Kostner needs to do either work with spins or change her combination in the SP. She is losing TES. Sotnikova needs a better combination than 3lutz+3loop. She underrotates a lot and not going to get any positive GOE because of ''e''. Wagner needs to do rotate her 3F+3T. Also can add more GOE for spins like Kostner. Suzuki only have 3T+3T so she can do 3F at the second half of the program for bonus maybe. If Kim,Asada, Lipnitskaia and Gold skate a clean SP one of those ladies won't be at the last group. This is a huge disadvantage. Julia and Gracie easliy can get 38+ TES If they don't make mistakes.
I agree with you. Bronze will probably go either to Caro or Ashley. If Yuna is back in shape she will win the gold medal. Mao silver.
Pressure will be too much for the Russian girls. Especially Adelina would not be able to handle it, but after seeing Julia in CoR, things don't look good for her either. They are both really young and to skate in the Olympics in front of your home crowd won't be easy.
Originally Posted by demarinis5
I was a bit stunned at Julia's free skate at the COR. I know nobody is perfect all the time, but I was starting to think she was impervious to pressure. Obviously not.
IMO, that is a true statement, but not comprehensive.
Originally Posted by Mathman
Some athletes, for instance, may suffer from an overflow of confidence that swamps their good judgment, forgetting that discretion is sometimes the better part of valor, and they end up making very bold attempts that were either beyond their capabilities or not necessary.
It's a tricky balance for athletes: too little confidence, and they "choke" under pressure. Too much confidence, and they take manically stupid risks.
There are possibly other mental states that come into play as well. For example, the ability to be clinical, to "step back" from emotions such as overweening desire, like the best surgeons do, may be an advantage in performance under pressure; on the other hand, too much detachment may rob you of the psychic motivation needed to attain peak performance.
I guess what I'm trying to say is that the elements in the interior life of athletes that contribute to performance are probably more diverse and nuanced than you suggest.
I'm not sure why so many people thought she was impervious to pressure when she did have some bad skates, notably at Junior Worlds and Russian Junior Nationals. However, I did not anticipate her bombing this badly.
Originally Posted by pangtongfan
I think the third spot is a huge question mark at this point. Mirai did well this weekend, but can she keep it up? I hope she does. Agnes has six weeks to work with Tom Z--we'll see if that helps her get in the right head space--she has the goods if she can keep her nerves in check. Not sure of Christiona ta this point. If Sammi gets that 3Lo-3Lo down and more speed, she'll be a challenger. It's going to be exciting--and heartbreaking. Not as heartbreaking as the men's however.
Mirai for two previous seasons had bad 1st GP Event (5 and 4 places), good 2nd (2 and 3 places), and after that 7th place at Nats.
Originally Posted by Matilda
Now she has places 8 and 3 at GP events.
Let us wait Nats to see - is she restored or situation of previous seasons will be repeated.