On the Ice
Age and the Female Figure Skater, e.g.: Alissa Czisny
So, Akiko Suzuki just won the 2013 Japanese Nationals at the age of 28 and will be 1 month shy of her 29th birthday at Sochi. Maria Butyrskaya won Europeans in 2002 at the age of 29 and was 4 months shy of her 30th birthday when she placed 6th in Salt Lake City.
OK, so, wouldn’t seem feasible that a healthy Alissa Czisny could, at least, be competitive for a few more seasons (maybe not all the way to the 2018 Winter Games as she would be 8 months past 30 years-but who knows?), and be able to reclaim the US National title, and perhaps even a Four Continents and/or a World medal?
Of course she would have to want to continue competing (say she does), does anyone else other than me think she could hold her own against the young phenoms climbing the ranks now, especially since they are all due to hit their growth spurts, which we all know can reek havoc on a female figure skater?
Anyone with me on this?
Unfortunately, I think Alissa is done. Even if she has the will to continue, which would be Energizer Bunny-esque given how long she's already been competing, her body seems like it won't allow her to train enough to compete at a high level. She's had two major hip surgeries and her hip problem still hasn't healed- apparently she still skates with pain and is only able to do a fraction of the triple jumps and complex spins she did at her peak.
Originally Posted by Tippi1963
There's also a huge question of whether Alissa could still be competitive at the world level now even if she was healthy. The technical ante has been significantly increased since 2011-2012 with almost all the top ladies doing 6+ triples with one 3-3 combination. Even with her well deserved PCS and excellent spins, I don't know if Alissa's technical content (no 3-3, no 2A-3T, rarely more than 5 clean triples in a FS) would get her onto the world podium. Even if you're right that people like Lipnitskaia and Radionova may lose some of their technical ability in the next few years, others won't. Gracie Gold is past puberty and is only improving. Sotnikova is past puberty. So is Kaetlyn Osmond. And then there's Wagner, Murakami, Pogorilaya, and all the junior girls coming up.
As much as I love Alissa and never ever want her to stop skating, I would have to agree that she's probably done. Her hip injury is a very severe one and I doubt that she'll ever regain all of her technical abilities. I know Michelle Kwan had a similar injury and was planning a comeback which she didn't go through with. Of course I wouldn't really know for sure, but it would seem the extent of Michelle's injury probably wasn't as severe as Alissa's and she had given it plenty of time to heal. Also Michelle likely had better hip joint stability than Alissa to begin with, judging from degree of flexibility and hip turnout. There does seem to be a correlation between hip joint and jump stability. Alissa was never a good jumper in the first place. Factoring in age makes it even more unlikely. Yuna is several years younger than Alissa and is already saying her body is getting worn out and everything is so much harder than before. Plus she started skating much later than Alissa and has had time off from competitive training. I think that illustrates just how tough Alissa really is to have kept on going. However, I would say that if Shizuka Arakawa wanted to make a comeback she could probably pull it off. I believe she's in her 30's now but is still in great shape. The difference is that Shizuka has reliable jump technique and never had any major injuries.
It does seem like hip injuries are the death knells of skaters careers. What people MUST understand is that athletes' bodies (especially joints and stuff) age faster than the populace at large because of chronic, repetitive use. As skaters get older, they get more and more mileage on, specifically: Hips, knees, and ankles. They're pounding these joints, not only while jumping, but also in spins, footwork, and just general stroking. Medicine has come a long way to where you CAN come back from major injury, but Alyssa's hip injury seems to be chronic.
The TL:DR answer: No, I don't think Alyssa specifically could skate competitively to 2018.
BTW: Suzuki and Maria are EXCEPTIONS to the rule in skating. There are MANY more examples of ladies who had their careers cut short or ended because of injury.
Did Akiko and Maria have physical injuries to the extent Alissa did? I don't recall they did. It would be a big gamble for Alissa and quite likely not pay off and drain her financially. She has exceptional abilities in other areas and should probably begin to use those fully.
QUESTION: When Akiko wins a medal at Sochi (sending positive vibes), will she be the oldest woman single skater to do so?
It astounds me that Maria B managed to stay injury free. She had the most terrible looking falls of any skater I can think of.
Originally Posted by zschultz1986
The fact that Akiko won is awesome!
As for the question at hand, Akiko, Maria, Kristi, and Shizuka are clearly exceptional. Another such is Denise Biellmann, who maintained her jumps for years though she did turn pro. It's often a mixture of solid technique, probably body type, and some luck. Alissa never had strong jumps, so she started with less advantage. And her injury does seem, like Yagudin's, to be insurmountable.
How in the world did Arakawa get into this thread lol. The problem is ARakawa has to get out of Japan first lol.
Originally Posted by jennyanydots
Kavaguti's injury was a dislocated SHOULDER which in itself is hard to heal, but far less disruptive to a career than a torn hip labrum. Surgery can permanently correct a dislocated shoulder.
Right now, K/S's problem is Smirnov's injury and recovery, not hers.
Alissa appeared in a Detroit skating show this weekend. She did her SP from Regionals, with just one jump, the 2A.
