Who were the favorites for OGMs four years ago? | Page 2 | Golden Skate

Who were the favorites for OGMs four years ago?

gmyers

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Mar 6, 2010
As I recall

Ladies:
Kim & Asada

Men:
Plushenko - everyone just felt he'd win because of judges giving him a break on small mistakes
Lysachek and Takahashi were also talked about as being on the podium, but I don't remember either being a favorite for gold.

Dance:
V/M & D/W with V/M having more of a chance to win

Pairs:
I don't recall who was favored to actually win, though I think most fans wanted Shen and Zhao?

It was the fact that plushenko had a quad! All of a sudden being world champion meant nothing because there was no quad. I don't remember reading about mistakes then or now refreshing my memory.
 

pangtongfan

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Jun 16, 2010
Ladies- Yu Na Kim was the overwhelming favorite. Mao was actually not even the clear favorite for silver. She had not medalled at the 2009 Worlds and missed making the Grand Prix final that season. Mao, Rochette, Ando, were all given a good shot at silver. Flatt, Suzuki, and Kostner outside shots of a medal.

Mens- The field was wide open. No real favorite. As many as 8 men could have won or 12 men won a medal going in.

Pairs- Shen & Zhao were favorites. Savchenko & Szolkowy had a poor season but were still probably their main challengers for gold. Kavaguti & Smirnov and Pang & Tong had strong seasons and were also gold contenders. Zhang & Zhang, Mukhortova & trankov, and home country favorites Dube & davison were shots of the bronze.

Dance- Virtue & Moir, Davis & White, and Domnina & Shabalin all went in as gold contenders. Belbin & Agaosto, Failla & Scali, Delobel & Schoenfelder (back from injury) were bronze hopefuls.
 

shine

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Jul 27, 2003
Chan was at best a medal hopeful then.

I think after US Nationals and Euros, Lambiel and Abbott were deemed the most likely to give Plushenko a run for his money.
 

gmyers

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Mar 6, 2010
Chan was at best a medal hopeful then.

I think after US Nationals and Euros, Lambiel and Abbott were deemed the most likely to give Plushenko a run for his money.

I read some predictions ariticle that mentioned lambiel but immediately discounted him because of no 3A. And I don't even remember reading Abbott even after us nationals.

When push came to shove and people were forced to pick 3 it was all lysacek and plushenko and someone else.
 

Tonichelle

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A lot of folks (me included) pointed to Evan being the reigning World Champion as why he wouldn't win the gold... I mean he was the first since Scott Hamilton to actually deliver and win the dang thing. the years inbetween it was almost a death sentence for any chance at gold! :laugh:
 

gmyers

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A lot of folks (me included) pointed to Evan being the reigning World Champion as why he wouldn't win the gold... I mean he was the first since Scott Hamilton to actually deliver and win the dang thing. the years inbetween it was almost a death sentence for any chance at gold! :laugh:

It's all skewed because browning was 91 and 93 and he couldn't do Olympics. Then 97 wc was majorly injured in Nagano. Lysacek was healthy and gpf winner and its true he wasn't being predicted to win but silver or bronze and everyone said he would medal and plushenko would win because of the quad.
 

coppertop1

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Sep 19, 2006
It's all skewed because browning was 91 and 93 and he couldn't do Olympics. Then 97 wc was majorly injured in Nagano. Lysacek was healthy and gpf winner and its true he wasn't being predicted to win but silver or bronze and everyone said he would medal and plushenko would win because of the quad.

And Plushenko lost the gold in 2002 after the SP when he was fourth, plus Yagudin was healthy and stronger than ever.
 

Tonichelle

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It's all skewed because browning was 91 and 93 and he couldn't do Olympics. Then 97 wc was majorly injured in Nagano. Lysacek was healthy and gpf winner and its true he wasn't being predicted to win but silver or bronze and everyone said he would medal and plushenko would win because of the quad.

couldn't do it? he was at both?
 

gmyers

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Mar 6, 2010
And Plushenko lost the gold in 2002 after the SP when he was fourth, plus Yagudin was healthy and stronger than ever.

That's the competiton where like 88 the wc was just totally outskated!

couldn't do it? he was at both?

Browning couldnt do Olympics means he was there but he couldn't perform. He couldn't perform well at an Olympics. Couldn't do Olympics.
 

Tonichelle

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...but how does that "skew" the idea that the reigning world champion has a "jinx"/"curse" on them? By all accounts Browning *should* have been able to do it. 92 he had no business competing IMO. He was very injured for much of the lead up and "reinjured" (I believe he had not fully healed, though) himself. Neither he or Elderedge *should* have been there. But neither knew Olympics would be held two years later at the time.

94 was a total bomb of the SP... he didn't do too terribly in the LP. He *could* have done it.
 

Blades of Passion

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In mens, I think Plushenko was the overwhelming favourite but Chan was also a co-favourite. IIRC, many people didn't expect Lysacek to win. I could be wrong, but I think there were even some who thought Weir would finish higher than him. I remember a lot of people being surprised at Chan "only" being in 5th place, but I think that's around what he deserved since he didn't skate his best.

That's not how it went at all.

Chan had a bad season leading up to the Olympics and he was a longshot for a medal. Plushenko, Lysacek, Oda, Abbott, and Lambiel were seen as the biggest podium threats. Joubert, Takahashi, and Chan were next in line; nobody thought they had a chance for Gold.
 

pangtongfan

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Jun 16, 2010
That's not how it went at all.

