After what has happened so far with the scores I can see Julia in 1st, Yuna in 2nd and Gracie in 3rd. Think the ones who are going to get dinged because of the 'planned results' are Mao and Kostner.
Based on past competition results I don't see Yuna breaking 150 even with a perfect program, I see Yuna maxing out around 148-149. I say this because I don't see the judges giving Yuna any 'additional' boosts if 148-149 has already been shown to be a 'fair' score for a perfect Yuna program. I don't necessarily think there is some massive judging conspiracy or fixing going on, but I do think judges may feel pressured to have Julia do well in her home country. Julia has the benefit of not having a track record of scores to compare against, which make me think Julia is a complete wildcard, and given how the judges may have been 'testing the waters' at the team competition with almost little to no media backlash at the result I'm wondering how high Julia's score can go? I could see her PCS going up another 3-4 points, so assuming she gets 4 points in the PCS and superior GOEs I can see her score going up another 4 points on PCS and 6 points on GOE, leaving her at 151-152. The 2-3 point margin over Yuna in the LP may be what gets Julia to the OGM if Yuna beats her in the SP by 1 or 2 points. Thoughts?
Liptnitskaya may win Gold, but she will never be a real champion and nobody will consider her as one either. Michelle Kwan never won OGM but she is a hero and a champion to a lot of people, as is Yuna. One OGM cannot make up for the entire career.
I really hope Litpnitskaya is judged on her own merit (in which case, if all of her contenders skate cleanly, she is not likely to win gold). Even if she wins gold this time, many people are likely to attribute it to home advantage, fixing in judging, fluke, or mistakes by others. Nobody has proven to be a deserving champion like Yuna.
However I think another point that's important is that in the 6.0 world it was easier for the lay-person or journalist to interpret whether or not scores were "too high" or not. In that system people could roughly know who was 1st,2nd,3rd, etc. I feel like in the new system the lay-person won't necessarily know that Yuna was a lot better than Julia in things like skating skills, speed, flow over the ice, etc especially if Yuna makes a mistake. They will see o wow! Julia skated perfectly and that was such an amazing performance! not the 147 points versus the 142 points type of thinking.
I just want to say this at the end of this event "all hail the queen"
The hype is all good. Put the pressure on Yuna's competitor and let her come in under the radar instead.
I don't think Yuna's skating in 2013 Worlds was better than that of Vancouver, but if you consider that jumps' GOE got reduced by 30% (+0.7/+1.4/+2.1 instead of +1/+2/+3) after the 2010 Olympics, her score of 148 in 2013 probably surpassed 150 by the 2010 standard.
For me, it's not possible to say whether 2010 Olympics or 2013 World Champs was better for Yuna. They were both so far above and beyond any other ladies skater I've ever seen.
Last year at Worlds, when she hit ~148, I thought a clean Yuna would score above 150 at the Olympics, given it's the Olympics. I didn't take account of the Russian factor, but I really hope that the judges will choose not to apply the Olympic inflation selectively. That's all I hope for at this point.