incorrect to say your jump elements are balanced when mathematically 30% of the jump BV is in the first half and 70% is in the second half.
And why are you going on about 70% of the base value of jumps being in the second half, as if that's an inherently bad thing? If someone can pull that off, it's a great athletic feat and could definitely enhance a program. I like Florent Amodio's program that had a "2-6" jump layout, by the way: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldaZRcLzjts
For pre-CoP programs, Todd Eldredge's "Gettysburg" was his best program ever and it only had 2 jumping passes in the first half of the program: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J41B8-RB9tw
I'd say Ashley wouldn't have much problem doing a 3T-2A sequence, you never know but it's almost a certainty considering she used to do 3T-3T sequences. Also the idea of back loading her program is actually a good one as Ashley has the drive and ability to power through exhaustion to pull out jumps under less than ideal circumstances (2012 GPF). Also it'd rake in the points she would lose from exempting the 3-3 in the FS which honestly seems to be taking too much of her energy and focus. The ChSq is great and really goes with the dark rhythm of that section and its simplicity is brilliant.
One thing I might not agree with is the 3F-2L-2L as the tech panel loves to call 2L-2L combinations and the judges don't like handing out +GOE on them, a 3F-2T-2L would probably be a little safer in terms of consistent scoring. Other than the 3-2-2 I agree with all the recommendations, you sound like you're a choreographer have you ever sent these kind of recommendations to the skaters/their team?
I just wish that Ashley would go back to "The Red Violin" for the SP and "Black Swan" for her LP. Neither of her programs this year have 'It' as far as I'm concerned. They just don't feel "Olympic" to me while her previous programs did.
Has there ever been a program executed by a woman with 5 triples and 2 double axels executed in the second half (let alone in 1 1/2 minutes) or anything even close to that?
I never said it would expend less energy either. It comes down to precision vs power, though. Doing a 2Loop requires more precision. Some people are much more talented on that movement than others and it also depends a lot on the type of jump for each skater, with regards to what they are best at doing a combination with. Ashley benefits from her raw power and stamina.
As an aside, you are one of my favourite posters, Blades of Passion. So I appreciate reading the critique of Ashley's program and how it may be improved. I look forward to your analysis of Yu-Na's programs in about 10 days time :D
I still question the idea of 3F-2L-2l though....
If you look at Ashley's 3L, she can easily do a 2L. But even a 3L-2T nets just 0.3 less than a 3L-2A sequence. A 3T-2A sequence has only 0.57 extra value. That is not worth the risk of a double axel. I'm 99% certain Ashley would NOT be able to execute the content you've suggested and certainly not capable of 5 triples and 2 double axels in less than a minute and a half.
Like I said, feel free to provide an example of any female skater who has ever executed that kind of jump content in such a short window in a free skate. And no, Julia's 5 second-half passes are not comparable as they are 4 triples and 1 double axel.
And at the GPF and US nationals? Her sequence failed her there.
Note that at Ashley's GP events this year, she has messed up her final jumping pass(es). So I fail to see how she would benefit from *adding* another jumping pass to the second half, let alone a triple-2A sequence. It can't be more obvious that she's reached the peak of how ambitious her 2nd half can be, if she's making errors with less content than what BoP has suggested.
A good choreographer also acknowledges the limitations of a skater, something which BoP has failed to do IMO.