I agree with the majority of your predictions, and this really shows that Japan could have shot at a medal if one of the other teams falter. More than anything though, look at what an amazing team Japan would have had if Takahashi/Tran could have skated at the Olympics and wouldn't have had to split up. (And I'm still missing them...)Originally Posted by pangtongfan
Maybe Canada will wait until after the SPs to decide which Men does the LP (or better to say think in advance of how to react to different scenarios). How does Plushenko look? What other teams are making the LP - Japan and China with strong men entries, or Italy with a weaker one? I'm really sad for Reynolds, after last years worlds he would have been a good contender for his team. Stupid boot problems.
From what I've gathered from various reports, it sounds like Chan does NOT want to skate the LP at all but is probably going to be heavily pressured/guilted into doing so by his teammates/federation. I make a distinction because I think SC may value Chan's potential individual gold over the team gold, whereas the team (Moir in particular) really, really want that team gold. Ultimately, Chan will make his own decision and decide what he wants to do. With his track record, I could see him really beating himself up if he skated the SP and LP in the team event and then faltered in the individual. Does he really want to leave Sochi with so many "what if's"?.
Thank you, Pangtongfan, for an excellent post.
While the individual is more important, if you have two shots at gold and one of them is to get gold for your teammates then go for it. Chan is well trained enough to handle that. He will have 3 days to recuperate.
After doing my rough breakdown I hope Chan is convinced to skate both programs. I now strongly believe Canada will lose the Team Gold if Reynolds skates the LP. They may lose it even with Chan skating both programs, but they need him in order to have a chance.
I hadn't thought of it like that, but I actually feel sorry for Patrick now. This is a very tricky decision. Any little may matter - even if he is only slightly more tired than some of his competitors in the individual, it may matter... This is one of these cases, where, no matter how he decides, he may end up wishing he'd done otherwise. And those kind of nerves added on top of all the other expectations can't be a good thing. Well, I hope he isn't affected by it, and that he knows what he wants, and sticks by that decision. Maybe I'm just projecting things onto him, and he isn't fazed by it at all.
He isn't fazed by it. In part, because he is young. At this age, most guys feel like they are invincible, especially when you are a 3 times World Champion.
In fact, he doesn't understand why some people skip or moan about participating the Team Event. Of course, he is in a media blackout and unable to say more though this is not a secret at all.
Actually, winning a medal in team competition might take from Chan a lot of the pressure in the individual competition. He will get also a confidence bust.