Russia looks for nationals and europeans. If Plushenko fail at nationals, he will go to euro and need good skate there. Then Sochi. If both fail, no Sochi. National competition is not all. Japan federation always made clear.
If Chan place 5th at nationals he 100% deserve olympics. National is only one competition.
I think they all had an idea of what the rules were like and what they had to do, so in that sense it's fair. There's a lot of logic behind not making the Nationals the end-all be-all, so as long as the skaters are well aware that that's the case, it's fair. However, I wish the system factored in consistency with a measure other than world rank, so Oda would be considered.
it's crazy that someone with 3 90+ TES FS scores and a podium at every event but Nats isn't going. I think with a different judging panel, he could have won NHK Trophy and the bronze medal here, which really makes me feel for him even more, since that would have improved his position.
But I can't get really get riled up because all 3 skaters are 100% worthy of going in terms of skills.
My main problem with the criteria that it rewarded certain parts of past performances while completely ignoring other ones.
For example, why are the top 3 in WR/SB considered but yet only the No. 1 at GPF is considered?
WR is also bogus for the reasons pointed out earlier. Oda was doomed there because of injuries that basically took him out in the second half of the 2011-2012 season and hampered him in 2012-2013. This was the first year Oda was injury free.
It's worth noting that in the season's world ranking, Noburnari is No. 2. Even if you take out the senior B he did (and the others), he would have been No. 3 behind Patrick and Yuzuru. Daisuke is No. 15.
Another worth noting is total scores.
Nobuanri scores: 262.98 (Nebelhorn)/233.00 (Skate Canada)/253.16 (NHK Trophy)/255.96 (GPF) Average: 251.28
Tatsuki scores: 226.21 (Asian Open Trophy) 265.38 (Skate America)/257.00(Cup of Russia)/236.03 (GPF)
Daisuke: 236.21 (Skate America)/268.31 (NHK Trophy)
Daisuke has the edge, but barely and because of his scores at NHK.
What's even more telling is the FS scores:
Nobunari: 152.18 (73.32 TES) (Skate Canada)/170.46 (88.62 TES) (NHK Trophy)/ 175.02 (91.58 TES)/(GPF)
Tatsuki: 174.20 (90.84 TES) (Skate America)/ 172.10 (89.60 TES) (Rostelecom Cup)/170.37 (88.07 TES) (GPF)
Daisuke: 159.12 (72.40 TES) (Skate America/ 172.76 (81.52 TES) (NHK Trophy)
Yes, Daisuke has the PCS scores to bail him out that neither Tatsuki or Nobunari has, but ultimately if he does not have the TES, the PCS only takes him so far, as we saw at Worlds in 2013.
So yes by the criteria Daisuke being chosen was fine, but it was clear they definitely did the cafeteria method as far as what factors were the most important.
This totally pains me to say because i'm glad that Daisuke is going to Sochi for more sentimental reasons and I love his skating. However, from a "was this fair" standpoint, that is where I stand.