IOC also expect Kim is the heavy favorite for the gold medal but ice is slippery...... anything can happen especially in the Olympics
Amen to that. Kim is due to be less then perfect in a big competition and it worries me that she's not competed much this season. I know it didn't matter last year but i don't expect her to be that dominant again. Ice is slippery as Scott Hamilton always says.
I think Yu-Na's chances are great but by no means is she a lock for the gold medal. In a field that stacked with competitors, there is never a lock for gold b/c too many things can happen. I would go so far as to say she's a lock for a medal and a favorite for gold but she's not a lock for gold.
Yes, I'm never comfortable calling someone a lock for any medal, but especially in a sport where it's so easy to slip (both metaphorically and literally). You also can't count on all the other competitors behaving exactly as they did previously. This could be the night where, to paraphrase Brian Boitano describing his 1988 long program, angels hold up Mao Asada as she executes two perfect triple axels, or where Julia or Akiko reach that magical level where time stands still and gravity becomes a servant instead of a master.
i think it is safe to say if Kim is clean she will win gold. Near clean a medal is almost assured. But this could be an ARakawa or Hughes moment. Nice story for those win but it kind of is sad to see the big guns just fizzle out without oly gold ie. Kwan, Orser, Browning, Slutskaya or even headcase Cohen. That's life though.
I have not had time today, but I never thought (spoiler on Ladies US Sp Nationals-turn away) Ashley would be in 4th! Unfair judging. And I am shocked! So anything can happen. Kim should not be a lock with her skating so far THIS YEAR. Gone is top speed, and she's making mistakes on easy jumps. A 3 toe? A double axel? She Does not do a Biemann, and her lines were never the best. She is not the skater she was last year. IMO Les Mis was very good technically and her performance was good. Good program and music suited her. She deserved to win WC, and as I wrote in YuNa thread, and still got slammed anyway, she was great at KN, and I suspected gold in WC. She delivered one of her best LPs of her career, and won. Yes, she is always overscored imo since Vancouver, but many think Mao and others have superior programs as well as performance qualities.
But we saw her beat Mao by 20 points. Excessive given how well Mao skated and her qualities are very beautiful. A female even attempting 3 triple axels should get a couple points, as it really is so hard. But anyway, Vancouver YuNa is really kinda gone. We have only seen two skates where she wasn't very motivated, to look at it one way, as there was no competition in Zagreb or Nationals. So maybe she was so bored by no stimulation, she just lost her edge. I expect her to have way more fire in Sochi.
That said, the performer I'd give a gold medal to, however I needed to work with the system, which is crazy, is Akiko. Her Nationals was one to re-watch. I find her very special, in the joy she brings to skating. At 29, her last two years were stellar for me, and great skating. Ashley is unsung and I hope she is clean in the LP at Nationals. I have not read all there is, but to have her in 4th after one mistake, is criminal. Do they want to send gold in as number 1 now? It is shocking, and surprising, as she skated very well and has a very good sp program. And comes of a good GP season...so I hope to read the comp thread to hear what everyone has to say and those esp in the arena.
I do not wish to anger Yuna fans as they have numbers and clout here, and they know it and use it. YuNa is special and has deserved her wins, but the margins is all I have questioned. I also like many other fans of this very generous young lady, have not seen "queen yuna'" in Zagreb or nationals. My point respectfully made is she should not be a lock this year based on what we have seen. I felt her injury was minor. That was misconstrued. Everyone including Plusk, Kwan have used their injuried to avoid dealing with IJS and GP events they did not want to compete at. Maybe YuNa was more injured than we thought, but keeping is secret. Stamina was missing. we discussed all this. To be totally accurate, ice is more slippery for the one injured, or the one with lesser arsenal than past glory days.
And nerves will affect them all. So, anything can happen. The favorite did not win 94, 98, 2002 -at least the people's fave did not. I did not think Oxsana would beat an angry nancy skating on fire to show the world the attackers LOST their try to take her out. I thought Lyra and Kwan's joyous floating Janet Lynn like performance would beat a tech. superior Tara....wrong again. And I did not think Sarah would come from 4th with two 3/3s at 16 to be kwan, Irina the jumper and the exquisite, new and unique Sasha Cohen. Wrong again. (actually, I am going with popular opinion-some I saw coming, wink) But the competition is fierce and we do not know what politics goes on. Every Nationals has shocks and thus the Olympics. It is going to be very exciting this year!
She was injured, it is so obvious when you watch her performace in golden spin. Last year, she couldnt get a gp slot because she didnt compete.