Chan had a bad season leading up to the Olympics and he was a longshot for a medal. Plushenko, Lysacek, Oda, Abbott, and Lambiel were seen as the biggest podium threats. Joubert, Takahashi, and Chan were next in line; nobody thought they had a chance for Gold.

Mostly agreed, except I think Takahashi was seen as a bigger contender than that. He hadnt had a particularly strong season, but he had led after the short program at the Grand Prix final. Chan was definitely not a favorite going into Vancouver the way he had been at the 2009 Worlds.

If Plushenko was perceived as the overwhelming favorite than it just proves people are stupid. It was obvious to anyone with a brain he was very vurnerable in Vancouver. The only thing he had going for him was his famed consistency, which almost all his rivals (other than Lysacek) lacked, but there were atleast 6 guys who could easily beat him if they skated to their potential, even if Plushenko went clean; a far cry from Turin where he could only beat himself (which had almost no chance of happening).
 

seniorita

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Jun 3, 2008
It is all relative. As much vulnerable as he was he lost Gold for one point, and while Lysacek had the best Lp that night, Plushenko lost the Gold in sp. Plushenko got a 90.+ sp in Vancouver while Lysacek got an 89. + , would a skater with a 3-3 get an almost 90 with no quad these days?
An article from 2010 that I think pretty sums up what was predicted for the men.
I miss Lambiel so much.
 
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gmyers

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Mar 6, 2010
...but how does that "skew" the idea that the reigning world champion has a "jinx"/"curse" on them? By all accounts Browning *should* have been able to do it. 92 he had no business competing IMO. He was very injured for much of the lead up and "reinjured" (I believe he had not fully healed, though) himself. Neither he or Elderedge *should* have been there. But neither knew Olympics would be held two years later at the time.

94 was a total bomb of the SP... he didn't do too terribly in the LP. He *could* have done it.

I thought because it was the same person lol. One wc was cursed not two world champions.

Mostly agreed, except I think Takahashi was seen as a bigger contender than that. He hadnt had a particularly strong season, but he had led after the short program at the Grand Prix final. Chan was definitely not a favorite going into Vancouver the way he had been at the 2009 Worlds.

If Plushenko was perceived as the overwhelming favorite than it just proves people are stupid. It was obvious to anyone with a brain he was very vurnerable in Vancouver. The only thing he had going for him was his famed consistency, which almost all his rivals (other than Lysacek) lacked, but there were atleast 6 guys who could easily beat him if they skated to their potential, even if Plushenko went clean; a far cry from Turin where he could only beat himself (which had almost no chance of happening).

Maybe it was six or eight but when people from a wide array of publications and sites were forced to predict the medalists plushenko was always gold because of the quad. I think that is what is being discussed. Not all the men who potentially could have won but the ones everyone were predicting to medal. Everyone may not have agreed that plushenko would win In a huge landslide like 2006 but all or most agreed he would win. If they didn't say because of quad they'd say it was because Russia would just get it through politics.

It is all relative. As much vulnerable as he was he lost Gold for one point, and while Lysacek had the best Lp that night, Plushenko lost the Gold in sp. Plushenko got a 90.+ sp in Vancouver while Lysacek got an 89. + , would a skater with a 3-3 get an almost 90 with no quad these days?
An article from 2010 that I think pretty sums up what was predicted for the men.
I miss Lambiel so much.

That's the article I referenced before. It's a very good one.
 

gmyers

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Mar 6, 2010
Yahoo predicted this:

http://voices.yahoo.com/vancouver-2010-figure-skating-analysis-5420841.html

They had the men as Plushy, Evan, and Oda.

For the women they had Yuna, and then don't actually say who will be 2nd and 3rd, but do say that Mao is the only one that can challenge Yuna.

This really reflected a mistaken belief that quads difficulty was reflected in cop value or something. He actually said plushenko would win easy! When people wrote falter like he did I'm sure they meant fall or popped jumps.
 

ANW

On the Ice
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Nov 8, 2007
well actually that's from Yahoo Voice, formerly known as AssociatedContent, an online content farm for self publishing, it's one person's opinion, it's not "Yahoo Sports Column", I won't give it much credit.
Yahoo predicted this:

http://voices.yahoo.com/vancouver-2010-figure-skating-analysis-5420841.html

They had the men as Plushy, Evan, and Oda.

For the women they had Yuna, and then don't actually say who will be 2nd and 3rd, but do say that Mao is the only one that can challenge Yuna.
 

ImaginaryPogue

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Joined
Jun 3, 2009
Mostly agreed, except I think Takahashi was seen as a bigger contender than that. He hadnt had a particularly strong season, but he had led after the short program at the Grand Prix final. Chan was definitely not a favorite going into Vancouver the way he had been at the 2009 Worlds.

If Plushenko was perceived as the overwhelming favorite than it just proves people are stupid. It was obvious to anyone with a brain he was very vurnerable in Vancouver. The only thing he had going for him was his famed consistency, which almost all his rivals (other than Lysacek) lacked, but there were atleast 6 guys who could easily beat him if they skated to their potential, even if Plushenko went clean; a far cry from Turin where he could only beat himself (which had almost no chance of happening).

I tend to agree. Euros was telling to me because Plushenko won, but Lambiel actually out-PCS'ed him. Compare that to Turin where he destroyed the field in terms of PCS (Jeff Buttle tied him on Transitions in the LP, but otherwise he was the indubitable number 1). That suggested (to me) that if someone else skated at or near Plushenko's level, he'd be the winner.
 
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