And the reason why it's a scandal is because people simply haven't read the rules that the USFSA put out. Any time a friend says Mirai should go and then I point out that the USFSA set these regulations about consistency well in advance of Nationals, along with mentioning that the Nationals placements won't determine the Sochi team per say, and show them Mirai's vs. Ashley's results over the past 2 years, they wholeheartedly agree that Ashley should be sent AND agree that she's being distorted by the media. I mean, the media is accusing the USFSA of racism, for crying out loud.
Ashley's PCS is still much higher than Gold's, in general. You can delude yourself into not believing that, but hey, you also think Gold can compete with a clean (or even close to clean) Yu Na, and that a clean Lipnitskaia will beat a clean Sotnikova, etc.
Anyway to the thread title I would say almost nothing. I dont think failing to win Nationals is the kiss of death for a skater. However she didnt just fail to win Nationals, she placed 4th and had to be controversially named to her own Olympic team. Add to that she was only an outside shot, not a favorite, for a medal to begin with. Then you factor in the improved level of skating and consistency that all of Gold, Sotnikova, and Suzuki are showing lately, and join that to the long established favorites of Kim, Asada, Kostner, and Julia, and a medal for Ashley at this point would take a miracelous effort on her part, and alot of mistakes from the rest. Even just after the Grand Prix final I would have said her medal chances were only like 20%. However since then she had her U.S Nationals debacle, Suzuki and Sotnikova and Murakami and Osmond all turned in shockingly great and inspired performances at their own Nationals, and Gold has probably supplanted her as U.S #1 and the one the fed will push more for. So her medal chances are now more like 2% than the previous 20%.
Good news for her is she might still be included in the Team Event and the U.S Team will definitely medal there, so she should still get an Olympic medal.
Ashley drinking wine-----and I believed that article that said she was living off peanut butter and jelly sandwiches.
the media does care and so does Wagner, her youtube videos are full of dislikes and she even left twitter
she will be in huge pressure in Sochi to justify being chosen in the Team
Gracie will compete in full confidence knowing she has a shot at the gold medal
she seems to have a renewed and new eye to win which I have never seen before from Gracie
her progress is really remarkable and what a lovely skater also
Her bad performance can affect her either way. For sure, there won't be as much pressure in Sochi as at the national. It would feel almost like another new life, after she survived the national.
If I have to guess how they feel, I guess Gracie will have more confidence but also more pressure. Ashley will have less confidence and less pressure.
I think with Ashley, it will come down to how well she is training these coming weeks. Hopefully she is training very well and can concentrate on that and tune out the jibber-jabber.
I think everyone is going to be under tremendous pressure at the Olympics. It's the one event where, regardless of expectations, no one is going to feel totally at ease. It only comes around every 4 years, so all the skaters can't know if they'll have such a good a shot at winning a medal again. In the case of some- Kostner, Abbott, Suzuki, Takahashi, Asada, etc.- it's really their last chance to achieve a lifelong goal. For others- Gold, Wagner, Sotnikova, Lipnitskaia, Hanyu, Fernandez, etc.- who knows whether they'll be skating as well in 2018 as they are now.
I know people lie to the media all the time, but from how Kim has been coming off on the last couple interviews ("Unlike many fans, I'm not looking to the gold medal as my goal this Olympics...I've already accomplished that...I just want to end my career in a way that reflects off the work I've put in...yadda yadda yadda...) she really seems to have mastered the effects of the pressure that her nation and fans put on her.
And there's nothing wrong in what she is saying, and the whole 'coming off an injury thing' may just have further cemented that mindset. Mind you, I'm sure she'd still be ecstatic with the ogm, but she seems a bit over it, even saying that she just wants the olys to be over with, let the results be what they may, so she can start her new life.
Chan on the other hand... never mind any pressure from Canada. No one in their right mind could be at the level he's skating now and not want to receive the ultimate honor.
Yes Kim does seem in control mentally, despite all the things that I mentioned could be at stake for her. That is bad news for her competitors as if she does feel relaxed enough to withstand the pressure with comfort and skate her best there is no way she is losing.