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Thread: Five Favorites for Olympic Gold in Women's Figure Skating at Sochi 2014

  1. #151
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    Implausible: Osmond, Li, Murakami (and everyone not mentioned)

    Extreme longshot: Wagner

    Darkhorse: Gold, Sotnikova, Suzuki

    In the hunt: Kim, Asada, Kostner, Lipnitskaia

  2. #152
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    Quote Originally Posted by ImaginaryPogue View Post
    Implausible: Osmond, Li, Murakami (and everyone not mentioned)

    Extreme longshot: Wagner

    Darkhorse: Gold, Sotnikova, Suzuki

    In the hunt: Kim, Asada, Kostner, Lipnitskaia
    You overrate Kostner. Kostner is not really in the hunt for the gold medal at this point at all. The women in your darkhorse group all would be more likely to win the gold or even a medal than her right now. I would call Kostner a bit of a dark horse for the bronze medal at this moment.

  3. #153
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    My list has no value as it's purely wishful thinking, but my perfect podium would be Yuna, Yulia and Gracie. Random order.
    And every possibility will be equally exciting.
    If Yuna wins then her current reputation as "possibly the best female skater in history" will lose the word "possibly".
    And if Yulia wins it will melt my heart. Sorry, it comes with age...
    And if Gracie wins the US media will go supernova.

  4. #154
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    Quote Originally Posted by pangtongfan View Post
    You overrate Kostner. Kostner is not really in the hunt for the gold medal at this point at all. The women in your darkhorse group all would be more likely to win the gold or even a medal than her right now. I would call Kostner a bit of a dark horse for the bronze medal at this moment.
    I know. But I know you know me well enough to know that I'm sticking with this prediction even though I'm wrong, so thoroughly have I imagined the moment.

  5. #155
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    Quote Originally Posted by ImaginaryPogue View Post
    I know. But I know you know me well enough to know that I'm sticking with this prediction even though I'm wrong, so thoroughly have I imagined the moment.
    I like your prediction!

    At the moment I find it is difficult to predict who will be in the top 5, the situation seems to be changing every week! The homeland factor will definitely play favourably to Julia and Adelina, however, perhaps due to my naïveté, I would not go as far as to say that they will be favoured if other skaters produce better performances. I think that over scoring the home champions would really damage both the image of figure skating as a sport and of Russia as a respectful player and I do believe that Russia is trying to contrive that image. In the long run it could even hinder the sport in the numbers of disillusioned people who turn away from it. Having said that, I am sure that if Adelina and Julia skate clean and produce good performances, they will definitely get an edge over similarly talented skaters and equally deserving performances.

    I think the main contenders for gold are still Mao and Yuna and I am really curious to see how the “final battle” between these two wonderful skater will pan out. At the moment I prefer Mao’s SP and Yuna’s LP, but I think that nerves will be the key to victory. If both are clean, I think perhaps Mao will outscore Yuna, but it is difficult to judge this scenario now as I am not sure on how Yuna’s PCS will hold up. There are many things that I love in both of them, although none of them is my ultimate favourite, and I do think they have pushed each other to great heights that they may had not reached if they did not feel they had a worthy rival to deal with. I think their so called “rivalry” has been a positive factor in this sport and I hope that the cleanest, most inspired and exciting performer of the two will prevail, but I am reserving judgement of which one may be!

    I am not too worried about Julia beating Yuna or Mao as I think that the difference in skating skills and overall presence on ice will be clearer when they skate in the same competition. True that Julia may outspin them both, but her arms movements, speed and jumping technique are still inferior in my opinion. Between her and Adelina I definitely see Julia getting closer to Yuna and Mao in terms of placement as I think she is a better skater overall and she has better programs. Adelina does have bigger jumps and higher PCS, but I feel the PCS situation may change soon. For me the problem with Adelina is that I do not particularly like her programs and I really dislike the music selection/costume and lack of refinement in her upper body movements. Julia is packaged better and she has been more consistent so she seems to be more likely to get on the podium.

    Carolina, oh how I wish for her to be on that podium! She may not succeed, but I still hope she will go out there and skate beautifully and cleanly. I have the suspect that she is content where she is now and I am certain she really loves this sport. To see her skate two beautiful and clean performances in Sochi would be marvellous! So I keep on hoping that this will happen!

    At the moment I think that the best five (in no particular order) will be:

    Carolina, Mao, Yuna, Akiko and Julia, but I can see either Adelina or Gracie jumping on the boat as well.

  6. #156
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    mine are

    1) yuna- gold but 1st --5th
    2) mao 1st --6th
    3)gracie 1st --10th
    4)adelina-1st --10th
    5) julia 1st --10th
    6) carolina 1st--8th
    7) akiko 3rd-12th
    8) kaetlyn3rd--10th
    9) ashley 2nd-11th
    10) kanako--4th-12th
    11) polina 8th-12th
    12) zijun 4th-12th

    13) mae bernice 7-14th
    14) gabrielle 8th-14th

  7. #157
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    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7BQcJN1e-mw
    Quote Originally Posted by fairly4 View Post
    mine are

    1) yuna- gold but 1st --5th
    2) mao 1st --6th
    3)gracie 1st --10th
    4)adelina-1st --10th
    5) julia 1st --10th
    6) carolina 1st--8th
    7) akiko 3rd-12th
    8) kaetlyn3rd--10th
    9) ashley 2nd-11th
    10) kanako--4th-12th
    11) polina 8th-12th
    12) zijun 4th-12th

    13) mae bernice 7-14th
    14) gabrielle 8th-14th
    I'm sorry, but I just can't agree with what you put for Julia. She has never finished off the podium in any international competition so I think a conservative estimate would be 1-5th. (Can you tell Julia's my favorite?)

  8. #158
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    Quote Originally Posted by fairly4 View Post
    mine are

    1) yuna- gold but 1st --5th
    2) mao 1st --6th
    3)gracie 1st --10th
    4)adelina-1st --10th
    5) julia 1st --10th
    6) carolina 1st--8th
    7) akiko 3rd-12th
    8) kaetlyn3rd--10th
    9) ashley 2nd-11th
    10) kanako--4th-12th
    11) polina 8th-12th
    12) zijun 4th-12th

    13) mae bernice 7-14th
    14) gabrielle 8th-14th
    A tsunami is more likely than a 5th place finish for Kim at the Games.

  9. #159
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    Quote Originally Posted by fairly4 View Post
    mine are

    1) yuna- gold but 1st --5th
    2) mao 1st --6th
    3)gracie 1st --10th
    4)adelina-1st --10th
    5) julia 1st --10th
    6) carolina 1st--8th
    7) akiko 3rd-12th
    8) kaetlyn3rd--10th
    9) ashley 2nd-11th
    10) kanako--4th-12th
    11) polina 8th-12th
    12) zijun 4th-12th

    13) mae bernice 7-14th
    14) gabrielle 8th-14th
    "Fortune favors the bold!"

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