They are athletes. Thy wil survive the grueling openign ceremonies - the key is not to get sick.
(As I have said elsewhere, USFS originally was planning to use Graz for this purpose -- but at this point, I would say that Germany is looking more probable as the location.)
Karne is right - Jason typically misses no more than 1 3A and that is typically a 2 foot problem. The rest of the program is solid and he can take advantage if others mess up on the 4's
Quads are also the hardest and riskiest elements and way more risky than brown doing a 3a. Doubles triples downgrades . Just like the individual event wouldn't be surprised if brown won the free skate on spin step goe and hanyu level pcs which he got in teb.
Nick McCarvel (NBCOlympics journalist) @NickMcCarvel 8m ago:
"U.S. #figureskating team to be announced for team event Weds. 10am #Sochi2014 local time. Line-up might not be as expected, source tells me"
Federation mind games?
Hope that doesn't mean Jason is out!
ETA: Time to whip out the Jason Brown Triple Axel boiler plate; so glad I did this research, LOL:
So officially he attempted 2 3A in this FS at 2013 Nationals. The last time he missed both his axels, i.e. if you want to define it as any 3A that got -GOE was Trophee Eric Bompard. But seriously, that is an extreme definition to me and judges still give 3A even with -GOE as long as it's ratified and I'll take it a step further and say landed (no falls). So by that definition, U.S. Nationals 2013 (both were < or <<).Jason started trying the the 3A at his second JGP event in Turkey. However it wasn't until Junior Worlds when he clearly had the jump.
Prior to Junior Worlds:
JGP Istanbul 2012
SP: 3A<< ; -1.43 GOE
FS: 3A< ; -3.00 GOE
JGP Final 2012
SP: 3A; -0.71 GOE
FS: Waxeled. (zero points)
U.S. Nationals 2013
SP: 3A< -3.00 GOE (fall)
FS: 3A-3T< -1.14 GOE; 3A<< (fall); -1.50
Post Junior Worlds
Junior Worlds 2013
SP: 3A +0.86
FS: 3A-2T +0.14; 3A +1.00
SP: 3A + 0.86
FS: 3A+3T +0.57; 3A<< -1.50
SP: 3A +1.14
FS: 3A<< -1.50 (fall); 3A-1T -2.14
Trophee Eric Bompard
SP: 3A +1.14
FS: 3A-2T -0.14; 1A
SP: 3A +0.29
FS: 3A-3T +1.43; 3A< -1.00
Since U.S. Nationals he has made 3 triple axel attempts at each competition. Since Junior Worlds, Jason has been 5/5 in getting the 3A with +GOE in the short program.
The problem with his 3A has been with the free skate, and more specifically the second 3A in the program. He is 4/5 with the opening 3A combo (and 3/5 for getting +GOE) but he is only 2/5 for the second 3A attempt (and just 1/5 for positive GOE).
Since Junior Worlds: Jason got the jump ratified (no UR, no pop) 11 out of 15 attempts (73 percent). He only popped the jump once out of 15 (7 percent) and only fell once (7 percent).
He does tend to two-foot the jump when he messes up, as a result his +GOE 3A rate is much lower he got +GOE 9 out of 15 attempts (60 percent).
The biggest hurdle with his 3A is specifically the second 3A in his program. When you take out the second 3A attempt in the FS out of the statistics, his ratification rate is 90 percent and his +GOE rate is 80 percent. He also messed up that second attempt (turnout) when I watched him practice at Nationals, which tells me it's a mental thing. What also convinces me that it's a mental thing is that there when I watch him practice the jump , I'd say he was about 95 percent (which matches reports from other practices).