Even if she's totally healthy AND EVEN INJURY-FREE -- and her hips don't bother her at all -- no. She's finished. She was never a fierce competitor and her jumps were so iffy. You need both to be successful.
Alissa in her best season of skating in 2010-2011, winning the Grand Prix final, winning U.S Nationals with an amazing performance, and then skating almost perfectly again at Worlds, still could finish only 5th, in what was probably the worst womens field since about 1980. She was beaten by Alena Leonova at Worlds in her best year of skating when she was twice more consistent than any other time of her career. Yu Na Kim showed up woefully unprepared and basically sleptwalked through those Worlds without any of her usual energy or command, about made 4 mistakes over the 2 programs, and still nearly (and probably should have) won those same Worlds Czisny could only make 5th skating nearly cleanly at.
Originally Posted by amc987
Of course she isnt going to be on the World podium today in any form. Her PCS are not THAT high. They are only high for a U.S skater in the era of Flatt and Zhang as her main competitors. They were never in the vacinity of Kim, Asada, Kostner, Ando, Rochette, for instance. She has some wonderful qualities in her skating but she was far too slow and hesitant a skater to ever get top notch international PCS, nor did she ever establish herself as enough a top skater to gain the rep to get higher PCS. Today landing 4 or 5 triples (`good` for her) she would be beaten on PCS by nearly everyone in the top 11 from Worlds last year. Especialy as she hasnt been seen in years and has absolutely no rep value on the World stage anymore.
First off not every skater is the same. Those who excel at 28 and 29 are unique cases who are a very very small minority. We are reminded with Fumie Suguri and even the much younger Miki Ando now how those cases you mention are the aberration, not the norm. Part of the reason Suzuki and Butyrskaya arguably peaked at around 26, and were still contenders at 28 and 29, is they didnt even start to become good until about 23 or 24. Until then they were journeywomen who couldnt even make it out of their own countries to major events. Suzuki`s first Worlds was at 25, just after her first Olympic at 24. Butyrskaya`s first Worlds (not counting the time she didnt even make it out of the 24 women who advanced out of qualifying, so for all intents wasnt even there) was at 23. Even Michelle Kwan, one of the all time great skaters AND one of the all time greatest in the `longevity`category, was clearly past her prime and done as a real contender at 24.
Originally Posted by Tippi1963
Czisny even at her best did not have the technical ability that Wagner and a good Gracie Gold now have. She also did not have the strongest skating skills, confidence, or consistency. Her last major event of any kind was her epic meltdown at the 2012 Worlds, while skating when she clearly should have WD with injury, which likely would never have been forgotten by the USFSA (just look at the scoring of former USFSA pet and golden child Flatt at the 2012 Nationals). Most of all though she has now had two major hip surgeries, and another injury since then, and years of other injuries, which make training 6 or 7 triples (which she would need to be competitve today, and rarely even attempted, let alone did, in her prime) a hugely risky proposition at best.
So to your questions a resounding NO to everyone. I really think her biggest goal was to hang on to try for this years Olympics. Given how wide open that 3rd spot is, she might have been able to get it had she not sustained yet another injury. A real shame for her. She might want to compete one last time at Nationals to go out on a better note. However as for international glory or being U.S Champion again, no way.
I don't believe Alissa has had any injuries past the two hip surgeries. It sounded like in her comeback she had good days and bad days in training (per the interview with Yuka Sato with the Skating Lesson this fall), which is pretty standard for anyone coming back from injury, and hip injuries are particularly tough to come back from.
Originally Posted by pangtongfan
She hasn't said whether she'll continue to compete, but if she does want to come back and try, I certainly would love to see her pull a Ryan Bradley and go out on a high note. Otherwise, she is perfectly suited for shows and I hope to see her performing in an exhibition setting, perhaps even at the gala at Nationals this year.
Alissa may well be done, even if she isn't saying so yet. She knew she wouldn't make it to 2014 Nationals, and that's why she withdrew from Sectionals. Alissa may never be able to skate at a competitive level again, and only she can make that determination.
The problem with Alissa's type of injury, a torn labrum (fibrous tissue connecting the head of the femur to the hip socket) is that when the tissue heals, it is not as strong or as flexible as it was before the injury. The skater never gets back the full range of motion she had before the injury and there is always the danger of reinjury; sometimes the pain never quite goes away. The Olympics was a goal Alissa badly wanted and she tried hard for, but she had to give it up when she realized her body couldn't do what was needed. It's hard to imagine what other goal could motivate Alissa to continue on....
On the Ice
Victura: she did have an injury to her calf muscle that she sustained while training for the 2011 GPF. The doctors said she wouldn't cause it any additional harm by skating on it, but her eventual placement in that GPF told another story. I can't find the article now, but I'm pretty sure I read that that injury may have led to the first torn labrum, which was not healed enough for training and competing at 2012 Worlds. I wish she could have skipped the 2012-2013 season altogether to heal slowly and carefully, then maybe she could have avoided the second tear. Oh well, "If 'ifs' and 'buts' were 'candy' and 'nuts'…"
Originally Posted by Victura