I don't think a lot of people will agree with me on this, but ill voice my opinion anyway. I have been a fan of Ashley's for a while and I have seen her deal with disappointment and happiness after a good or bad performance. That being said, I would be lying if I said a part of me didn't feel like she did that on purpose. Having 2 of the top 3 go before her, and seeing their results, I think she knew that Gracie has given up her top place before due to crumbling under immense pressure before and mirai somewhat did too last year. After watching her performance, I realized that she didn't look near as disappointed as she should have, having messed up her sp on an Olympic year. She even said she was happy with her placement after. I think that she knows she can't beat Gracie on pure talent, so she'll grab that top spot out from under her when/if she crumbles. Again, just voicing my opinion based on pure gut feeling and observation.
I suspect that now Ashley is going to try too hard in the long and , probably, falter. Layback, if what you say is true, she sure is taking quite a gamble. I think Polina is going to be the surprise winner, with two 3/3's in her long. Gracie is probably more worried about her than she is about Ashley.
Please, let her skate before the post mortems. Ashley is a talented fighter with a great LP, the best one we will see tomorrow.
she will be in intense pressure to retain her No.1 rank that has been shifted now to Gracie, and the USFS support for Gracie could be intimidating for Wagner
her two footed or lack of 3-2 or 3-3 will be her downfall
I think we need to wait and see what happens in the LP tonight. My sense is that Diva Wagner will show up in all her glory. I don't know whether she'll win- it's difficult to know given Gracie's lead- but I can't imagine she won't make a strong case for being on the Olympic team. My guess is that the SP golden girls, Gracie and Polina, won't do as well tonight as they did on Thursday. I bet there will be a shake-up in the standings and at least one skater not currently in the top 3 will end up on the team.
I remember Dick Button use to say that US Nationals was the hardest competition of the season for most skaters because you are competing against your peers. I think this is the case for Ashley.
I'm very worried she will stay in fourth. If the girls in front nail there programs they have more technical difficulty. I'm not sure she came make up enough ground in component scoring. It's going to be a long day for me.
Welcome, Laybackspin. Thanks for joining us. Post often, post long!
However… No, I don't think Ashley (or any skater) would deliberately mess up to try to psych out the other guy.
If Ashley can come in third at the GPF, shouldn't she be able to come in at least third at US Nationals? And at the GPF, she beat the younger and better-than-Polina Russian wunderkind Elena Radionova.
To this point, Ashley has proven herself much more (nationally and internationally) than Gracie. It's obvious Gracie would get the most points if she skates clean programs; the problem is that no one in the US has done that since MK left the scene. Never saw Polina until the other day, and she's just 15 so she's just a wild card at this point (tho I'd be happy if she got the 3rd Oly spot). I predict Mirai will falter tonight, and if hx (tho it's a short hx) is any guide, so will Gracie (though I'm praying she skates her long like she did last yr). I love Ashley, and think the judges definitely like her PCS more than anyone else but she better not have a shaky long or she might blow her Oly spot. My best guess is she makes a few minor errors but does her 3/3 and gets at least 2nd. If she skates solidly and gets 130 points she'll prob win fairly easily (unless Gracie skates 2 clean programs for the first time as a senior). It truly would be fascinating (if extremely unlikely) if all of the top 4 skate a clean program.
I don't know if this was mentioned before or if it's obvious or anything but if ashley doesn't make the top 3, will she still be put on the team? Are her achievements great enough to overlook a bad skate?