I love all of our home town boys for different reasons and root for them, to be honest, thus I am so torn apart...
Yuzuru is a LOCK. No matter what.
Daisuke most likely, if only he shows up at Nats and delivers two decent enough programs there. Sad to say but "Can he do it?" is a question mark at this point...
Tatsuki gets the nod from the Fed I think, if he doesn't bomb at GPF then can get onto podium at Nats.
Nobu needs to get onto podium both at GPF and Nats, and also BY beating Tatsuki two in a row.
Taka needs to win Nats.
Takahito also needs to win Nats, but the Fed probably does not want it I am afraid.