Julia: Rarely falls. Skating a program to remember Holocaust victims (movies with this theme do well at the Academy Awards--why wouldn't it work at the Olympics, too?) Spins like a top. In Russia, so has the hometown advantage.
Yuna: To her disadvantage, nobody has seen her much this year. Her short program is not as good as it was 4 years ago. "Send in the Clowns" muzak might not do it for some people. I mean why not "You Light Up My Life?" or "Feelings" if she wants to do ballads of the 70's? Doesn't write anything on the ice. No hometown advantage. Spins like a regular skater--very well, but still more like everyone else.
On the other hand, she is Yuna, so she's still got a chance.
Gracie--seems to be on the move up. If she's clean, she's my frontrunner for bronze.
Carolina--if she doesn't do the hardest jumps, she shouldn't win. And if she skates so fast, tell me why she chooses the slowest possible music. Her speed doesn't come across on tv.
Mao--if she hasn't been hitting the axel lately, as Johnny or Tara said, she's in trouble. Could still podium if she gets it back, but nobody's beating Julia or Yuna.
Adelina--her coach wouldn't even let her skate one leg of the team event. That's not good.
Ashley--she really can't hit that triple/triple, can she? Out of it.
Polina--I could actually see her doing well, oddly enough, but not medal-winning well.