they can never get proper nor difficult lifts, Martiusheva / Rogonov are simply inconistent, Rogonov btw got married so they too have probably retired
I do agree Davankova / Deputat are very talented such a waste she grew so tall
they will end up like the Zhangs who will be too tall for him and eventually split up
Re: Davankova and Deputat, it actually depends on them, not on you or your opinion. They have proved this season that they can skate with the high difference as it is now. Now it depends on whether they will be consistent and manage successfully to transform into a senior team, but the elements are being done. They may manage, or may not, but it is definitely not as bleak as you are implying.
I agree that Martiusheva / Rogonov are being inconsistent; usually Martiusheva can't land her jumps to save her life and when the current juniors move to the seniors from next season, I do think M/R will disappear from any major international competitions. They did not have a much chance to be sent to Europeans/Worlds, but have been getting at least the GP. From the next season they probably won't be getting those either,so their only chance will be senior B competitions. But they did defy your frequent predictions about them splitting!
anyone who gets beaten in a B event with some obscure dancers competing like Ralph / Hill is hopeless. their SB is in 130s
while Ilinykh / Katasalpov are getting 170s and Sinitsina / Zhiganshin in 150s
the results here btw were correct as Y/M made a mistake on their twizzles
Yanovskaya / Mozgov have good prospects for snior, he is very tall, they are athletic type of skaters capable of good lifts
S/B wont be on the podium at Jr. Worlds if Y/M, H/B and M/C skate their best
so only Ilinykh / Kataslapov, Sinitsina / Zhiganshin and Yanovskaya / Mozogov will do well for seniors next quad
In regards to S/Z, M/K won JGPf and junior worlds in season 2010-2011 and S/Z won exactly the same the following season. Unfortunately Khaliavin fell ill with mononucleosis and lost a whole season 2011-2012. At the moment, M/K and S/Z are at very comparable level (which is to be expected, considering that M/K lost the whole season). M/K did slightly better at the GP events, S/Z did slightly better at Russian nationals. At any day they could swap their results. It is not that S/Z is clearly better than M/K; they just got their chance to go to Europeans because they managed to do one competition (Russian nationals) better. But it was pretty close. At their GP events M/K placed 5th and 6th, S/Z placed 8th... This season I liked more S/Z but I wouldn't go as far as claiming that they are that much better than M/K and that M/K have no chance to beat them!
By the way, check your facts before you spew even more poison around. M/K's season best is not in 130! It is 145.92. From Rostelecom Cup. Compared with S/Z's scores throughout the season: NHK Trophy 124.23, Winter Universiade 142.50 and European Championships 153.73... Well, I am sorry, S/Z had slightly higher the season best, but not significantly higher, and if you look at their other international results that season, surely you must see that they are not THAT better. They are pretty much the same.
I dont see Monko/Khaliavin ever being in Top 3 Russian next quad
while Sinistina / Zhiganshin have a good shot of being in Top 3 team
Tiffany is even taller than Stepanova
I do hope that next season Riazanova/Tkachenko drop one more place lower at Russian nationals, but the third place will be fight between M/K and S/Z. And I wouldn't be so sure that it will be S/Z who will win. It can be either of those two couples. The fact that S/Z managed to beat M/K in one competition does not mean much. It was only one competition and not even an international competition. It did earn them a place at Europeans and Olympics but Russian Federation will not give them automatic place for the next 4 years. Attendance at next year's Europeans and Worlds will again depend on the results of next year's nationals. See what happened Leonova last year? Did not deliver at nationals, was not sent to Europeans. And S/Z have not had Leonova's past results (medals at Worlds). So I would wait before you award the "Russian team number three" for the next 4 years.
remember Ice Dancing pecking order is harder to shake up than singles where skaters can stack or drop anytime
also the Rus Fed did not support any skaters other than I/K and B/S this season but still S/Z came on top 3
the judges at Euros saw this and they got the signal and they got higher PCS than R/T
in terms of real potential next quad only S/Z and Y/M have it
S/Z are evenly matched with very good skating skills and good speed
Y/M are athletic couple which will do well for them in lifts and holds
I cant think of any advantages for M/K or S/B sorry
Vigalova/Zakroev and Fedorova/Miroshkin lack triple jumps and are relying on their height differences to rack up points. They'll do no better than M/R in seniors. The girls should get younger male partners and stay in the junior ranks until they're able to land triple jumps.
By the way, where was Denney/Frazier this season after winning last years junior worlds? 5th and 5th at their GP events. Purdy/Marinaro were 8th and 8th at their GP events (after placing 2nd last year at junior worlds). My point is, MOST PAIRS, no matter how strong at juniors, are not ready with the transition to seniors. Usually it takes a while to establish themselves. Both Bazarova & Larionov and Stolbova&Klimov took a few years to start getting results. In fact, I think most of those talented Russian junior teams (the four teams above) won't be competing in the Olympics in 2018 yet. Although by then they will be pretty decent, I think there will be still stronger teams then them who won't be retired and who will beat them at nationals. We will see.